October 2022 seems to be the most likely scenario. Maybe an iPad / Mac event. March 2023 is another possibility.
The latest rumors are saying it gets the M2, magsafe, new smart connector and slight design changes (maybe horizontal Apple logo). Mini LED is expected to remain exclusive to the 12.9 but that may have changed depending on yields. Overall seems like a good update and maybe enough to get us 2018 owners to finally move on 😂!
Fact is Apple has put the 11” in a very awkward position. The iPad Air gets you 90% of the Pro with the exact same chip. I really hope we see the beginning of a new generation of iPad Pro. Something that sets it apart again.