In the smartphone world there is also Bada, Symbian, WebOS, S40, Meego, and soon probably Aliyun. All have some market share.
Maybe like 1.5% with Symbian making up 1%.
In the smartphone world there is also Bada, Symbian, WebOS, S40, Meego, and soon probably Aliyun. All have some market share.
Interesting comments so far. Going back to Palm's days as one of the early leaders in handhelds and observing trends over the years:
- I think RIM is done, it's just a question of when. They used to be the go-to choice for business and I rarely see them in the office anymore (Fortune 15 company).
- Even with MS missteps in mobile and my own complete lack of respect for anything MS post Vista, they'll be around for a long time to come. Their successful product lines can subsidize mobile while they carve out a piece of the pie. If they don't streamline their mobile OS (time to let go of the desktop influence on mobile devices) this might be a long and expensive proposition.
- Android: Google is a crazy strong innovator. Even with disparity in equipment, carrier/handset manufacturer impacts to new release distribution, and branch efforts like Kindle Fire, Android has similar strategic intents: Google Play provides consolidation of media and apps, and Android converged on the idea of use across small (phone) screens as well as tablets. And the power of the open source community puts *all* sole-sourced development shops at a massive disadvantage. Android will benefit from the collective capabilities of thousands and thousands of talented coders for a long time.
- iOS: I believe Apple's cross platform strategy integrating elements of mobile and desktop (iMessage, iCloud, Photostream) will only become more compelling over time and that strategy keeps Apple in the top 2 for the foreseeable future.
In the end, Android will remain the global dominant choice, Apple will remain a strong number two with the cross platform integration play, MS will remain a distant third if WP8 doesn't blow people away and RIM: Sorry, but they're toast. It was fun while it lasted, but the world moved past them just like it did with Palm.
Excellent post, your mini-essay makes you sound like a veteran market observer.
Interesting comments so far. Going back to Palm's days as one of the early leaders in handhelds and observing trends over the years:
- I think RIM is done, it's just a question of when. They used to be the go-to choice for business and I rarely see them in the office anymore (Fortune 15 company).
- Even with MS missteps in mobile and my own complete lack of respect for anything MS post Vista, they'll be around for a long time to come. Their successful product lines can subsidize mobile while they carve out a piece of the pie. If they don't streamline their mobile OS (time to let go of the desktop influence on mobile devices) this might be a long and expensive proposition.
- Android: Google is a crazy strong innovator. Even with disparity in equipment, carrier/handset manufacturer impacts to new release distribution, and branch efforts like Kindle Fire, Android has similar strategic intents: Google Play provides consolidation of media and apps, and Android converged on the idea of use across small (phone) screens as well as tablets. And the power of the open source community puts *all* sole-sourced development shops at a massive disadvantage. Android will benefit from the collective capabilities of thousands and thousands of talented coders for a long time.
- iOS: I believe Apple's cross platform strategy integrating elements of mobile and desktop (iMessage, iCloud, Photostream) will only become more compelling over time and that strategy keeps Apple in the top 2 for the foreseeable future.
In the end, Android will remain the global dominant choice, Apple will remain a strong number two with the cross platform integration play, MS will remain a distant third if WP8 doesn't blow people away and RIM: Sorry, but they're toast. It was fun while it lasted, but the world moved past them just like it did with Palm.
Depends on the Carriers really.
Now that Microsoft is back with a credible platform they're going to leverage
A. The Windows, Exchange and Office hegemony
B. Immense marketing budget (MSFT knows they cannot fail here)
C. Growing retail presence.
Android is largely a carrier driven success. When the carriers saw that Microsoft wasn't ready, RIM was dying on the vine and Palm was rotting the only thing they could counter AT&T and Apple with was Android.
They could just as easily start steering customers into W8 phones. Most of the people I know with Android phones were steered into them. There was nothing specific about the OS that they needed. They went on the recommendation of the rep in their carrier store.
That puts the power into the carrier. Apple has retail stores where they can sell direct. If the carriers stop pushing Android it's going to stop selling in the same numbers.
Yes there's room for 3 platforms but I think people are going to be surprised at how quickly Microsoft regains ground.
I know the top guy in latin america believe it or not is RIM people go crazy for BBM, plans are cheap too.