iOS obviously is not magically going to support something like .exe or .apk files and the only way to built Apps is Xcode, which you need to be signed up for. I doubt Apps will grant access to the system (for customisations for example) either and they will remain "sandboxed".
My guess is that Apple is going to use as many "loopholes" as possible to comply to the rules and what I see happening is that developers still need to pay for a developer account to built and compile apps but they will have the option to "sign" those apps with a "verified" (and of course paid for) link or something like that? Basically you will be able to download "ipa" files from other stores but Apple will still get its money at the end of the day to make it as unpleasant but technically an option as possible.
The external link thingy they just implemented for the US comes to mind.
What do you think?
My guess is that Apple is going to use as many "loopholes" as possible to comply to the rules and what I see happening is that developers still need to pay for a developer account to built and compile apps but they will have the option to "sign" those apps with a "verified" (and of course paid for) link or something like that? Basically you will be able to download "ipa" files from other stores but Apple will still get its money at the end of the day to make it as unpleasant but technically an option as possible.
The external link thingy they just implemented for the US comes to mind.
What do you think?