Agreed. Pro photography seems to be dead at Apple. Their cash flow will be from millions of snapshot shooters with IOS devices streaming stuff to the cloud and social media.
I'm not sure I agree. I hear the tired old "Apple doesn't care about "pros"" argument a lot. Or perhaps a smidgen of the "iOS is for toys or is a toy" argument. But to me, it's not clear that "what pros want" and what "Photos.app becomes" will be radically different, other than it's not called Aperture X. Or iPhotos X.
If we want today to be just like yesterday and our businesses require this approach, Apple probably isn't the company to look to for that kind of support. I definitely get that. They've never been good at this, regardless of whether the subject is hardware of software. No shocking news here.
On the other hand, they are putting a lot of work into RAW processing improvements and re-thinking the experience of their current software solutions, which yes, does involve the millions of sweating, laboring masses and their iOS photos. And the cloud. No one has brought up the very real possibility that it might make sense to rethink that flow and that rethinking that flow might require seemingly drastic changes to existing software solutions.
I can't remember the last time Adobe had a re-think, to be honest, and I'm a very long time user of Photoshop and InDesign, and I've had my fair use of Lightroom over the years as well. New features yes, UI changes to accommodate modern design tastes, yes. The bolt-on approach to software products is great for "today just like yesterday" predictability and certainly running a business. Again, I get this, but...I also see Adobe struggling a bit in their own implementation of "cloud" and user experience across multiple device types. I have a CC subscription so I've tried out the tools and had a good whack at their approach, and it seems rather like a bolt-on. Will Apple get it right? Will Adobe? Will someone else?
Apple has been ripping/replacing all of their software over the last few years. I hear the same "dumbing down" arguments over and over, but I'm not sure I agree. Making things easier isn't necessarily dumbing down. Opening to a wider audience isn't dumbing down either.
I'm one to speak though - I'm neither a "creative professional" nor am I beholden to one piece of software in my "enthusiast level" approach to photography. Even in my professional life of software development, I shy away from one size fits all solutions in the tools I use. Ubiquity of a tool and being the best are not always the same thing. All this to say I may be completely wrong but I'm interested to see what Apple has coming up.