All very good points, but this scenario doesn't gel well with Ming Chi Kuo's prediction for the first Apple Silicon Macs that I'm using as the base for my expectations. He's specified the first models coming this year will be a 24" iMac and 13" MacBook Pro. Why I think that MacBook Pro will be the 2 port version not the 4 port version is that he then says in the first half of next year we will get a 14" mini LED MacBook Pro, which is what I expect them to turn the 4 port Pro into. The current 21.5" iMac and 2 port Pro are also in the same price range - not the cheapest mac desktop and laptop, but not the top tier ones, either. They seem the perfect models to start with. Finally, neither of them got a chip update alongside the other machines this year so I think there's a solid body of evidence that these machines are going first (soon).
Again I do think eventually this model might go away - but not until the MacBook Air gets its first Apple Silicon based redesign and they incorporate a P3 panel, which they probably won't do until after the 14" Pro debuts with mini LED as a distinguishing feature.
There's no reason to have a 13" Air, a two-port 13" Pro, and a four-port 14" Pro (on top of the 16" Pro). The ONLY way I could see it being justified is if the two-port 13" "Pro" was rebranded as just being the every man MacBook, while the Air was designed for ultramobility first and foremost. But even then, it doesn't make much sense when Apple will be able to make the Apple Silicon Air outclass and outperform the two-port 13" Pro.
I'm not doubting Kuo's predictions, but if Apple is taking components that are found currently in either model of 13" MacBook Pro and putting them into the Apple Silicon Air (such as the TouchBar or other internal chip components), it could lead to him thinking that the 13" MacBook Pro is going first when it's actually the Air going first. He did say that they'd be launching pretty close to each other.
I do agree that Apple will be launching two Macs simultaneously and first and I do agree that the 24" iMac designed to replace the Intel 21.5" iMac will be among them. But given that we've actually seen part leaks for the Air and not the Pro, and given that the 4-port Pro had a recent update with current Intel chips (and the 2-port did not), I'm thinking that it's entirely possible that the Air is going first and not the 13" Pro. It's also possible that the 13" Pro is going first as was explicitly predicted; certainly Apple can handily best every 8th Gen Intel based Mac they're currently shipping with a 2018 iPad Pro SoC, so their architecture is ready to start doing that now. The A12Z gets Rosetta 2 performance marks similar to the 2020 MacBook Air's native performance, which means that whatever they put out will only be faster than the current model whether emulated via Rosetta 2 or (much more powerfully) native.
Also, again, the Air having performance that would blow the current Intel 2-port 13" Pro out of the water almost renders the need for a separate machine moot. Why buy a thicker machine with no extra value for more money when the thinner machine does it all?
I completely agree
I was originally replying to a poster who wanted replaceable RAM in the new Macs.
Oh totally. I think the only reason we've had removable RAM for so long in the 27" iMac is that the body style hasn't changed. I could see them going either way on it though. The Mac Pro will always have removable RAM in some form. Pros would absolutely revolt if that was taken away. I'm unsure about the Mac mini. I'd say that it might stick around since they made a big deal about it coming back to the 2018 mini (as a hotly requested feature), but they could just as easily completely redesign the Mac mini to not have it. They will absolutely NOT be adding removable RAM to Macs the current Intel equivalent of which doesn't currently have it. That's just not gonna happen.