- iPhone: until my SE 3 stops receiving updates, not only iOS updates but security updates as well; unless Apple releases another compact (between 5.4” and 6.1”) phone with an LCD display, which is near impossible. I estimate 8 more years, being optimistic.
- iPad: if the 128GB of my 11” M2 iPad Pro becomes too small for my needs, I’ll try to sell it and get another 11” M2 iPad Pro this time in 256GB. But I don’t plan on getting an OLED iPad, the current LCD screen of the iPad Pro is gorgeous. So another 8 years, being optimistic.
- Mac: I still don’t know if I’ll get a Mac mini or an hypothetical 12” MacBook. I’ll wait one more year, and if Apple doesn’t release a 12” MacBook, I’ll get a Mac mini. If I find a good deal on an M2 Pro Mac mini, great, if not, I’ll probably wait until an M4 Mac mini, because my 2014 Mac mini is still strong with its 1TB SSD running Monterey. Really, it runs surprisingly well for a 2cores/4threads machine with just -yes, just- 8GB of RAM. Once I buy it, either an M2 Pro or an M4 Mac, I expect a minimum of 8 years of service, probably a bit more.
Maybe you think I’m overly optimistic, but 1) I can’t stand OLED displays, 2) I expect a long support out of this expensive machines, because Apple operating systems are traditionally known for the little resources they need, and my machines are/will all be hexa/octa-core with 4GB of RAM for iOS, 8GB of RAM for iPadOS, and at least 16GB (probably 24GB) of RAM for macOS. I mean, it’s not like we’re in the era of the dual cores, and like somebody said on another thread, there’s a limit to code parallelisation to take advantage of all six/eight/twelve CPU cores. So I really expect today’s hardware to last longer.
With all that gear, I expect to be well served until 2030.