Yes likely ground. My watch was like that and last years launch day 11 pro max was like that too. Mine was on the ground truck and was overnighted. So around 1:30 pm, I'll get a departure scan, then goes to Lafayette, IN then around 7 pm will depart Lafyette and go to Oak Creek, WI and around 5 am it will depart and on it's way to my destination city. So it's possible to overnight on ground.If you're scanned in KY early, it's possible they might send your package via ground. I'm in the Charlotte metro and that's what they did for me last time.