Ok, to begin, this is NOT an Apple bashing thread. Here goes:
I think Apple's out of ideas. Forget who's running the show or how much Apple is worth right now, let's look at why I think Apple is quite possibly doomed for a crash:
1)Apple has been eating off the iOS gravy train for 3+ years now. The iPod, then the iPhone, and the last 3 years has been the iPad. Getting pretty old. It's the same 90% features on 3 different physical devices.
2)Building on #1, Apple hasn't introduced anything earth shattering since the iPhone and even then Apple released the iPod Touch which is the iPhone minus the phone. Again, iOS is the same no matter what device you're on, limited by hardware characteristics of course. The new Macs that roll out ever year? Nah...Apple has basically given up on the Mac line. And why has it been well over a year since an iMac update?...without even the foggiest hint of at LEAST a release date? Sure, Apple will gladly take your money if you choose a Mac, but Apple has clearly no intention of being a computer company...Apple wants to be a consumer electronics company like Sony that also dabbles in computers...and that's perfectly fine.
3)There have been rumors for a long time about how Apple is somehow going to revolutionize television. This started years ago when Apple released the AppleTV (which I just bought since they finally incorporated 1080p when the 1080p technology has been on every HD tv since 2001). The last year or so it's been more focused on some magical TV. So Apple is now going to kill AppleTV or???? There's going to be some expensive (let's face it, it's not going to be cheap) Apple branded HD tv that we buy that somehow makes us feel "wow, the last 20+ years of how I watched TV was sooooo difficult or annoying")? I don't believe it. I have my dvr functionality...I have hd offerings...I have a trillion channels on the lowest cable package...I have program guides to help me find things...I have premium channels if I want them. I really don't see how an Apple experience is going to make me that much happier...or what the backlash will be from my ISP if I now start "streaming" all my tv content over the "internet connection" instead of using their dedicated tv infrastructure.
Overall I think Apple, albeit with a ton of money in the bank, is scratching its head. Sure, iPad 4.0 will be out in 8 months or so...iPhone 5 will be out this Fall...and someday maybe an iMac update. But where are the NEW products? Apple can only keep "upgrading" its products for so long before a)market saturation (like the iPod line a few years ago hit) occurs for iPhone and iPad and b)consumers get bored of no new Apple products. Apple doesn't need to have 49 products, but really it has 2 families (iOS and Mac) with a total of 10-11 products (1 iPhone, 2 iMacs, 1 Mini, 2 laptops, 4 iPods, 1 iPad). It's also quite debatable just how different an iPhone is from an iPad as well as the iPod Touch...so really it's more like 7-8 products.
I like Apple...but I fail to see what Apple is going to spring on us next. If the rumors are right it is a TV. But do you really think folks are going to dump their beautiful (insert brand/size/style HD tv here) $800-$3000 HD tv for an Apple version?
I think Apple's out of ideas. Forget who's running the show or how much Apple is worth right now, let's look at why I think Apple is quite possibly doomed for a crash:
1)Apple has been eating off the iOS gravy train for 3+ years now. The iPod, then the iPhone, and the last 3 years has been the iPad. Getting pretty old. It's the same 90% features on 3 different physical devices.
2)Building on #1, Apple hasn't introduced anything earth shattering since the iPhone and even then Apple released the iPod Touch which is the iPhone minus the phone. Again, iOS is the same no matter what device you're on, limited by hardware characteristics of course. The new Macs that roll out ever year? Nah...Apple has basically given up on the Mac line. And why has it been well over a year since an iMac update?...without even the foggiest hint of at LEAST a release date? Sure, Apple will gladly take your money if you choose a Mac, but Apple has clearly no intention of being a computer company...Apple wants to be a consumer electronics company like Sony that also dabbles in computers...and that's perfectly fine.
3)There have been rumors for a long time about how Apple is somehow going to revolutionize television. This started years ago when Apple released the AppleTV (which I just bought since they finally incorporated 1080p when the 1080p technology has been on every HD tv since 2001). The last year or so it's been more focused on some magical TV. So Apple is now going to kill AppleTV or???? There's going to be some expensive (let's face it, it's not going to be cheap) Apple branded HD tv that we buy that somehow makes us feel "wow, the last 20+ years of how I watched TV was sooooo difficult or annoying")? I don't believe it. I have my dvr functionality...I have hd offerings...I have a trillion channels on the lowest cable package...I have program guides to help me find things...I have premium channels if I want them. I really don't see how an Apple experience is going to make me that much happier...or what the backlash will be from my ISP if I now start "streaming" all my tv content over the "internet connection" instead of using their dedicated tv infrastructure.
Overall I think Apple, albeit with a ton of money in the bank, is scratching its head. Sure, iPad 4.0 will be out in 8 months or so...iPhone 5 will be out this Fall...and someday maybe an iMac update. But where are the NEW products? Apple can only keep "upgrading" its products for so long before a)market saturation (like the iPod line a few years ago hit) occurs for iPhone and iPad and b)consumers get bored of no new Apple products. Apple doesn't need to have 49 products, but really it has 2 families (iOS and Mac) with a total of 10-11 products (1 iPhone, 2 iMacs, 1 Mini, 2 laptops, 4 iPods, 1 iPad). It's also quite debatable just how different an iPhone is from an iPad as well as the iPod Touch...so really it's more like 7-8 products.
I like Apple...but I fail to see what Apple is going to spring on us next. If the rumors are right it is a TV. But do you really think folks are going to dump their beautiful (insert brand/size/style HD tv here) $800-$3000 HD tv for an Apple version?