My personal experience is that I used to require a $3,000-3,500 MacBook Pro for my work and now I feel like I only need a $2,000 or less machine with M1. I would not wait for M2 as M1 will be plenty of speed especially it seems like you depend more on single core performance than you do on multicores/rendering.
- Typically have mail, ~5 notion windows, music, messages, slack, and about ~3-8 safari windows with about 1-10 tabs each
- Design programs typically running 5-8 Figma files, 1-3 photoshop files, 2-5 heavy illustrator files (you know the textured look that is everywhere), animating those types of illustrator files in adobe animate.
- Lightroom cloud or classic processing 50-500 files, though this is more for hobby and not part of my typical workflow
- 27" 4k monitor scaled
My i9 8-core MBP with 5500m 8gb with 32gb of ram could handle this type of workload (except the heavy illustrator files and animating them) but man that thing got hot, fan screamed, and battery ran down. Granted the i9 MBP is nowhere near the desktop counterpart. M1 feels way snappier and comfortable and as soon as I started using it I just sold my i9.
I was sent a base model 14" M1 pro MBP with 16gb of ram from my employer. I was disappointed in the ram spec because typically I need 32gb, but really how disappointed could I be in a free machine? I thought to myself: I know adobe optimized for CPU/GPU but there was no way they aren't ram hogs anymore. I had my eye on the base model Mac studio. For the first few weeks I kept activity monitor open and regularly found myself in the yellow with memory pressure. My ego was right. BUT I didn't notice any slowdowns or hiccups whatsoever. So the past week or so I've been throwing everything at the machine and if I weren't looking at activity monitor I'd have no idea that I was using all my ram and swapping more. Also, the only way I know the fans come on is through iStat. Otherwise I'd swear the fans were never on. If you watch the Maxtech 8gb or 16gb stress test videos you can see what I'm talking about. I've only seen the beach ball briefly while open and closing Adobe animate which is running through Rosetta and not optimized for silicon yet. Once it's running though it runs buttery smooth, even better than it did on intel.
I honestly think the average professional could simply just pick whatever form factor they want, their level of I/O needed, and screen needs. The ones shopping max/ultra chips are concerned about render times. Those packing in extra ram are probably buying a level too much- though I'd obviously avoid 8gb ram. I'd suggest watching artisright on YT he tends to skew towards the higher spec machines and really big photo files (56gb files, mega panoramas, etc)
edit: for reference my i9 was rated at 1,100-1,200 single core, the m1 pro 8-cpu 14-gpu is rated ~1,750 and the difference is night and day