I think we are now to the point where we can make some reasonable predictions about the SE 2. I am about 90% sure this phone exists and will launch sometime between now and WWDC. We are now seeing multiple rumors and even a video showing a purported chassis with a glass back today. Even if the video turns out to be fake, this is exactly the kind of chatter we see as we near an iPhone launch. When you factor in the European regulatory filings, it makes a launch in the near future seem even more likely. Here are my predictions about features:
- Upgraded Processor (100% certain) - This is about the only thing that is certain about this phone. Even then, nobody knows for sure whether it will be A10 or A11. I think its about 3:1 in favor of A10. Even though Apple did put the most up to date processor in the original SE, it still considers it the budget phone and has a larger lineup today. Giving the SE 2 A11 would jump not one but two families of phones in its lineup. I just don't see that happening. Even A10 will be a nice boost. The processing power jump won't be huge. But that's not a big deal since A9 seems to be more than adequate in that department. The real benefit will be the battery savings coming from the two low power cores on the A10. This should push the SE's already solid battery life even further.
- Wireless charging support (70%) - Given that there have been several rumors on this now, I am leaning toward believing it will happen. Also, it would be odd for Apple to introduce new phones at this point that won't support its upcoming Air Power mat. This means the phone will almost certainly have a glass back.
- Water Resistance (60%) - This seems like a decent possibility at this point. If Apple is going to go through the effort of re-tooling this design with a glass back, they might as well add the rubber gaskets for the waterproofing while they are at it. I can't imagine it adds that much to the costs. If waterproofing happens, the headphone jack will almost certainly be gone.
- No Headphone Jack (60%) - Several rumors have indicated the headphone jack is going away, and I am inclined to believe it. It seems like they are moving to get rid of the headphone jack across the iPhone line this year. The 6S is going to be dropped in September, which would leave the SE as the only model still sporting one. I will say that, if wireless charging doesn't materialize, there is a good chance water resistance won't either and the headphone jack will stay.
- Upgraded Rear Camera (50%) - It seems like this would be a given. But, Apple just updated its budget iPad and left the camera unchanged. Given that Apple considers the SE to be its budget iPhone (even if many people love it because of its size), it is entirely possible it will leave the camera unchanged here too. The 12 MP sensor on the current SE is already adequate, so there isn't a pressing need to upgrade it. If the camera does get a bump, it will probably be to the module in the iPhone 7, which supports wide color capture (I have no idea if OIS would come along for the ride here too). Doing that would force Apple to upgrade the screen quality to display the full P3 gamut (otherwise you wouldn't see all the colors captured by the camera). This is why I think it's only a 50-50 chance this will happen.
- Upgraded Screen (50%) - This is the thing I want to happen most. I am pretty confident a resolution bump is not in the cards. But I'm hoping for an upgrade to the screen quality of the iPhone 7. That would mean a 1400:1 contrast ratio with wide color support and photo-alignment of the pixels themselves. That would be more than enough for me personally. If the camera gets upgraded, I expect the screen will as well.
- Touch ID 2 (50%) - This is another thing that I want to happen. But we don't have a ton of evidence that it will. I am hoping that, since Touch ID is on its way out anyway and the sensor prices are probably coming down, Apple will throw us a bone here and upgrade it.
- Upgraded Front Camera (40%) - Hard to say. We haven't seen any rumors about this, which is not a great sign. I am hoping it gets a bump to at least the 5 MP of the 6S front camera. But, Apple could also opt to not upgrade the entire front of the SE (which itself is exactly the same as the front of the 5S). That would mean same screen, 1.2 MP camera, and Touch ID version 1. That would be a real bummer, but I could easily see Apple continuing to use this as a way to save money. Apple could also upgrade those other components and still leave the front camera the same, again to save money.
- Solid State Home Button and Taptic Engine (20%) - Unlikely, since the solid state home button would require a Taptic Engine to work. I don't think there is room for the Taptic Engine in the SE shell without shrinking the battery. It's possible, but I suspect Apple will save money here as well and opt for a regular home button and vibration motor.
- 3D Touch (1%) - Almost certainly not. 3D Touch seems to be on its way out in general. Several rumors have indicated even the 6.1" iPhone X style model will not have it when it is launched later this year. Aside from 3D touching on the keyboard to move the cursor, there isn't much 3D Touch brings to the table that couldn't be accomplished with a long press (Apple even allows this with notifications and control center in iOS 11). The technology really never caught on with developers and it just adds cost to building the phones. I would be shocked if it showed up in the SE 2.
The last question is price. I think that depends on what ends up materializing. If all Apple does is put an A10 and a few minor upgrades into the same SE chassis we have now, I fully expect the price will remain the same. However, if the glass back and wireless charging show up, it is entirely possible the price increases by $50-$100 since this is a "new" design. In the outside chance Apple decided to treat the SE as more than just the "budget" iPhone and added A11 along with most of the stuff on this wishlist, it is possible the price could go up more.
Just my two cents! Looking forward to seeing what (if anything) materializes. I am seriously considering downsizing from my X.