A 6-drive RAID0 has only a 32% survival probability.
I don't buy the 32% survival rate.
Of course. Accepting this would be mathematical buffoonery.
Lets say there's about a 1 in 10,000 chance that a single drive will suddenly die in such a way as to affect a RAID0 stripe set prior to or within the manufacturer stated specifications. I would contend it's actually much lower than that myself - more like 1 in 100,000 since manufacturer specifications are extremely conservative, but we'll say 1:10,000 for now. All you need do is divide that by the number of drives you're using. So with 6 drives in use (no matter how they are configured) there is a 6 in 10,000 or 1:1666.67 chance your RAID data will be lost due to drive failure. Again I think it's more like 1:100,000 but even if it's just slightly over half that say about 1:60,000... then with six drives in the system it would be about a 1 in 10,000 chance of ruin. That seems about right to me.
And of course no matter what you actually believe the odds are they are almost completely eliminated just by having a backup system like TimeMachine employed.
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