On specifically for Apple Silicon at the "bare Metal" layer? Probably not, that would require Apple and it isn't so much about Microsoft protecting Surface as it would be Apple protecting their own investment priorities.
Microsoft eventually creating a way to license Windows 11 (or 10) for ARM on a virtual machine that is running on some standard ARM v8 (or v9) implementation? Probably over next couple of years (if not sooner... like months).
It really isn't Surface they are protecting. For the moment Microsoft doesn't have a healthy ecosystem of CPU vendor(s) , system vendors for Arm yet. There are folks taking stabs at it but traction is pretty light. Getting that up and off the ground worth far more than doing side-show distraction projects. Windows on Arm going in Azure would be something ( not Qualcomm processors but Ampere ). If Qualcomm or Samsung+AMD-GPU do a serious non-smartphone processor ( e.g. some varaint with 2 or 4 X1 (or X2) cores and some "ittles" ) spending time on that would be higher priority.
Microsoft needs to successfully get Windows 11 out the door and growing. There are gobs of vendors out there that aren't "hostile" to Windows so short term Macs are distraction. But if Microsoft gets it off the ground and growing the a Mac hosted VM could be some "gravy on top" work.
Apple has work to do also .... I'm not sure their virtualization framework supports nested vm/hypervisors
Looks like that feature was pulled from the M1 version of Parallels.
I have a Windows 10 machine I installed before I had made the purchase (so during the trial period). I saw that nested virtualization, which is what I...
forum.parallels.com
Comments from VMWare also seem less clear, but possible a problem (with shifting away from their own home grown virtualization infrastructure) .
No virtualization and Windows 11 doesn't want to play.
"... In addition to increased reliability, the supported processors increase security capabilities at the chip level. These processors provide virtualization extensions and virtualization performance improvements. Windows 11 supports
virtualization-based security (VBS) which enables several security capabilities, including memory integrity, also known as hypervisor-protected code integrity (HVCI). HVCI disables dynamic code injection into the Windows kernel. HVCI also provides driver control and ensures that all drivers loaded meet a policy of allowed drivers set by Microsoft and the user. .."
Today’s blog post provides two updates. First, an update on Windows 11 minimum system requirements based, in part, on feedback from the Windows Insider community. Second, information on the updated PC Health Check app that is now available to Windo
blogs.windows.com
that is one of the contributing factors they are using to "axe" older x86 processors. M1 isn't going to get a free ride there. And because Apple is only distantly and indirectly supporting it once Windows is in a virtual machine already... going to need two layers to meet Window's requirements over the long term.
[ Nested virtualization with Linux is going to pop up at some point too... so not just a Windows thing. if Apple is going to pragmatically commerical/production ban bare metal booting and kernel extensions .... they have to put in the work on a robust virtualization framework. If they don't there is no good reason for Microsoft to bother with this long term. ]