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roncron

macrumors 65816
Original poster
Aug 15, 2011
1,207
2,393
YouTuber Zollotech posts a community poll a few days after each iOS release, including betas. He asks "How's it been for you?". The options are: "great", "terrible", "okay but some bugs". Each poll gets well over 10,000 responses (some up to 22,000), so it's a big enough sample size to draw useful inferences.

He also includes options for people to indicate if they're using other OS versions, which complicates the interpretation of the results. For example, on the beta 3 poll, only 3% of respondents report their experience with beta 3 is "terrible," which sounds pretty good (except for this poor souls). But only 41% of the survey respondents are using 14 beta 3; the rest are using 13.6 or older--or Android. If you want to find out what percentage of the survey respondents actually using beta 3 consider it "terrible," you have to divide the 3% saying "terrible" by the 41% who constitute the portion of the sample that's using 14b3. 3/41 = 7.3% of people using 14b3 report "terrible." That's how I got the figures in the table below.


USER REVIEWS OF IOS14 BETAS
source: Zollotech community polls

% great% terrible% okay but some bugs
beta160.66.033.3
beta2*n/an/an/a
beta348.87.343.9
beta440.511.947.6
beta553.77.339.0
beta660.08.032.0

*results for beta2 not available because Zollo's poll that week combined responses from people using beta 2 and 13.6GM. It's impossible to separate out the results for the two OS versions.

Beta 1 is the best of all the betas so far if we rank by lowest % terrible score. % terrible actually increases with betas 3 and 4, before coming down with 5 & 6 - though even beta 6 has more "terrible" responses than beta 1. Beta 4 is the worst by this measure - that's when I jumped in, and my experience was actually excellent - I see now that I was especially lucky.

Ranked by the % of respondents reporting a "great" experience, b1 again wins, slightly edging out b6.

It's interesting that beta 1 does so well. Possible explanations: 1) there are fewer people using beta 1 and they are more savvy (e.g., no public beta users like me). 2) there is more excitement for beta 1 of a major new iOS version than later betas 3) people expect more bugs in a beta 1 and are more forgiving of them. It's also possible that Apple's iOS 14 team really worked their butts off to make beta 1 especially solid.
 
Why does Mr. Zollo include options for people using older iOS versions, and Android?

One possibility: he has a lot of subscribers who use Android (he reviews Android devices & OS's, as well as Apple stuff), and he wants people on other OS versions to feel welcome to participate.

Another possibility: without these options, there's a risk that people using other OS versions would pick one of the options intended only for beta users NOT based on their actual experience but based on what they've heard or read about the beta, or based on their positive or negative opinion about Apple beta software. This would make the results noisier/less precise, and might bias the results. People like sharing their opinions with the world and will sometimes participate in a survey that's intended for a different population; Zollo probably knows this and is trying to limit responses on the "great" "terrible" and "okay but some bugs" options to JUST people who are actually using the beta, so he gives others an option they can pick.
 
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Beta 1 was mostly ios13 with refinements so that probably helped its performance. With later betas, the features start getting cooked in.
 
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