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The next major change will be the one with under screen face id and front facing camera. That will take at least a few years. Maybe in 2027 for the 20th anniversary of iPhone.
 
If Apple does a foldable, I hope they use two seperate screens. I know Apple users and they would not be happy with the crease I am seeing on the foldables out there in use.
 
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Until Apple releases their Iphone Fold or Flip, then their is nothing revolutionary on the horizon on the iPhone front i'm afraid, its just going to be the same iterative updates (which most people are content with).
I won’t even call the iPhone fold revolutionary. They’re not the first to do so and they followed other’s footsteps. iPhone 1 was revolutionary. Clearly different and cut above from the rest (I remember being a blackberry user and palm tree user, the iPhone 1 was amazing). Maps with google was truly great at that time even without gps. Same with the iPod. Upon release the iPod was so revolutionary compared to other mp3 players.

iPad was pretty revolutionary having bought the gen one myself. But took time to iterate and become a mature product.
 
Anything revolutionary is years away, I don’t have inside knowledge so I can only guess, but I’d say it won’t happen again until the 2030’s maybe even early 40’s as long as we haven’t moved onto a contact lens phone by then.

For anyone that said there’s nothing left to do that could be revolutionary, well wow that is as wrong as could be. Technology is always advancing, and we simply do not know what the future holds. Imagine if someone had said that 20 years ago while on a call on their Nokia candy bar phone? We’d look back and laugh right?

In 15-20 years, if we aren’t all dead, we could start seeing phones that are lighter, slim, have month long battery life, have incredible cameras, holographic ar screens, full health monitoring tied into the watch, including things like hazardous air and smoke alarms.

Deep inside Apple and other tech companies
I’m sure they have all sorts of far off tech that way too large, expensive, and impractical to put into phones right now, but that won’t always be the case. With nanotechnology and stuff like that we could see some amazing things in the coming decades. In labs there’s all sorts of cool stuff being worked on, something that may cost a million bucks and be the the size of a shoebox right now might be ten bucks and the size of a Lentil in 20 years.

There are many revolutions to come, they will just take awhile.
 
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Went from X to 14 PM. The cam, display and live text are big improvements. You will be happy with the 15.
I agree. The 14 Pro probably would have been a good upgrade for OP, might as well wait until September now for the 15 Pro though. My brother still uses my old iPhone X, I don’t think he has any upgrade plans anytime soon - he’s one of those folks who hate software updates, so I’m sure he’s pretty happy it won’t be getting iOS 17.
 
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The previous notable 'evolutions' (rather than revolutions):

iPhone 3G - introduced 3G and GPS (2008)
iPhone 4 - first major redesign (2010)
iPhone 5 - introduced 4G/LTE (2012)
iPhone 5S - introduced TouchID (2013)
iPhone 6 - major redesign and introduced larger size (Plus) for first time (2014)
iPhone X - major redesign, first no home button form factor with FaceID (2017)
iPhone 12 - 5G support and major redesign (2020)


So as you can see, in the earlier years we got those big 'evolutionary' updates with design and/or tech.

Form factor hasn't changed drastically since the 12.

Next 'must have' or 'evolution' will be any of the following:

6G support
Completely full screen design with under-glass camera and FaceID
A major redesign such as a folding phone

Expect we'll see one of these by 2025/2026 at the latest.

Just improving the camera or battery life or processor speed isn't 'big' enough nowadays.
 
The downside: The iPhone belongs less and less to you. Apple controls the apps next they control your photos. Then your text messages and phone calls.
Maybe it’s a good idea to keep your old phone with outdated iOS.
 
I'm currently on an ancient iPhone X with having it's battery replaced ( which also seems to be dying), I was planning on purchasing the iPhone 15 Pro Max later this year however it's made me think whether to wait for the 16 given it's mooted major changes?

I buy the handset outright with a cheap Sim Only plan as it works out cheaper given I hold the phone for a considerable period of time.

I fully anticipate people to reply to this to say, 'you can always keep waiting for the next model' and 'what constitutes as a major change?' . Ideally I want to change to an iPhone that's revolutionary in terms of how the iPhone X was when first introduced.

When do we think the next revolutionary major iPhone change will be? Should I wait for the 16? ( once again yes I know the 15 isn't even out yet)
You will probably need to wait until the A series chips go to 1nm, which could be in 5-10 years time, the rate of improvement has dropped significantly and Covid slowed things down further (we should have had 3nm A series last year).

The next revolutionary iPhone will probably that does the following:
- 1nm A series chip
- removes notch/dynamic island and goes with in-display camera/FaceID tech
- Periscope Zoom camera

I doubt an iPhone with all 3-in-1 is coming before 2025.

The 15 Pro/Pro Max should be a worthwhile jump as they will bring the first 3nm A series chip (currently we are on 5nm), so the 15 will see a significant jump in chip performance both in power and efficiency, we should also see it bring a few new features.
 
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I don’t think there’s much room left for renovations for iPhones unless they’re foldables, which I’m not convinced of. I think it’s just going to be iterative updates here on out, similar to laptops. Slightly faster and better each year, with a design update every 4-5 years.
 
It depends on what you consider "revolutionary." Apple's definition is clearly different than ours, so it's really up to you. Personally, if I were you, I'd get the 15 for the new connector. It's going to standardize all connectivity with Apple devices and set a new path going forward. Other than that, the changes are too subtle to really notice, save for maybe the camera improvements.
 
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