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malman89

macrumors 68000
May 29, 2011
1,651
6
Michigan
Market is smiling at AAPL today. Three analyst upgrades coupled with credible iPad 3 announcement and it's popped about $19. Incredible. My portfolio runneth over.

I just don't get this at all. Why does a prediction of an iPad 3 make the stock price jump?

Everyone knows there will be an iPad 3. Who are these people who are sitting waiting to buy stock until these predictions are made?

I would sell some off and diversify. Price is going to tumble (not seriously, but still fall) when it comes out with 'just' a dual core A6 when analysts are hoping for a quad core. Even if it's sufficiently fast and powerful enough.

Still worth hanging on. There's no sign that it can't do anything but eventually go up.
 

wonderspark

macrumors 68040
Feb 4, 2010
3,054
105
Oregon
Nobody knows what will happen. Take your guesses and play accordingly. Some crazy event could send it way higher, or tumbling down. Maybe some patent lawsuit will hurt Apple, or maybe some new application for the iPad will replace water, air and toilet paper all at once.

There's some method to the madness in the market, but it's a system built on winners and losers... there are always both.
 

whooleytoo

macrumors 604
Aug 2, 2002
6,607
716
Cork, Ireland.
I just don't get this at all. Why does a prediction of an iPad 3 make the stock price jump?

Everyone knows there will be an iPad 3. Who are these people who are sitting waiting to buy stock until these predictions are made?

I agree. The stock price seems to be tied to performance versus expectation. (So if a company makes a loss of $100m, when a loss of $200m was expected, their stock price could go up; while if a company makes a profit of $100 when a profit of $100 was expected, their stock price would go down).

The release of the iPad 3 isn't a surprise, nor have there been any real surprises in the technical details we've seen so far, so I'm not sure why these rumours should drive the stock price up. It's just business as usual for Apple.
 

BaldiMac

macrumors G3
Jan 24, 2008
9,014
11,199
No need to get hostile:cool:

:D Of course there is! Do you see my avatar! ;)

Did I not merely just give my opinion on it? It is not without precedent that companies rise...then fall. They can't rise forever. I am not alone in this line of thought too. Merely google Apple being a bubble

It's not really an opinion to say that it will eventually, some day, for some reason fall. Duh.

But there is a difference in saying that and saying it is overvalued without any context or evidence.

Of course LTD would back it up with whatever Apple is doing:rolleyes: Though him saying ipad is hardly what I call backing up

Sure, but that is more than you gave to back your statement. Apple is nowhere close to saturation in three of the four markets that it is primarily competing in (iPod being the exception). The iPad is growing faster than the iPhone! And there is plenty of reasons to think that Apple could be successful in a fifth market as well (TVs). There is a tremendous amount of room for growth and every indication that they will continue to grow in the near future.
 

AppleScruff1

macrumors G4
Feb 10, 2011
10,026
2,949
Because they're doing everything right. You think you've seen growth?? This is nothing. The kind of growth Apple will experience over the next 5 years will be unprecedented. LOL jokes on you if you can't fathom what the iPad means to the industry and just where it's headed over the next few years. It'll put the iPod phenomenon to absolute shame.

Please cite your credentials. Your post as if you're a business, marketing and stock expert, far beyond those that actually make their living at it. You know more about Apple than Jobs did, have privy toall the inside info info, they consult you for all projects, etc. I think you owe it to the community here to reveal yourself. Who are you? Tim Cook? Scott Forstall? By my calculations you must be one of those two. Is that you, Scott?
 

*LTD*

macrumors G4
Feb 5, 2009
10,703
1
Canada
Says the biased observer

The facts happen to have a pro-Apple bias. Deal with it.

This is obvious stuff.

Here's me back in April:

https://forums.macrumors.com/posts/12394856/

My post history is there for everyone to see.

You don't have to a be a super-analyst to see the writing on the wall, and to predict tomorrow's events from the combined events of today, yesterday, and 2-3 years ago. And some of it is just common sense. When RIM in 2009 sat on their behinds and did nothing, it was easy to see where they would end up a couple of years later with the same management.

Unless a thermonuclear device drops on Cupertino, you can bet all your stock in RIM that Apple has their ish together, and already has the game figured out for the next 5 years, and *at least* the next two years on the momentum of consumer demand alone. The money platform is the iPhone, but the growth platform that will take Apple to the next level is the iPad.
 
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AppleScruff1

macrumors G4
Feb 10, 2011
10,026
2,949
You don't need credentials to see the obvious.

To spout off daily the way you do, I think you do need credentials since your intelligence is apparently far above those who are actually involved in the industry. It would lend credibility to your argument.
 
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