IMHO the iPad is not in a great place: sales have been trending down for years and the OS revamp with Stage Manager was a damp squib. Logic Pro was a big App release, but I can't see much else of note outside of a cherry picked game or two getting an iPad release to drive iPad App Store revenue.
My feeling is that devs who are not already on iPad aren't looking to enter that market. Why take the App Store route when you could focus on cloud/web versions with broader appeal and no Apple tax.
I do agree that the iPad product line is not in a good way. It's always been hard to justify to someone who doesn't have one and the only way to really realize you've needed one your whole life (without ever having owned or used one extensively) is to somehow acquire one.
I think the iPad Air, being the closest thing to being relative to what Apple was selling before there were multiple models, is the best all around model, but that doesn't preclude the above. I think the 12.9" iPad Pro has the best shot of replacing one's computer for many tasks, but even that is hobbled by iPadOS still mostly being iOS and also still being woefully not a desktop operating system.
While you have plenty of folks with Max-sized iPhone Pros and Plus sized regular iPhones wondering why they need two large devices (even though the screen size difference between those two is fairly substantial), I think the iPad suffering least from iPadOS's shortcomings is the iPad mini. Frankly, a cellular model iPad mini, to me, is one of the best products Apple sells. But, I know for a fact that I'm in the minority.
I'm not really sure why the 11" iPad Pro exists other than to be a more premium iPad Air for those that don't want to go all-in on a 12.9" model instead. And the suffix-free iPad is not affordable enough to make it worth buying to either a basic user or a casual iPad user with an ageing iPad.
So, yeah, in short, I agree. The line is in trouble.
Disagree that we’ll be getting a mini iPad Pro but with you on the rest. I do think the mini will exist separately however as Apple seem to want it to have its own update schedule.
I mean, this sounds great and all, but I seriously doubt it is happening. We have no rumors of an iPad Mini Pro.
Most likely we are just getting a 12.9" iPad Air to go alongside the current iPad Air. And then also OLED iPad Pros as well.
This fall the 9th gen iPad will be dropped. iPad 10th gen and current iPad Mini get spec bumps.
I think the prediction sounds very un-Apple, and would create many problems if you think about it (specially that iPad mini Pro). Who knows… but my prediction is:
- iPad Pro stays as it is (and it’s updated).
- iPad Air adds 13ish inch (but it’s NOT updated, maybe just basic stuff).
- iPad mini stays as it is (and it’s updated).
- iPad 10th gen stays as it is.
- iPad 9th gen is… maybe discontinued? 50% probability.
Having thought about it, I do realize that a pro-level iPad mini is extremely unlikely, especially since Apple doesn't seem to give too much regular love to the iPad mini relative to all of the other iPad lines. I think what is probably more likely is that whatever foldable screen-ed device, whether an iPhone or an iPad is likely what will end up replacing the iPad mini and that will end up being a premium device. As a regular iPad mini user, I'm not particularly happy about this, but this seems to be where the rumor mill is pointed and, as much as I hate to say it, it makes sense and has Apple falling in line with the rest of the market.