But what if AI turns out to be a bubble?
Right now many companies are burning thru investor money to stay afloat. Larger ones can allow more “free” money and data center resources to be burnt, smaller fully rely on loans/stock price.
Local LLM is cool. But these companies will do everything so you don’t want to run it on your computer. That’s a cycle. So for the best experience you will still use smth like server-based Gemini.
There is a chance tho that AI becomes something purely corporate and niche, in case corporations see some perspective in it. For other users it is gonna be like 100$ per month with no free tiers or draconian limits and so no one is gonna use it.
In fact those RTX are either gonna be ultimate dust collectors or Windows will load them with some brand new telemetry scripts to steal even more data, literally data mining but done “locally” under the disguise of “LLM” from Microsoft. They call it Copilot.
See
this vid for further thoughts, about laptop NPUs and how those are purely put in for marketing purposes. P.S: yeah I know this video is highly likely made with ChatGPT. But that’s what I am saying: why Apple would ever need their computers to be big and expensive if ChatGPT works in the cloud, wherever you have Internet connection?
However in this unstable world and WWIII risks local LLMs can become one of the “stability” frontiers. But it would take quite some time for those LLMs to mature and hardware to actually become useful.
UPD: my vision is that over time there will be like 3 major companies providing both cloud and paid local LLMs for computers that will be distributed akin to Windows OS. They will be regularly updated and maintained but will require tremendous amounts of power, so this will be aimed at institutions capable of building 20000$ “supercomputers”. It will probably become popular with said private companies, governments, hospitals, universities and such. Regular users will be fed with server-based slop, because even if they will be able to purchase those AI-ready computers, they will highly likely not be able to pay for the electricity bills