....
In any case, you don't believe that there is a risk that if Apple talks about the Mac Pro in October then other manufacturers will start thinking about how to replicate whatever innovation or other differentiation it may include? Because that's what happens for pretty much every other Apple product.
If Apple is ready to ship in Feb/March about something they talked about on October 30th ( defacto November ) there is exceedingly little risk. The risk isn't October per se. It is whether they are ready or not. At some point they have to ship and probably won't ship an update for at least 12-18 months. For the majority of the life span of the product, the competitors will have a window to respond.
If Apple has no substantive, coherent system done at this point then yes there is a higher substantive risk. They probably shouldn't show anything. The competitors may have more competent R&D teams that can finish off a new design in 9-10 rather Apple's sloth-like 14-16 months. They are screwed and there isn't much point in illuminating just how screwed they are at a major event. Major events is not where you go to talk about your major screw ups.
The competitive risk issue for Apple is that under staffing/resourcing their product R&D puts them at a disadvantage. From mid 2017 to now Apple should be at some level of "engineering design validation" stage. There could be substantive quirks to be worked out, but what the product "is" is primarily fixed. Their competitors have designs in the pipeline(s) and are working on completing those stages. Other folks take some stuff from Apple but they in no way take all of it.
Apple puts some 'value add' on these workstation major components, but by and large they are available to all. The current Mac Pro being stuck on 2013 era parts is a problem. The 2009-2012 ones being stuck on 2010 era designs on the verge of Obsolete status is an even
bigger one. Their competitors in no way have that boat anchor problem. There is no advantage in workstation market for doing next to nothing for 5-10 years. Doing more "nothing" isn't going to help them
at all. It is more so about whether the hole they are digging isn't too deep to get out of.
If Apple has something that is approximately a Quarter ( maybe two) from release there is exceedingly little risk there versus the level of damage they are doing to their trust factor.
The Mac business/ecosystem can survive long term without the Mac Pro just fine. It could easily expand in future years (presuming Apple does a better job with the rest of the product line. For example, for more regular upgrades to the iMac Pro ). However, a new Mac Pro product probably won't survive long term as a viable product the longer they stretch out the Rip van Winkle act.
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In 2012 Apple removed user upgradeability from the 21” iMac. In 2013 they removed it from the MacBook Pro. In 2014 they removed it from the Mac mini. And so forth. And the MacBook Air, which also had no upgradeability, predated all of those.
The laptops that is far more driven by "thinness" and having 2D space of required keyboard to play with.
The iMac is in trying to hide the ram door in case shell behind the pedestal arm along with the exit fan vent. The mini is trying to hide it in a bottom placed fan ( which is its own problem.) The iMac Pro compromised on narrow slits at the bottom back for airflow but door got dropped as soon as folks would be able to see it.
The Mac Pro doesn't necessarily have those problems. As a deskside unit, it does not all. The older design did a relatively good job of lining up the lid seal with a sight line the device already had. From a reasonable distance folks couldn't see the line and frankly stored below/beside/under a desk the whole system is largely out of sight in most places too. However, even relegated to being a literal desktop the Mac Pro 2013 case also completely came off without any huge "door' disruption of the case design.
That Mac Pro is probably going to be big enough that a large door/lid that comes off in one whole large piece won't be disruptive. The MP 2013 was designed after/during 2012-12 era for the laptop Mini. The 2013 Mi A couple of standard slot "doors" really should be either unless Apple got hugely anal about what the bck of the machine looked like. ( if it were to stay tagged as being a literal desktop then that's possible. ).
There is a clear and increasing trend going back some years for Apple to treat their products as closed boxes that you configure at time of purchase only.
The 21.5" iMac in most cases just "hard to get at" upgradability. Not whether it is upgradable or not. There are so-DIMMs slots there; it is just hard to get to them. Same with iMac Pro. If the screen came off easy it would be a hassle. If there was a visible door cut in the case it wouldn't be hard at all. The Mini 2014 was a shift following the Mac Laptops. We'll see next week if the Mini is slavishly following the Mac laptops for design still. But the Mini has always been largely a headless laptop.
Trying to do 64+ GB soldered onto the motherboard is actually grossly volume/space inefficient the higher you go in capacity. It is extremely unlikely the next Mac Pro won't be upgradable once you get the case off. The real question is why would Apple lock up the case on a new Mac Pro? IMHO, there are only extremely hand waving justifications for that.
The "not upgradable enough" issue could be a problem. If Apple saddled the new Mac Pro with just four DIMM slots that would be a small problem. It should be eight with at least 4 empty. Same thing with the primary display GPU. It isn't whether that is a customer design or not. The primarily problem will be if there is no 2nd empty slot. Same for boot SSD versus 2nd (through maybe 4th) SSD.... empty slots. The case/lid itself is highly likely going to come off.
Much of the hype on both sides is Apple or users grabbing 100% control. The next Mac Pro should be something more balanced in the middle. Apple gets some stuff that is relatively fixed and users get some option. Control to remove almost everything Apple did or vice versa is just an unproductive pissing match (for both sides) for this particular product segment.
Laptops are extremely different where weight and battery capacity are far more intertwined. Phones and tablets even more so. But decoupled from the keyboard , display, most laptop oriented parts , and from literally placed on the desktop there is no reason why the even Apple's design trends for those
other products the Mac Pro should fall under those constraints.
( the SSD being T-series derived is probably coming but that is more secure operational issues which crosses any form factor. )