I think the pricing at the top end of the new Mac Mini range tells us a great deal about where the bottom end of Mac Pro pricing is going to fall. A maxed out Mini is going to be the official solution for anyone who wants a sub-$5K Mac Pro. And it's not crazy, really.
Not crazy? That would indicative that the folks in charge of Mac product management and the Mac Pro in particular were
Kings of the Bozos. That amount of exceedingly poor rationalized , non-linear nonsense at the top of the Mini BTO selections is off the charts. That
zero rational reason to use that to form the baseline of entry Mac Pro pricing. None. The only "rational" reason for using that as a baseline for Mac Pro pricing is if Apple wanted the Mac Pro to fail. (e.g., "Let's price it stupid so hardly no one buys it so we can kill it because 'no one' is buying it. ).
The Mini 2TB SSD is priced so high you can buy a external M.2 SSD enclosure and a M.2 2TB and still have hundreds of dollars left over. Putting that as a 'floor' under Mac Pro prices is ludicrous. There is a small subset of folks buying Mini's who are using "other people's money" to buy that BTO configuration because the revenues in the business context they are in can pay for it and have a corner case where need all the storage inside of one box. But that can't the same rational used for the baseline Mac Pro customer.
The iMac Pro is priced clear of much of the iMac BTO zone in part because it is largely an iMac. (even there it is highly suspect move; given the somewhat chronic discount pricing on the iMac Pro entry config that's a minor problem). That is a corner case exception. ( I suspect Apple was also nervous whether the iMac Pro would work and was looking to gamble a bit pricing to hit breakeven sooner even if that damaged long term viability. They could tweak version 2.0's baseline pricing if got confirmation was viable. if wasn't at least covered costs of the experiment). However, the rest of the Mac product line up has overlapping BTO zones. Mini overlaps iMac , MBA overlaps MacBook Pro (and MacBook). Heck even MBP 13" overlaps MBP 15". Apple does not have a general "BTO ranges must not overlap" rule. that's largely because that would be a bozo rule. So they don't.
Furthermore, The baseline entry Mac Pro is extremely likely targeted at folks who don't want an iMac and probably don't want a Mini either. If they weren't buying an iMac 'period' then pushing them out of the iMac BTO zone does a whole lot of
nothing , but drive a boatload of potential customers off. Large groups of folks who spent 3-10 years
not buying iMacs (and/or iMac Pros ) are
extremely unlikely to change their minds. Is Apple going after the Xmac crowd? No. They aren't going to strip down the Mac Pro so it drops into the sub $2K zone.
The base price will probably be relatively close to where it is now for many of the same reasons the old systems were in that zone. That is about the range of budget that a significant number of targeted users have. The Mac pro isn't a different config that the iMac form factor so it could start at 6 cores even though the iMacs will probably be at 6 cores at that point also. There is a set of folks who also can deal with a lower mid-range GPU ( could put a 'Polaris' equivalent class in there dump tons of BOM costs into the default GPU).
Plenty of RAM and 10 gigabit ethernet makes the new Mini a credible option for anyone who was in the old 6-core 2013 Mac Pro market.
Plenty of RAM in a Mini with just two so-DIMM slots? If the Mac Pro has 4-8 ECC capable DIMM slots the Mini doesn't compete on "plenty of RAM". The mini has more capacity than the old mini. The capacity on the approaching 10 year old Mac Pro is 128GB. That is fully 100% larger than the 2018 Mini's top end of 64GB (and non ECC).
Yes, there will be more folks who 'opt out' of a Mac Pro at the bottom entry level end. But that doesn't mean have to make the entry model more expensive to "push" folks that way. Some of those folks are going to want two ethernet port ( one for internet , one for storage or admin network . ) More than a few are going to want a far more viable GPU. The Mini is decent for pedestrian GPU workload, but largest sized screens and/or heavier workloads it isn't a good match at all. ( and 'get an iMac' isn't going to work for the folks who viscerally don't like iMacs. ). it is a poor match to the 2013 Mac Pro which was more ideally targeted to folks who had
two GPUs worth of workload. Even in single GPU performance the relatively ancient MP 2013 GPUs walk all over the 2018 Mini GPU. For folks who put an equivalent or higher weighting on the GPU versus the CPU, the Mini is somewhat of a 'dog' choice. It isn't good. (that is why many of its higher BTO configurations are going to have a minimized fratricide impact on the iMac; let alone the Mac Pro core space. )
Folks who bought the Mac Pro because it was a headless, literal desktop and but somewhat overpaid for mainstream desktop performance needs, the new Mini is a probably a better match. I don't think that was the primary core of the folks who bought the MP 2013 though.