I won't be too surprised, though, if we see less DX-specific glass coming down the pipe... but time will tell. I suspect a lot of folks will still want DX lenses, if only because of weight and size.
Exactly.
I vowed to have only "FX" lenses in my collection because I knew this day would come, and yet I now have two DX lenses (excluding my kit lens) and two FX lenses.
I felt my DX lenses were necessary purchases, and in a way, I was right. There was nothing out there for me better than a Tokina 12-24 mm, or a Sigma 30 mm f/1.4. I'm sure you can understand about the Tokina, and the Sigma was necessary because Nikon has decided to ignore their prime lens users cries. Besides, any Nikon version of the 30 mm f/1.4 would have cost $2000 anyway, and I can't afford that for such a simple lens. Sorry, but that's what it is. Sigma can do a bang-up job for several hundred dollars.....better than Nikon's version from the looks of it.
Anyway, I'm going to get great use out of my Sigma 30 mm, and I have already gotten some fantastic photos with my Tokina. I'll keep these lenses until I get a FF camera, and by that time, Nikon will have moved onto 16 MP or something, while accepting DX lenses and reducing down to a 9-10 MP sensor in the process. Definitely not bad.
There's a lot of talk about the 5D MkII to compete with the D700. I'm not sure that's the smart move. IMHO, it might be wiser to bracket the D700 with both a cheaper full-frame model, and one that's more expensive. If they do that...I suspect we can assume that the handwriting is on the wall for cropped sensors.
Handwriting on the wall? No way.
1. Camera manufacturers will continue to make them because they're cheaper to make, and plopping them into another camera body for advanced consumers wouldn't be a problem. It doesn't matter if brand new FF camera models have a release price of $1000, because a DX camera can be had for $500. If FF cameras are sold for $800, then DX camera prices will drop to $400. There's always a place for DX.
2. Cameras with APS-C sensors will always be smaller in size, and there's a LARGE number of consumers who want a DSLR but don't like the bulk. I had my friends tell me that last Saturday at my birthday. They picked up my D300 and were surprised by the weight. Camera manufacturers wouldn't be stupid enough to ignore the consumer market by trying to up-sell to larger, more expensive FF DSLRs when some people just want a small DSLR. One of my best friends is in that boat. He bought a Canon G9 because he didn't want to carry around a DSLR. Actually,
he wanted a DSLR, but his wife wasn't so sure. I think the Olympus E420 would be perfect for them, as it's not THAT much bigger than the Canon G9, and would take better photos.
Thirdly, BIF shooters, macro shooters, and some sports shooters would probably prefer a DX sensor over FX, if only for the lower cost and lower weight of lenses. I guess if FF sensors are all 27 MP and larger, it won't matter anymore because there's a DX mode on Nikons (although Canon users won't have that ability
). However, if you're going to buy an FF camera and use it on DX mode for what you shoot, you may as well get a DX camera! It'll be smaller, lighter, and possibly more suitable for what you do.