Ok let me rephrase: given Apple‘s history about iPad updates and the strong rumors about Apple‘s other low-end iOS device, the iPhone SE, getting a spec bump to an A10 processor soon, it seems very likely that this is also the chip the new low-end iPad will get.Yes there is the chance that it might be less than that in terms of specs, but we‘re talking about the low-end iPad here, what will Apple refresh it for at all if not for a spec update.
In some ways, especially in technology, the 2017 iPad is nothing new. However, in many ways the 2017 iPad is entirely new. This is the first low-cost iPad Apple has ever done, so we really don’t know Apple’s intentions. We can speculate using past model refreshes as a basis, but this is an entirely new strategy for Apple so using past upgrade history may not apply to this new strategy. Will they upgrade it every year with minor spec bump? Two years with a major spec bump? Will they upgrade the processor? If so, how much? What about the RAM? Or the speakers? Camera? Display?
In other words, what is the planned gap between the low-cost iPad and the Pro and what is the planned longevity of this model? Whatever the next release is, it should be an interesting data point to see what Apple’s plan/strategy is.
This is kind of a new audience for Apple - people who have been intimidated by price in the past. On average, they’re probably not going to upgrade often, so putting an effort into updating the low-cost model every year may not be a smart priority.
Edit - Supplimental: Take a look at the spec of the 2017 iPad alongside the Air and the Air 2. In many ways (especially physically), the 2017 is more a successor to the Air (sharing similar dimensions and screen technology). Specs-wise,it takes it’s cues from the Air 2 - sharing the 2 GB RAM, same camera, and storage options, but slightly updating the processor from the Air 2’s A8x to A9.
Given this, Apple has clearly made a decision on how “low cost” this iPad is. I would say it’s entirely possible that, if they refresh the processor, an A9x may be all you get. They may also go back to the Air 2’s screen and say they’ve improved the screen. Or they may pull a Mini 3 and just offer no new spec bumps but something entirely inconsequential (like new colors).
Again, this is all speculation - no rumor has speculated on specs (that i’m aware of) and we have, at best, a mixed history to base our speculation on.
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