You're insinuating that the Apple Watch could possibly replace the iPhone in terms of how we manage our daily tasks, ten years it's such a far speculative opposition, there is no way the Apple Watch would even meet the battery requirements necessary for LTE/cellular radio, heart sensors, EKG, the battery technology is not even close to being ready for something like this to replace the iPhone. Not to mention, the Apple Watch will likely always be a secondary device, because Apple wants to regulate this as being more health oriented, where as the iPhone is primarily a communication tool. You can see the shape of their making right now with the Apple Watch focusing on the health aspect, to where it first started as a communication device. Take in account, the iPhone is almost 70% of Apples revenue, but your theory , if the Apple Watch replaces the iPhone, are you insinuating that the consumer will simply rely on an Apple Watch to conduct other daily tasks being the primary source for the communication? I highly doubt that.
Have some foresight. It was also thought that a phone could never have the kind of battery life and CPU power necessary to replace most aspects of a laptop. The screen was too small — how could you do any productivity on a small screen? You’ll always have to carry around a laptop to do any real productive work, people like you said. But here we are.
Recall that the iPod accounted for a majority of Apple’s revenue. I know... it’s hard to believe but things change so fast that we forget how they were. At the time, it was obvious, but now looking back it’s hard to believe that a music player dominated Apple’s income. Yet, Apple abandoned their most successful product by phasing it out into a new product that would go on to becoming even more popular — a phone. That seemed preposterous at the time. Apple
was iPod + iTunes. Today’s Apple
is iPhone. But things change, and change they will.
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in 5 years, AR and the like will still require FAR more power than will be available in the watch form factor. The PHONE might do a satisfactory job of it by say 2023.
There simply is not the space for battery capacity in the watch. If you said 10-15 years, sure. But battery tech and CPU tech simply isn't there yet, and CPU tech has stagnated significantly. The leap required to get from what the watch can do today, to what you're thinking about simply isn't going to happen that quickly.
I think you’re thinking of augmented reality nearly indistinguishable from reality. That’s not what I’m suggesting here. I expect Apple’s first few generations of glasses to superimpose information on real world objects. Like walking past a cafe and seeing its star rating or asking Siri what it is you’re looking at and having it superimpose information about the object or place.
With regards to battery and cpu power in the Watch, the same was thought of the iPhone. They said there simply wasn’t enough room in a phone to run any serious kind of processing. It didn’t take long. 10 years later and we’re at the iPhone X, a serious CPU powerhouse. Look at the Watch. Its processing speed just doubled —
again. It feels like it just came out yesterday but we’re already at the 4th generation and the power of compounding gains is already starting to show. We’re at the iPhone 4 in terms of Watch development now. If they keep doubling performance, in 5 generations, the Watch is going to be as powerful as the iPhone 6s.
The glasses will have their own processor to run the display. Like the first Apple Watch, its parent device — the Watch — will do the heavy lifting while the glasses’ processor will display the images. If you think about it I’m those terms, we’re almost already there.
