Pretty much every review of the iPad I've read on a site that would normally be considered read-worthy, has concluded it's "underwhelming" or worse:
http://arstechnica.com/apple/news/2010/01/ars-ipad-reax.ars
http://www.engadget.com/2010/01/27/editorial-engadget-on-the-ipad/
http://io9.com/5458822/why-the-ipad-is-crap-futurism?skyline=true&s=i
but the handwavers and other True Believers (inevitably including Stephen Fry) still insist that it's not for technical people, who aren't *capable* of getting it, that it's The Next Big Thing, the Game Changer, the Moses Tablet to the Jesus Phone (I kid you not). I seem to remember such people also selling the Emperor some particularly fine new clothes a while back.
So here's a non-technical appraisal of why I don't think the iPad is "insanely great". This doesn't mean I don't think it has applications, or that it's going to bomb (say like the Cube or the Apple Stereo), just that it may end up closer to the Apple TV than the iPhone/iPod Touch (which for shorthand I'll refer to below as "iPT"). Here goes:
There are two fundamentally different ways of using a computer.
In Mode 1, you're principally interested in getting stuff OUT of it — "kiosk mode" functions from using a web browser to pressing the buttons on a coffee machine, although you may do a little organising, like setting up playlists.
In Mode 1, POINTING (plus a few less frequently used gestures) is the ultimate interface. It's what you'd do even if there wasn't a computer: point at the item you want on the shelf. Clicking links is Mode 1.
Mousing was only ever second rate pointing, because we didn't have touch screens, and track pads were only third rate pointing when we didn't have a mouse.
So by returning us to full-on pointing with the finger, the iPT offers pretty much the ultimate Mode 1 interface, with no intermediate steps or abstractions. That it also solved the problem of palmhelds not having enough space for both screen and buttons, because the screen displays the buttons when needed, was a huge bonus.
Hence the iPT is a knock-it-out-of the park winner, to the extent that people use the iPhone version even in areas where voice reception is poor compared to other models!
However, the iPad ventures into Mode 2 territory.
In Mode 2, you're more, or even principally, interested in putting stuff INTO the computer — all forms of data entry from note-taking and email through graphic work to full-on programming. Writing this article is Mode 2.
In Mode 2, WRITING (or DRAWING) is historically the ultimate interface. Typewriters were only ever second rate writing, and the adoption of the provably inefficient QWERTY keyboard layout makes them third rate. Even though better layouts exist, and better ones still might be invented using e.g., keys that change function on context, no-one would adopt while they have devices hardwired to the existing standard, and much muscle memory invested, it's not worth the trouble.
So to make an "insanely great" Mode 2 device, you have to bypass the QWERTY keyboard, and restore the ultimate interface, handwriting (or something even better, but pen/stylus-based, which conveniently reduces to Mode 1 when necessary) But the iPad doesn't, and isn't likely to in any future revision unless The Great Leader undergoes a Damascene conversion.
In other words, my take is that without handwriting input, the iPad IS just a bigger iPT. Now there are plenty of uses for a bigger iPT — e.g., medics reading patients' notes — but without written input, those same medics are still going to read the updates into their voice recorders and hand them to their secretaries to type; THE GAME WILL NOT CHANGE.
The iPT eliminates the standard indirect interfaces for Mode 1 tasks, so is a better answer than its competitors; the iPad does not eliminate the equivalent indirections for Mode 2, so isn't.
It follows that the best uses for an iPad will be Mode 1 tasks for which the iPT screen is genuinely not big enough, rather than genuine Mode 2 tasks, for which a netbook or laptop form factor (albeit maybe with a cleaner OS than Windoze or Linux) will still win out. That's still a lot of niche applications (I have one myself, but not one I'd pay $500 for…) and likely a successful or at least profitable product, but NOT The Next Big Thing…
http://arstechnica.com/apple/news/2010/01/ars-ipad-reax.ars
http://www.engadget.com/2010/01/27/editorial-engadget-on-the-ipad/
http://io9.com/5458822/why-the-ipad-is-crap-futurism?skyline=true&s=i
but the handwavers and other True Believers (inevitably including Stephen Fry) still insist that it's not for technical people, who aren't *capable* of getting it, that it's The Next Big Thing, the Game Changer, the Moses Tablet to the Jesus Phone (I kid you not). I seem to remember such people also selling the Emperor some particularly fine new clothes a while back.
So here's a non-technical appraisal of why I don't think the iPad is "insanely great". This doesn't mean I don't think it has applications, or that it's going to bomb (say like the Cube or the Apple Stereo), just that it may end up closer to the Apple TV than the iPhone/iPod Touch (which for shorthand I'll refer to below as "iPT"). Here goes:
There are two fundamentally different ways of using a computer.
In Mode 1, you're principally interested in getting stuff OUT of it — "kiosk mode" functions from using a web browser to pressing the buttons on a coffee machine, although you may do a little organising, like setting up playlists.
In Mode 1, POINTING (plus a few less frequently used gestures) is the ultimate interface. It's what you'd do even if there wasn't a computer: point at the item you want on the shelf. Clicking links is Mode 1.
Mousing was only ever second rate pointing, because we didn't have touch screens, and track pads were only third rate pointing when we didn't have a mouse.
So by returning us to full-on pointing with the finger, the iPT offers pretty much the ultimate Mode 1 interface, with no intermediate steps or abstractions. That it also solved the problem of palmhelds not having enough space for both screen and buttons, because the screen displays the buttons when needed, was a huge bonus.
Hence the iPT is a knock-it-out-of the park winner, to the extent that people use the iPhone version even in areas where voice reception is poor compared to other models!
However, the iPad ventures into Mode 2 territory.
In Mode 2, you're more, or even principally, interested in putting stuff INTO the computer — all forms of data entry from note-taking and email through graphic work to full-on programming. Writing this article is Mode 2.
In Mode 2, WRITING (or DRAWING) is historically the ultimate interface. Typewriters were only ever second rate writing, and the adoption of the provably inefficient QWERTY keyboard layout makes them third rate. Even though better layouts exist, and better ones still might be invented using e.g., keys that change function on context, no-one would adopt while they have devices hardwired to the existing standard, and much muscle memory invested, it's not worth the trouble.
So to make an "insanely great" Mode 2 device, you have to bypass the QWERTY keyboard, and restore the ultimate interface, handwriting (or something even better, but pen/stylus-based, which conveniently reduces to Mode 1 when necessary) But the iPad doesn't, and isn't likely to in any future revision unless The Great Leader undergoes a Damascene conversion.
In other words, my take is that without handwriting input, the iPad IS just a bigger iPT. Now there are plenty of uses for a bigger iPT — e.g., medics reading patients' notes — but without written input, those same medics are still going to read the updates into their voice recorders and hand them to their secretaries to type; THE GAME WILL NOT CHANGE.
The iPT eliminates the standard indirect interfaces for Mode 1 tasks, so is a better answer than its competitors; the iPad does not eliminate the equivalent indirections for Mode 2, so isn't.
It follows that the best uses for an iPad will be Mode 1 tasks for which the iPT screen is genuinely not big enough, rather than genuine Mode 2 tasks, for which a netbook or laptop form factor (albeit maybe with a cleaner OS than Windoze or Linux) will still win out. That's still a lot of niche applications (I have one myself, but not one I'd pay $500 for…) and likely a successful or at least profitable product, but NOT The Next Big Thing…