yeah, it really is too good of a deal to pass up on. I just bought it. I wish B&H had a better return policy since you can't return opened laptops like you can with Apple, but luckily if I change my mind before I open it they'll take it back. I feel like you can't really go wrong either way
You could probably put it on Ebay for a nice profit if you don't like it.
I wouldn’t spend 2k+ bucks on a laptop that is likely to be not supported in 4 years. I got my 64GB 16 MBP for 3600 when it was released. Just don’t see spending that much money on laptop which lost significant value and 2-3 years of support window. I keep laptops for 8 years in support.
My observation is many people are keeping their devices much longer even beyond OS updates.
My 2015 13 inch MacBook got the following:
1. OS X Yosemite (preinstalled)
2. El Capitan
3. Sierra
4. High Sierra
5. Mojave
6. Catalina
7. Big Sur
8. Monterrey
9. Two more years of security updates
If you bought a 2021 MacBook Pro which was only a couple years ago, yeah, you might miss two future OS releases. But seriously that would be 7 to 8 years from now.
2021. Monterey
2022. Ventura
2023. Sonoma
2024. macOS 15
2025. macOS 16
2026. macOS 17
2027. macOS 18
2028. macOS 19
2029. Start of two years of security updates
2030. Last year of security updates
2031. You likely would have already bought a brand new MacBook Pro long ago.
Five years is a long time in computing and we don't know what kinda curve ball life will throw at us. During that time, our workflow might switch to an iMac, a Vision Pro or even a cheaper MacBook Air. So counting the value on the amount of macOS releases you will get out of it is not really the way to quantify it. Are you getting an ROI on your investment based on what you will use it for? Example: edit wedding videos, DJ at the reception, graphic design.
I always remember a friend from Mexico who used these old iMac G3's that were long past their expiry date with Illustrator 10 and Panther to run a business selling T-shirt designs. He was making good money, too. It's one of the hallmarks of Mac users I don't see anymore. The old printshop with that super old world Mac running Photoshop 2 and QuarkXpress 3.3 still doing the job.