I went optimistically with $275.
I figured that continuing Mac sales growth coupled with new iPods in September and an iPhone coming this summer will make for a strong Christmas season.
The way I figure it, we'll see AAPL stabalize around a minimum of $220 by mid summer and it'll continue to hover in that range for a while.
With the launch of new iPods in September, the stock will see a $10 gain, and after the good summer results are publicized (back to school sale as always), it will probably gain an additional $10.
Throw in a couple dollars just for your standard appreciation (say 6 bucks) and we're looking at about $245 by the time October ends.
As long as the Christmas season isn't expected to be horrible again, I think AAPL will see an increase as its position in mutual funds becomes more advantageous and gives it a boost.
Mind you I did say I was being optimistic.