Flash still has the widest reach, especially when you consider that IE still represents the majority of the browser market, at over 60%. Heck, IE 8 (25% market share) is barely HTML 4 compliant.
Ignoring the codec issue for a moment, HTML5-capable browsers represent only 10% share. However, this figure will no doubt increase a year from now, particularly when IE 9 is out in the wild.
It certainly doesn't make sense to design new web pages Flash-based unless it can't be done otherwise. And I think that makes it a dying breed. Just as AJAX-based Google Maps was able to dethrone its Flash-based competitor Yahoo! Maps (which has since switched back to AJAX), I suspect more and more websites will move away from Flash.
Ignoring the codec issue for a moment, HTML5-capable browsers represent only 10% share. However, this figure will no doubt increase a year from now, particularly when IE 9 is out in the wild.
It certainly doesn't make sense to design new web pages Flash-based unless it can't be done otherwise. And I think that makes it a dying breed. Just as AJAX-based Google Maps was able to dethrone its Flash-based competitor Yahoo! Maps (which has since switched back to AJAX), I suspect more and more websites will move away from Flash.