Lets clean some things: Nvidia will show on GTC Pascal. We can expect 3 types of memory for those chips: Low end - GDDR5, mid - end GDDR5X, and High-End/HPC - HBM2. The problem is that 8 GB chips are not in production yet. So the GPUs using them will appear later in the year.
Other thing are HBM2 4GB chips... They are in Mass production already. Each stack brings 256 GB/s with possibility of making 16 GB GPU made from them, accounting for 1 TB/s of Bandwidth. So Early Pascal GPU with HBM2 is possible, regardless of what I have written before. Just with 16 GB of VRAM. The question is: where it will be seen. My opinion is that first it will appear in HPC market, later on consumer. Will Apple use them for next gen Mac Pro? It depends how much Nvidia will charge for them. But IMO: highly unlikely. GDDR5X. Mass production starting in the summer, it will go to GTX980/970 successors. We have to account 2-3 months before mass availability, so we are looking at late Q3, as well.
About Polaris. Well, before I claimed that both of Polaris GPUs will use GDDR5. Now tho, I am not so sure. I think there is quite big chance that Polaris 11 will use HBM2, 2 stacks of 2 GB accounting for 512 GB/s. It will reduce the memory controller area on die to minimum, and increase the shader count on the GPU. All of this: just 2 stacks of HBM2, will bring possibility of bringing HBM lower into the segment. Also AMD will be able to charge more at the start for lets say: 4096 GCN4 core GPU with 4 GB of VRAM, and it will not be impossible to make the stacks 4 GB, bringing 8 GB of VRAM. Of course with higher price point. Or selling them as semi custom versions, to OEMs that would require them. Of course, I am only guessing here... But again, if 2-3 months are needed for getting HBM2 onto market we again are looking at march-april release dates. Q2-Mid of the Year, as has been said by AMD officials.