Interesting, ML virtually mirrors the ebb and flow of the DSLR sales.
Is there really that much difference between DSLRs and mirrorless?
The peaks and lulls are similar and that's what I was commenting on.Not really. Look at how DSLR has declined from 2012 o 2015; volume is almost in half. Not so with mirrorless.
The peaks and lulls are similar and that's what I was commenting on.
Yes in complexity of design, size, weight and cost. With mirrorless there is no mirror or pentaprism and you always in live view mode; there is an EVF, not an OVF.
The key thing about the peaks and valleys is that they are normal, seasonal variations. Christmas is Christmas.I know it's not totally relatable to DSLR and ML sales but it's interesting that both formats look like they have declining holiday season sales year after year. Here's a chart for iPhone sales and you can see consistent growth especially in holiday season sales. Again, not totally relatable because iPhones also occupy different categories than DSLRs and MLs but mobile cameras have got to be eating into "pure camera" sales.
BTW, I'm totally rooting for DSLRs or some kind of large lens, 35mm or greater format digital image taking device. I hope, and think, their will always be a market for that no matter how many iPhones are sold or how good the camera part gets.
Is there really that much difference between DSLRs and mirrorless? It reminds of the old debates between rangefinders and SLRs--proponents of each cited factors that when examined closely were much, much less significant than claimed or even didn't really exist at all.
The key thing about the peaks and valleys is that they are normal, seasonal variations. Christmas is Christmas.
I agree that there will probably be a market for larger-sensor cameras for a long time, but I don't see the point to being married to 35mm as a benchmark. Results matter more than dimensions (how would Nikon's original FF sensor stack up against today's high end smartphones?). Bigger photo sites will always be better, all other things being equal, but there is a point of diminishing returns, too.
Let's compare 8x10 view cameras to 4x5. As film emulsions improved, 4x5 took over as the large format of choice. 35mm is no magic number when it comes to imaging sensors, it simply reflects the realities of the market when the SLR makers entered the digital arena. New-body-same-glass drove that.
The numbers we're seeing now in part reflect the change that comes when a new crop of photographers needs to buy both body and lens to get in the game. Arguably, there may be a positive effect from the rise of smartphone photography, as it's exposed far more people to the joys of photography as a hobby. For newcomers, if quality is sufficient (doesn't have to be "best" because 35mm isn't "best" either), then the size, weight, and cost of smaller lenses and bodies is going to take its toll (again, 4x5 vs. 8x10). If you're already used to EVF, then OVF is not a particularly persuasive selling point.
With all these constant 'look at how good it's going' posts some might think that people are having purchase justification issues.
Only justification ussue i have is how i can justify a camera any better than a fisher price happy snap to match my lack of skills!
I think it is all a matter if taste and compromise. You want the best image quality bar nothing, then go DSLR. If you value portability over a trade off for quality then maybe mirrorless, tuen all points in between are for personal preference.
In the end, those who know what they need will research and buy wisely.
For me, i want a camera i will take with me so i chose to replace my DSLR setup with mirrorless. Others choose to stay DSLR for their own reasons.
There will always be cross over we all just have to know our needs and buy accordingly.
I dunno that a DSLR is the best quality, bar nothing, even taking lenses out the equation. Some DSLRs aren't as good as some M43s or even some fixed lens cameras with bigger sensors these days. So the trade off doesn't always exist. I think price might actually be a better guide, although maybe not even that. Eg, I have a Pentax K-50 and it's cheaper than a similar Oly E-M5 (both weatherproof and sort of midrange in their lineup). But close in specs and IQ, but the size/weight is pretty important.
I have a mirrorless as well, and when looking at the specs you'd think that the weight wouldn't matter that much, but it does. As you say, you want one you can take with you, and sometimes it's just way easier to pick up that smaller, lighter camera when you go out to walk the dog. And less intrusive when taking pictures too.
These days I tell friends who want an ILC to think mirrorless first, then go to regular old DSLRs if for some reason they can't get the mix of features and price.
And as for glass, I can use almost anything on my M43...including the K-50's lenses.
I agree with you on all points except i think on the whole, a top end DSLR in 35mm terms still gives better IQ than a mirrorless. Kind of.... except for Sonys..![]()
Pah! Gimmickry trickery....
Is there really that much difference between DSLRs and mirrorless?
Results matter more than dimensions (how would Nikon's original FF sensor stack up against today's high end smartphones?).
I think the DSLR, mirroless and point and shoot cameras are all being slowly phased out in favour of camera phones. The truth is camera phones are good enough for most people. Generally we are not most people. We are more interested in IQ and taking a good photo rather than sharing snaps of our cat.
So the people who would buy a decent camera 15 years ago will buy a decent camera today. The people who wouldn't have bought a camera at all will use an iPhone to take pictures of their lunch for Facebook. There are many, many more people in that second category.
Camera phones are good enough for most people, but most people would have no interest in more than the cheapest basic camera they could find even if camera phones don't exist. There may be a lot of them, but them but they are irrelevant to the DSLR/mirrorless space.
Now, how do you get from that to real cameras being phased out in favour of camera phones?
Okay so maybe phased out is a poor choice of words. What I mean is becoming a niche market. You can still buy
Typewritters
Kettles you use on a hob
single glazed windows
Non smart phones
corded landlines
so will the camera phone brigade thick us DSLR or Mirrorless guys as dinosaurs!
For others who want to take photos whilst doing something else a camera phone will always be more convenient and cheaper!
I am perplexed, however, that the camera makers haven't recognized that they should intrude on the smartphone's domain by adopting smarter features.
Sony put out a headless camera to use with iPhones which doesn't seem to be doing well, but being able to run a modern camera headless through a tablet or phone should be standard.