Maybe. We will see. But I disagree.
We have had an M1 and we still have devices being released with that chip 7 months later. Apple is constantly in the process of refreshing designs and more than just chips. So it’s not just as simple as a new chip and ship it out the door.
Apple designing their own chips does mean that they can have their own update cycle. But, Why every year? Remember, they have finite resources and they haven’t even released a chip for the upper end computers yet - we don’t even have the full foundation of M series chips. I think it’s wishful thinking to have a whole new set of chipsets come out every year for every device - pro and consumer levels. That would mean the ENTIRE lineup of computers, phones, and iPads all update yearly... I don’t think so.
And the question remains, at least for the iPad... why? The things are insane. Why spend the money and time changing out the production just for a moderately better chip? The average consumer doesn’t even know what an M1 chip is.
But this is the real reason = Apple has been using its own chips in iPads since the beginning and they had an 18 month cycle most of the time. Why change it now?
It wouldn’t make sense to me at all.
Again, however, the screen on the 11” is the one thing that makes me wonder if there will be a quicker update. I can’t see that staying different for too long.