I doubt it. The best selling iPads are on the low end of the price spectrum. There will likely be more purchases with a design change but I don't think it's going to start outselling the mid-size models.
I have a mini 4 and even back when I first got it, it's my least used iPad. There was no honeymoon period whatsoever. Either the text was just a bit too small for my comfort or there's too little content displayed. Most comfy iPad for gaming, though.
I like dedicated devices as well but the iPad mini doesn't serve any of that for me at the moment. I've seen a number of users on MobileRead use the iPad mini as ereader but if I'm going lighter than mid-sized iPads, I prefer the sub-200g Kindle Paperwhite or Kobo Libra.
You’re probably right that it’s not a huge group of people.
The mini definitely isn’t ideal for everyone’s consumption needs (eg. using as main device for video, comics, preferring e-ink, or even just plain not caring about having a small device that can be held one-handed comfortably for long periods). Although as far as text being too small vs. showing less text on the screen at once—for mostly text-based consumption I don’t find it that important to show a lot of text at once. Also the increase in scrolling caused by increase in text size doesn’t seem like too much of an issue, since it’s only a 1:1 relationship. So since text on this page is about 25% bigger on my 12.9” iPP than on my mini, if I matched the bigger text size I’d only have to scroll 25% more. I think this doesn’t bother me especially because I spend a lot more time reading than I do scrolling, so the slight increase of something I’m not doing constantly anyway makes the difference not too significant. If for some reason I was already scrolling more than I wanted to, or if I had to increase the text size by a lot, say 50% or more, then that would start to become a different story, I think.
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I can definitely see where you’re coming from, and it makes sense for those who want to or do own multiple devices. I am not the kind of user who can justify having a small iPad and a large iPad, or a pro and an iMac. I just don’t use any single device enough to justify it when I have several devices.
I sold my 11” pro months back because I had an iMac I needed to keep, and the pro was just not getting used enough to justify the cost. I had a 6th gen sitting here, so I sold the pro. Then, with some musical iPads going on with the grandkids, and trying to get them all onto devices with pencil support (a couple were still on 5th gens), I wound up with a mini 5, which I loved. Then I realized I was able to sell my iMac and go back to iPad as my only computing device, so I contemplated keeping the Mini and going with a 12.9, or selling the mini and getting an 11’.
Ultimately I chose to do the latter because I just couldn’t justify two iPads, even though the uses would be different. I knew I would want to use the pro in my lap for games, and not the mini, the pro to read, etc. I knew the mini would get pushed aside, and I knew the 12.9 would be too big to enjoy in certain situations (for me, personally). Plus I have a more minimalist mindset, so having one device that can do everything just fits my mentality I guess.
I realize many others would choose the opposite, but I’m really happy with my decision.
I actually didn’t even really mean having two iPads necessarily. I do use a 12.9 for productivity, but some people only use their Mac (or pc) for productivity, and just use the iPad as a consumption device. As an aside, I think since we’re in a time where an iPad can be interchangeable with a MacBook for a lot of people, it shouldn’t be too crazy to have two iPads, one for productivity and one for consumption. Or at least only as crazy as it is to have a MacBook for productivity and an iPad for consumption.
But back to what I was saying, I was just posing the question of whether the 11” is the best size for such a use case (consumption only). It definitely can be best if one uses it a lot for watching movie/shows or comics, basically more image-based type of consumption. That’s probably a lot of people, if not most, but if anyone is like me who really just needs to do text (or audio)-based consumption, it’s my opinion that those needs are served pretty much just as well on a small device, which then has the added huge benefit (to me) of being able to be held comfortably with one hand for long periods of time, as well as going places that larger iPads can’t go.
Again, not to say the mini is for everyone. Definitely not for people who want a productive device (with rare exceptions). You make a good point that how much one makes use of their dedicated device is a key factor. If I didn’t do a lot of text-based casual consumption, then I wouldn’t have the mini. Or if I didn’t have much need to be productive while very mobile, then I wouldn’t have the 12.9”, and would just make do with my bulky 15” MacBook Pro. Or if I did both, but just to less extremes than I do now, then I would probably get an iPad size in the middle. Like we all keep saying, it comes down to individual needs and preferences.