In 5 years this notebook will not be in my hands. So in the menwhile I will be using my Bluray player on this dell. If bluray is no longer necessary in 3 years i will have enjoyed having it while bluray was around.
I'm not talking about playback on a computer, I'm talking about what most people do: watching TV on, well, a TV. Having said that, I assume you're attaching that Dell to a big screen? If not, why bother with Bluray at all? It won't look any better than DVD (or a download) on a laptop....
This thread was nice until this pipe dream appeared again.
Sorry to spoil your day.
Take a look at how long it took Apple to reach the top of the music sales chart. It happened last year, which was about 7 years after the iTunes Music Store began. But that still doesn't mean most people buy music online. With three of the top 5 music sellers being stores (Walmart, Target, Best Buy), I'm pretty sure that most people still buy their music on a CD.
True. But the figures for Best Buy at least include their online sales, and a lot of CD sales are through Amazon - both these are catering to people who like the convenience of online ordering, but currently still want a CD. Why? Maybe DRM, maybe the quality of compressed download files, maybe they just like to have a physical disc. At least in the case of iTunes music the DRM is going (well, is nearly gone), quality is going up and we have a generation of young people coming through who are completely familiar with music downloads and buy most of their music that way. Other people will continue to be won over from CD by the convenience and increasing quality of downloads. It's a small step from there to buying their movies online too.
With video content, you are talking about a massive increase in the download speed needed for the same type of services. We're also talking about formats that don't allow as much portability -- you can't burn a video DVD and play it on a DVD player like you can burn an audio CD for your car.
True on the bandwidth, not on the convenience: I'd argue that a video file that you can play on your Apple TV, computer, iPod and iPhone is more convenient than a disc that you need to rip and encode. I think the iTunes store has shown that it's all about that convenience/quality balance: for a lot of people, the convenience of a download outweighs the extra quality you'd get by buying a CD and ripping to lossless. Eventually video will reach that tipping point too, it's just a matter of when. Personally, I pretty much always buy CDs still rather than downloads but I'm seriously considering going to downloads for movies just because it's so time-consuming to rip and encode them from DVD.
Ergo, this pipe dream of downloading everything in a couple of years is just that -- a dream. Discs will be around for a VERY LONG TIME because of how much less prone to failure they are. Downloads will keep getting better and probably dominate the rental business, but they won't come close to dominating movie ownership.
I agree discs will be around for a long time, but i think they'll become an increasingly niche market. However, I disagree about the failure rate: I haven't yet found a three-year-old spreading jam on a hard disc, or throwing it around the room.
Worthy of the best of the Reality Distortion effect. Bravo! Not supporting the latest technology is thinking ahead! I'm still laughing at that one. Apple, the king of media playback, can't play HD movies in their best possible format!
Did you actually read what I wrote, or did you just start ranting? I'll try to make it clearer for you: Apple have a knack of predicting what people will be doing in 5 years' time and moving to support that ahead of the rest of the market. I said nothing about whether that means supporting the "latest technology", whatever that is. It seems they think that for the average consumer the convenience of a download will outweigh the quality increase of a Bluray disc. Based on the current uptake of Bluray I think they're right.
Notice that even the latest MacBooks (Air excepted) still have DVD drives in them. So Apple apparently thinks there's still a place for physical media. Only they haven't adopted the latest format that holds 50 GB and offers high definition movies.
Er, yes. You have heard of Mac OS X, right? I believe it comes on DVD in case you need to reinstall it. So does lots of other software. Hopefully that'll never need a 50Gb disc.....
As for the HD movies, why would it benefit you to be able to watch them on the (at most) 17" screen of your Macbook Pro? It won't look any better than a DVD. Also, for travel you'd have to cart all the discs around, you'd be better with an encoded version on the hard disc. Do you really sit in your office enjoying a Bluray on the screen of your computer? I'll bet most people don't.
To me the only benefit of a Bluray drive in my Mac would be to rip movies to watch on my ATV. If I'm going to do that, a good-quality HD download would be as good. I admit you could attach the Mac to the TV, but why not use a standalone player or a PS3?
And in 5 years or so, maybe we'll have flexible 3D OLED displays and holographic keyboards. I won't be using my current MacBook in 5 years.
Frankly, I'm not sure what this has to do with anything I wrote.
