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September coming in fast and still no additional info on the mMP.
Will it really be manufactured in China? Hope not. The cost of it alone would justify being made (assembled) state side.

Lower end Navi (14) leaked, to replace Polaris.
This will make the base config DOA, sort of. Although it shouldn't be out right away, but again, also not the mMP it seems.
 
September coming in fast and still no additional info on the mMP.
Will it really be manufactured in China? Hope not. The cost of it alone would justify being made (assembled) state side.

Lower end Navi (14) leaked, to replace Polaris.
This will make the base config DOA, sort of. Although it shouldn't be out right away, but again, also not the mMP it seems.

Navi (RNDA architecture) is replacing the GCN architecture, so both the RX 580x and the Vega series are DOA now.
 
Navi (RNDA architecture) is replacing the GCN architecture, so both the RX 580x and the Vega series are DOA now.

The 580X is a quirk ( in part due to both Apple and AMD tardiness ) , but AMD has nothing in the 'Vega 20' class shipping now or in the next several months. It is about as DOA as the current Zen 2 processors are given AMD has some some Zen 2.5 stuff about the 'tape out' soon. Unless the CPU/GPU provider is screwing up there is always something new in the pipeline that hasn't shipped yet.

There is little concrete evidence that the so called "big NAVI' stuff in rumors are replacements for 'Vega 20' class GPU products. ( 'Vega 20' is in the compute focused segment not the gaming one. ) There will be basic microarchitecture the same, but the implementation balance will probably be different. And RNDA isn't going to be static over time either.

The Vega 2 in the new Mac Pro aren't "big gamer" cards. They are derivatives of AMD's MI Instinct (MI50 MI60) there were not 'watered down' like the Vega VII.
 
September coming in fast and still no additional info on the mMP.

Officially Apple said "Fall". The shipping in "September" stuff is folks who aren't Apple.

Will it really be manufactured in China? Hope not. The cost of it alone would justify being made (assembled) state side.

It is too late now to change.

Lower end Navi (14) leaked, to replace Polaris.

That doesn't replace Polaris (in total. That is just the lower end of the power range ). The current Navi stuff is part of the replacement of Polaris too. AMD hasn't done anything in the replace their "big compute" card.

In relation to Mac those NavI 14 are replacements for what goes in the 21.5" iMac lass systems.

This will make the base config DOA, sort of. Although it shouldn't be out right away, but again, also not the mMP it seems.

No this "570 - 560" class replacement doesn't make any sense for the base configuration replacement. The 5700 is the replacement for the old 580. Basically need the card to standard drive 6 DisplayPort streams. AMD doesn't target the "entry" part of there range to do that.

Apple should be working on a replacement with the 5700 right now. Both for the iMac 27" and for an entry card Mac Pro.
 
Apple should be working on a replacement with the 5700 right now. Both for the iMac 27" and for an entry card Mac Pro.

It's frustrating that Apple appears behind the curve, especially with the 580x, which is certainly approaching obsolescence. But Apple's cards are very far from typical consumer "reference" cards, and they likely had to work with what was available 18 months ago or more. I'm not apologizing for them, but I at least understand. And even if it did have a 5700, I'd likely still view it as merely an average base card for people who don't need high-performance GPU compute support.

At the higher end (Vega II), Apple is obviously focused on compute and not general purpose stuff (gaming). In that role, Vega II may not be bleeding-edge, but it's reasonably strong. Now if only more of the popular machine learning applications (TensorFlow, etc.) used AMD instead of Nvidia, people in that field would be all set! In the absence of that compatibility, the machine looks more limited to video.

I think we can expect a long lead-time to revise the mMP's cards for new chips. I just hope the lead time is not "forever" like with the 6,1! The Vega II at least can be had with one or two packages each with 32 GB of very fast RAM, which should limp through about "forever" (=5-7 years) if necessary ... and if you can afford it.
 
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The 580X is a quirk ( in part due to both Apple and AMD tardiness ) , but AMD has nothing in the 'Vega 20' class shipping now or in the next several months. It is about as DOA as the current Zen 2 processors are given AMD has some some Zen 2.5 stuff about the 'tape out' soon.

There is no Zen 2.5 - AMD has finished designing Zen 3 - they have started work on Zen 4.

The Navi stack is starting to grow - we have seen some Navi 14 benchmarks, so we should see some RX5600 and RX5500 coming for the holidays. We won't see big Navi until next year.
 
Right, but Nvidia gives you 2080ti, Titan (x) etc for radically less money, and probably radically radically higher performance than Apple's Vega 2 Duos will likely cost. The undeniable problem with AMD, is they're simply not good at generating high-end realtime 3d environments. Look at 4k high framerate gaming scores, which are the best indicator of VR performance, AMD is nowhere to be seen - they've put all their eggs in 1080p / 1440p.

AMD isn't just slower on MacOS, it's slower on Windows as well. You literally cannot achieve the performance in VR with AMD, that you can get with Nvidia. Advancements in Metal will not cure hardware incapacity.

I think arguing about a killer VR workstation and cost is talking in two different directions. Do you want something cheap for games, or do you want a content creation workstation? One is cheap and the other isn't necessarily.

For a content creation workstation, which is more likely to be running software that takes advantage of multiple GPUs in Metal, the Mac Pro is good. You might be able to edge it out with Nvidia. But a single 2080Ti is kind of a joke if you're doing that intensive of work anyway. A single 2080Ti is good for an optimized final product. It's not great if you're working on the guts of a VR project and you need room to run something unoptimized at 60 fps.

probably radically radically higher performance than Apple's Vega 2 Duos will likely cost.

I think, for tools that run on multiple GPUs, there is going to be absolutely no way a single 2080Ti is faster than a Vega 2 Duo. Just looking at the specs that seems impossible.

Dual 2080Tis vs Vega 2 Duo? That's more of a fight, that might come down to exactly how good Infinity Fabric is.

Nvidia drivers are still a problem, but Apple is also still including PCIe slots. So if drivers get worked out and you really felt a 2080ti was optimal for your workflow, it's something that can be added anyway. I just don't think the Vega 7 is going to be that big of a hinderance right now, unless you are really tied up in Cuda.

We don't have prices from Apple yet, but a Radeon VII is also have the cost of a 2080Ti.
 
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If you are really into GPU accelerated work flow, I'm pretty sure Mac Pro is not an option for you. I've seen a custom workstation with 7 2080ti, and I bet that's way cheaper than Mac Pro.

I'd be really interested to know how much 2xVegao duo is compared to 4x2080ti.
Running custom GPUs only built for a certain Mac Pro with crap Apple AMD driver vs nVidia?
Well.
 
If you are really into GPU accelerated work flow, I'm pretty sure Mac Pro is not an option for you. I've seen a custom workstation with 7 2080ti, and I bet that's way cheaper than Mac Pro.

I'd be really interested to know how much 2xVegao duo is compared to 4x2080ti.
Running custom GPUs only built for a certain Mac Pro with crap Apple AMD driver vs nVidia?
Well.

7 2080 Tis alone cost almost $9000. You'd get better performance than a Mac Pro, but most definitely not cheaper. :p

Apple's AMD driver seems pretty good, especially under Metal. I wouldn't call it "crap." Nvidia's driver has had a lot of issues, which is one reason Apple yanked it. The ATS podcast had a good segment on that where they had emails sent to them from Apple insiders on the Nvidia driver quality issues.
 
It's frustrating that Apple appears behind the curve, especially with the 580x, which is certainly approaching obsolescence.

The 580X is no where near being de-support , vintage , 'obsolete' status. Not being the "newest shiny" on the store shelves is not really obsolescence. Stores mostly just selling out the inventory stock and not much new being replenished isn't really obsolesce .

But Apple's cards are very far from typical consumer "reference" cards, and they likely had to work with what was available 18 months ago or more. I'm not apologizing for them, but I at least understand.

Not just "had to work with what was 18 months ago " , They also shouldn't have been even trying to work on with something in 2018 that wasn't intended to be ready in 2018 (relatively to when the project started). In other words they should not have been "betting the whole farm" on misty 2019-2020 tech for the Mac Pro. The product was grossly late (pragmatically it still is because it is still not shipping). More latch-to-and-slide, unproven tech would likely just push the system out even further ( and possibly into 2020).

AMD taped out NAVI in Oct 2018. Initial rumor was that it was good. In a matter of weeks that turned into "oops, need to go back to pre-tape out stage". And the whole roll out for NAVI products slid about 6 months. The Mac Pro didn't need any component with that kind of characteristics. The Intel CPU roll out was likely to be funky. ( and it turned out to be. )


As far as "reference card" that should be an issue if Apple assigns a reasonable number of talented folks. A half width module MPX for the 580X and 5700 would really require some "moon shot' update of work. both GGDR and most of the layout will be pretty close to the same.

Can Apple just 'paint' Apple's name on the card and slap some minor firmware tweaks on the card and ship? No. The bigger problem is more likely the drivers than the hardware. so reference or non reference doesn't particularly probably much much of a difference on that timeline at all. And yes macOS drivers are different ( apple doesn't try to closely track Microsoft or Linux).



And even if it did have a 5700, I'd likely still view it as merely an average base card for people who don't need high-performance GPU compute support.

Driving up the base component costs would only set the base system price higher. For mostly digital audio work the 5700 is overkill.

One of the factors is that need/want a half width MPX module so still have the secondary slot in the system. Pushing higher would get to slippery slope where flip to full width MPX module and would loose that.


At the higher end (Vega II), Apple is obviously focused on compute and not general purpose stuff (gaming). In that role, Vega II may not be bleeding-edge, but it's reasonably strong. Now if only more of the popular machine learning applications (TensorFlow, etc.) used AMD instead of Nvidia,

Google runs billions of inferences per day off Tensorflow with their own processors. Tensorflow was largely originally invented to work with Google's Tensor processor.

"... The chip has been specifically designed for Google's TensorFlow framework, a symbolic math library which is used for machine learning applications such as neural networks ..."
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tensor_processing_unit


The notion that the world will end if Tensorflow isn't hard coupled to a Nvidia GPU is is the new cyprtocurrency like bubble. Nvidia likes it as it sells more cards for them. However, this is not because it is 'bleeding edge' and far more so because the current state of inertia has more models that have been sprikled with Nvidia hooks to fork them out of the open Tensorflow application stream. Nvidia has done "embrace , extend work" that is useful, but they are trying to fork folks off the bleeding edge.

There is other stuff that falls into the "bleeding edge" camp. A processor about the size of a whole wafer. That would be bleeding edge.

The inherent problem with Nvidia ( or AMD) GPUs for AI work is al the circuits deadicated to not doing AI work. All long as the competing systems simply allocate that to doing more AI computations (and not drawing traingles or textures to be mapped onto surfaces or driving raster operations ) they'll likely win out over the long term in the "bleeding edge" space.
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There is no Zen 2.5 - AMD has finished designing Zen 3 - they have started work on Zen 4.

Ryzen/TR 1000 and 2000 series were on Zen '1'. It is only the 3000 series that went to Zen 2.
Zen 3 may not be the 4000 series. TSMC has "shrink you same design library" option.

AMD supposedly finished designing NAVI back in Oct 2018 up until it wasn't actually finished. In the EPYC space "finished design" and "shipping" are more than substantively different.



The Navi stack is starting to grow - we have seen some Navi 14 benchmarks, so we should see some RX5600 and RX5500 coming for the holidays. We won't see big Navi until next year.

And even when "big Navi" arrives it may not be a replacement for Vega 20. If it is "big' because AMD slapped on a ray tracing subsystem hardware, then it won't be a replacement.
[doublepost=1567109657][/doublepost]
... The ATS podcast had a good segment on that where they had emails sent to them from Apple insiders on the Nvidia driver quality issues.


ATS podcast ?
 
dec, I know it's Fall but on Apple's page, initially and probably by mistake, it was mentioned September. Only later they changed it to Fall, maybe because they wanted it to be more vague, or they knew it was gonna be late, again.

I mentioned Navi but in fact it shouldn't be ready for the mMP yet. Still very new, drivers could be buggy. we don't want that. And Vega 2 is pretty solid, I like the thing.
 
.... <Lots of stuff> ....

Um, where do I start? Really I shouldn't, eh? Anyway:

We can all gripe (and we all will!) about Apple's decisions, its lateness, etc., and apparently about what "arguably obsolete" means. But if a new card has superseded a ~2 year old design, the old one is obsolete enough for me! And if Apple wanted the very latest card in the mMP, they likely would have had to use a reference card, meaning no MPX module with separate Thunderbolt channels (something no-one else has done so far with discrete graphics, to my knowledge).

To be clear, I'd prefer that they did just use stock cards, provided that they are capable of driving 6 to 8k displays. It would lead to faster updates. At least they are using the latest Intel chips, though given how slow and marginal Intel's progress has been recently, that couldn't have been a stretch.

It's an off-topic side-issue, but I do agree that using GPUs for machine learning is a short-term hack compared to the genuinely-dedicated neural net chips that are coming on-line. (And I never argued that Nvidia was somehow mandatory, just that there's less support for AMD so far.) But genuine NN chips won't be in these systems anytime soon, except potentially as a dedicated card like the Afterburner card. Truth be told, even some of these purported optimized-for-ML chips are kind of falsely advertised as such, being basically enhanced CPU/GPU combos, including Intel's Nervana chips and Nvidia's Jetson chips.

Also, wafer-scale designs have been promised for decades! I sure won't be holding my breath for that in a consumer system, nor would I be investing in Cerebras and the like. Multi-chip modules such as from AMD should be a growing trend, though.
 
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My money is on November / December.

I could see October if Apple does launch the rumored "top-end" 16" MacBook Pro then. Apple could then have their "ultimate" desktop (Mac Pro) and "ultimate" laptop (16" MBP) to anchor their "Pro" Mac line-up.




As for an Apple-branded 5K display, I just feel Apple doesn't see the market for it. The Thunderbolt Display is generally considered to be a failure on this board and if that was the case, then Apple is not going to want to repeat that "mistake" by offering a 5K Thunderbolt Display that will mostly sit in warehouses and on display in Apple Stores.

Instead, they will have a $6,000 display sit mostly in warehouses and on display in Apple stores..

Taking the UltraWide form factor, and stuffing those into an Apple designed modular form-factor would still have been an expensive display, but at least something people would have desired, that would have stood out, and it would have significantly increased the desirability of ultrawide (since everyone would be copying Apple).

As it stands right now - meh!

Better to let LG take the risk and LG is not going to want to invest a lot of money into it's design if they, too, don't expect to sell many. So they just put the panel in a cheap plastic case and call it good.

LG seems to feel widescreen "5K" displays have a stronger market which is why they put some effort into their Ultrawide design.

Which is what Apple should have released as their Mac Pro Companion display - an LG 38” ultrawide display, in whatever enclosure Apple designed for it.
 
But no LG for me, thanks. Too bad those are not Apple's design.
Apparently those are Apple design (or rather, another example of “phone in” design from Jony Ive, since those had to be approved by Apple - pretty much every other display LG makes is better and more attractively designed.
 
Horse hockey without a link to a reliable source.

Apple fans often pass along claims of special deals for Apple or claims of co-designed products.

Most of the times these are fabricated stories - or worse. At best, as is probably the case with the LG monitors, it's simply that Apple has tested the monitors, and maybe contributed feedback about minor firmware tweaks that were needed.

Co-designed? LOL

These Apple fans would be correct in the case of these ultra fine displays.


https://www.theverge.com/circuitbreaker/2019/7/30/20748047/lg-ultrafine-5k-display-apple-new-model
 
Come on, come on. Put it up for sale.

The first day of Fall is 24 days away. :)

If they are just trying to resolve having 10.14 Mojave be the 'original' shipping OS for the system, but have issues so sliding into October logistically, then I suspect anything in September would be a "paper" launch. They would be just marking a date, so if some folks want to "roll back" their Mac Pro to 10.14 , then it won't be breaking the normal Apple rules.

If getting hit with hefty tariffs probably isn't helping clear up the launch ( as Apple will probably want to reset the price before starting to take orders. )
 
Apple will likely mention Catalina at the iPhone event on 10 September so also noting the Mac Pro order/ship date at that event would not be out of place.

I do not believe Apple has anything else in the Mac pipeline other than the 16-inch MacBook Pro, so I don't see a separate Mac-centric event in October. So the MBP might also be announced at the iPhone event just because it is the last live event Apple has planned for 2019.

The other option is to announce the Mac Pro order/ship date and the 16-inch MBP via Press Release (with select hands-on reviews of the MBP).


As for tariffs, as majus noted, Apple will absorb those costs themselves, at least in the short-term. If the trade battle lasts for an extended period of time (more than six months), then Apple might have to start passing that cost on to consumers (their margins are so high they could absorb them indefinitely, but it will be a drag on profits and that will eventually start to depress the stock price and force Apple to act).
 
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Apple will likely mention Catalina at the iPhone event on 10 September so also noting the Mac Pro order/ship date at that event would not be out of place.

It would be out of place. Apple has a watch and phone to get out and showcase. They don't need a > 2 hour dog and pony show with "even more stuff" . Apple's not going to be taking actual orders on the 10th for those items either.

For the Mac Pro all Apple primarily needs to do is simply just attach actual prices to the details that are on the tech specs page. That's it. There absolutely no need for any dog and pony show in the slightest. Show the prices and maybe start taking orders. that is not an extravaganza. The base configuration price is already known. Some kind of "spectacular reveal" for the price of the Vega 2 Duo card? That is just ridiculous.


Furthermore, pricing and structure of Disney+ is basically formally out there. AppleTV+ can sit in hole and get run over but if Apple wants folks to start budgeting for their stuff , they need to get the prices formally out there.


I do not believe Apple has anything else in the Mac pipeline other than the 16-inch MacBook Pro, so I don't see a separate Mac-centric event in October. So the MBP might also be announced at the iPhone event just because it is the last live event Apple has planned for 2019.

Apple has iPads. There are model numbers registered. The iPad and Macs could be coupled together in another event. Apple has done it before.



The other option is to announce the Mac Pro order/ship date and the 16-inch MBP via Press Release (with select hands-on reviews of the MBP).

Apple will probably sell 10x more of those 16 MBP than Mac Pros. If there was something that deserved a press release launch it would be a simple price list with no new technical details or features.


As for tariffs, as majus noted, Apple will absorb those costs themselves, at least in the short-term. If the trade battle lasts for an extended period of time (more than six months), then Apple might have to start passing that cost on to consumers (their margins are so high they could absorb them indefinitely, but it will be a drag on profits and that will eventually start to depress the stock price and force Apple to act).

chuckle. Apple absorbs no large currency shifts relative to US dollar for overseas market pricing. But somehow they are going to suck it up for this ? Apple spends 10's of millions a year avoiding taxes and now they are simply just going to eat it. We'll see.

Perhaps they'll wait until December when the laptops kick in. Or they are simply kicking the can into October expecting Trump's bluff to fold. If Apple thinks it is only going to last a couple of weeks then yeah they'll skip it. But if that is true is just delay to launch then it will be over and wouldn't have to 'eat' anything (except inventory costs but there is going to be a demand bubble anyway so probably just skipping shortages for some weeks. )
 
Wall Street and Ming-Chi Kuo are of the opinion that Apple can, and will, absorb most or all of the cost -- at least short-term.

If Apple has already started production on the Mac Pros then they'll ship most of those before the deadline and warehouse them (and eat the inventory cost). They'll ship those because weren't taxed, but the short term will probably end pretty close to after those run out if there is no movement.

I suspect the "short term" these folks are talking about may amount to weeks, not months.
 
...
hey likely would have had to use a reference card, meaning no MPX module with separate Thunderbolt channels (something no-one else has done so far with discrete graphics, to my knowledge). ...

Tens of millions of MXM modules have shipped so it is been done.

Even more tens of millions of laptops ship with embedded discrete GPUs. It isn't a moon shot project to put together a implementation with the reference board plans as a initial guideline.

The half MPX width 580x module doesn't even have Thunderbolt on the card. It needs to get DisplayPort off the card but MXM has been doing that for years. It is simply a matter of 'do' and not being stuck in older system inertia or 'race to the bottom' commodity.



To be clear, I'd prefer that they did just use stock cards, provided that they are capable of driving 6 to 8k displays. It would lead to faster updates. At least they are using the latest Intel chips, though given how slow and marginal Intel's progress has been recently, that couldn't have been a stretch. ...

Apple is going to prefer to have video cards that can drive their own display and their own 'proxy' displays (LG UltraFine). Since they made the decisions on the design specs and pay the bills for all the R&D their preference is probably going to get priority.

Firmware/drivers are a factor. It is the principle reason why there are no Nvidia cards. No software to go with the hardware means no cards. Not what 2980-90's vintage physical form factor they fit into. That software is going to be influences with allocation of resources, alignment of goals , and relative priorities with other paths (e.g., Windows release, Linux release , etc. )

Same on hardware side. If Apple doesn't assign folks to do the hardware in a timely fashion, then it won't get done in a timely fashion. Intel and AMD do reference boards for their CPUs but board markers manage to come out with their own boards around the time that CPUs ship. It isn't that hard is assign the resources to do it. The GPU Add-in-card is spread thin ( dozen products ) on mostly thin margins. So yeah... the prototyping reference board is typically just relabeled and resold at first with the top priority drivers ( Windows. ). Laptops work differently because the resource allocation is different and the margins are different.

Looking for the path where Apple puts in the least amount of effort and attention probably won't work out well for the Mac Pro long term. That is pretty much as fast path right back to Rip van Winkle mode they were in from 2014-2017. Generic Windows cards there are completely detached from work apple is doing with their attention focused embedded GPUs probably won't work out well long term either.

There will be "generic" cards for the new Mac Pro but they will all be in the bow wave of GPUs Apple actively, deliberately used in customized contexts in the rest of the Mac product line. The notion that the Mac Pro is going to magically sail off independently detached from the rest of the Mac product line probably won't end well.
 
Apple has iPads. There are model numbers registered. The iPad and Macs could be coupled together in another event. Apple has done it before.

Fair point. The current generation of iPad Pros launched in October 2018 so Apple could have a "Pro" event in October 2019 with the:

1) Mac Pro
2) Apple Pro Display XDR
3) 16-inch MacBook Pro
4) 10.2" iPad and 11" and 12.9" iPad Pro
5) Mac Mini refresh to 9th generation i3/i5/i7?
 
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