When do you think we see the M3?

[IJBrekke]

Before this year’s WWDC I would have said late fall 2023\winter 2024. After WWDC, I think the M3 is a full year away. The 15” Air and Vision Pro are showing their hand.

 

[Benz63amg]

Before this year’s WWDC I would have said late fall 2023\winter 2024. After WWDC, I think the M3 is a full year away. The 15” Air and Vision Pro are showing their hand.

+1

 

[Yebubbleman]

Seeing as how the M2 made it into the MBP in Jan. And the M2 was put in the recently launched in 15 Air — when do you think we will see the M3 in a MBP? I imagine the Air and the iPad will get it first. Typically that's fall. But I also don't think they will update the 15 Air with an M3 in less than 6 months. Additionally it wouldn't make sense to put it in the 13 and not the 15, but they have done things like that...so who knows.

Considering M2 is going in the Vision Pro and that's not even launching until early next year, I'd say we're waiting at least until after that launch. Otherwise, it'd be a sizable marketing faux pas to launch Vision Pro with an SoC around the same time as that same SoC's replacement.

 

[HouseLannister]

The M3 is supposed to be the smaller 3nm fab, so the main highlight will be power efficiency. Therefore, iPads and Macbooks make sense for a debut, allowing Apple to hype the battery life of their devices. (Unfortunately this means we either get an M2 iMac in the fall or just no refresh on that device for a LONG time.) Expect the M3 devices to start coming out Jan/Feb 2024. Also hoping for 2024 MBP to get FaceID based on the recent patent news.

 

[dmccloud]

There's two possible options at work here. If M3 is based off the A16 cores, then it would be a 5nm part. However, if it is 3nm as widely predicted, then it would likely be based off A17 cores instead. Given that both M1 and M2 came out after their iPhone equivalent hit the market, we could expect to see the A17 hit the next iPhone, then M3 come out within 6-8 months of that (depending on yield rates and how many TSMC can reliably produce).