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Isn’t the M2 really M1.5? There were rumors that Apple decided to move the naming scheme around due to the 3nm issues from the chip shortage.
The M1 is based off of the A14’s microarchitecture and the M2 is based off of the A15 (the M3 will likely skip ahead to the A17’s microarchitecture). The M2 brings significant efficiency gains from much faster efficiency cores. While not as big of a boost to top like single core performance there’s enough of an upgrade to warrant a new generation. TSMC’s 3nm process is only 20% faster than 5NP at the same power consumption so let’s not expect Intel -> M1 level performance gains with each generation.
 
By all accounts the M2 is already an amazing machine...
M2 was on an intermediate node so only incrementally improved power consumption compared to M1. M3 will be a die shrink/more transistors and improved power efficiency. So, comparatively a larger improvement.

Mac Pro will be M3, likely unveiled at WWDC, and it is going to be an incredible machine.

Not certain about the 15" MBA. If it is announced at WWDC, it will be M3.
 
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M3 might be supplanted in the same amount of time... Bigger question is what sort of improvements there will be.
The point is that M3 will definitely be a bigger jump than M2 was just by process node alone, never mind arch improvements. Should get a nice perf and/or efficiency bump. An exciting time to upgrade.
 
Apple's computer lineup is getting really confusing and bloated. Screen sizes and chip gens all over the place. Same with iPads.

It's because they started listening to people. Probably not all people, probably the noisy YouTube crowd. Every time I see an Apple presentation hit heavy on something that I've heard complaints about here, I feel like they've started to drift. Apple used to have enough confidence in their roadmap that they literally didn't care what people thought they wanted.

To be fair, the alternative justification might be that with the new AS lineup they're not sure exactly what the optimal lineup will be for people so they're playing around with the mix. They may eventually pare it back.
 
I honestly don’t think M3 is until the end of the year… so your telling me through a combination of site refreshed and WWDC, we are going to get all this new hardware including MacBook airs, Mac Pro and a Headset, plus all the new softwares plus an in depth look at reality OS plus an announcement of M3… nah…

In my honest opinion due to the fact that M2 only launched 9 months ago, I think the larger Air will come with M2, with M3 launching late this year in the iMac with both the Airs refreshing next spring.

It wouldn’t even surprise me if Apple are combating supply chain issues by starting production of hardware a lot earlier than normal (look at how many iPhone leaks we have had this early which isn’t the norm), and these Airs will come at the end of the year alongside a refreshed iMac.
М3 is already being fabricated.
 
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Mac Pro will be M3, likely unveiled at WWDC, and it is going to be an incredible machine.

I'm not sure we have any reason to believe that it will be an M3. If it is, then it'll probably be a "released by the end of the year" preview. The M2 Ultra shipping the next day is just as likely, I'd think.

It would seem strange to me that Apple would consume precious 3nm capacity with low volume, low yield, massive Mac Pro chips when that capacity could be making lots and lots of iPhone chips.
 
It would seem strange to me that Apple would consume precious 3nm capacity with low volume, low yield, massive Mac Pro chips when that capacity could be making lots and lots of iPhone chips.

You make a good point here. I will point out that Apple let the MP languish thinking it didn't matter and painfully realized a few years ago now that the MP is in fact their flagship. So, they need to pay special attention to it.
 
Yes I do, apple are likely trying to combat supply chain issues by starting mass production earlier than usual.

The roll out of the M1 line up took 16 months to complete, remember M2 is literally only 9 months old at this point.
M2 was a stop gap, it's not selling well on all the devices, so Apple knows they need the M3 to get the market excited, what they need though is to expand their appeal to creators other than photos and videos with trace rays in the gpu's
 
M2 MBA owner here. Will upgrade if it has both a better screen and battery life. Speed improvement does nothing for me.
It needs better speakers and camera as well, but I doubt you get all that on an entry level MacBook, personally I'm waiting until they light up the logo again 😊
 
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I said a while ago that MBA 2023 will have M3 and Pro notebooks will have M3 max/pro chips, Mac Pro will have fastest M3 ultra (multicore). Generally, only Studio will be left with M1 for a while, and then will be updated in mid 2024. 15 inch will also probably start with 512GB of storage as well to ensure higher price and faster read speeds. Generally, quite a beast of machine, though under Air brand.
 
If this is true (and with M3 chips having been in production for a few months, why not) then surely the M2 Ultra is getting passed over? I know potential new Studio and Mac Pro owners understand the difference, but it would seem weird releasing the premier machines with an M2-anything whilst the M3 base model is in the wild. If the Airs are released with the M3 then my guess would be the Pro is previewed at the same time with M3-something for release later. But that doesn't seem to sit right, either..... Who knows at this point.
 
People in the know about SOC. In terms of internal architecture, can Apple basically just swap out an M2 for an M3 in existing designs or is there a bit more to it than that?
 
You make a good point here. I will point out that Apple let the MP languish thinking it didn't matter and painfully realized a few years ago now that the MP is in fact their flagship. So, they need to pay special attention to it.

I think the iPhone Pro Max is their flagship, at least by profit. Plus the benefits of 3nm for something in your pocket far outweigh the benefits of 3nm when plugged into a wall. Single core performance may improve because 3nm can also be faster in addition to lower power, but that's also more important for a consumer phone than it is for a multicore compute monster like the Mac Pro.

The fact that we haven't seen it yet suggests to me that they're paying special attention. If they weren't going to make something else, they would have called the Studio the Pro and acted like everything was ok. They're making sure they get this right because it's what proves their plan to make one architecture scale from watch to render farm.
 
If this is true (and with M3 chips having been in production for a few months, why not) then surely the M2 Ultra is getting passed over? I know potential new Studio and Mac Pro owners understand the difference, but it would seem weird releasing the premier machines with an M2-anything whilst the M3 base model is in the wild. If the Airs are released with the M3 then my guess would be the Pro is previewed at the same time with M3-something for release later. But that doesn't seem to sit right, either..... Who knows at this point.

Correct me if I'm wrong, but don't Intel Xeons typically lag the top end consumer processors in key performance marks because things like single core performance isn't the point of the Xeon?

People act like "Pro" needs to be just like the Mac Mini but with better Geekbench scores, but really "Pro" means the best combination of features for very narrow use cases. That almost certainly means prioritizing multicore performance over single core and ensuring reliability.

The existence of the Studio suggests to me Apple gets that. The Studio is a Mac Mini with better Geekbench scores and they didn't call it a Mac Pro.
 
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They should have the latest chip for the MacBook Pro series first but they have been doing it the other way around.
On the positive side, if M3 is true they do seem to falling over themselves to release chips which - to the savvy buyer - can only be a good thing.
 
Or what they could do is sit on 3nm chips, release a device which has been wanted by their customers for years, which they know will sell like hot cakes regardless of the chip, launch it with M2 in order to cut costs and maximise profits, then a year later launch it with a far superior chip and continue bringing in the revenue off their hardware… it’s simple business sense.

Think about it… these chips are going to be used in a lot of devices… iPad Pro, iMac, Mac mini, iPad Air, MacBook Pro 13”, MacBook Air 13 and 15”, these chips certainly won’t be going to waste.

And like I said in a previous post, if this launches with M3 say this month or next… the iPad Pro would almost certainly have to have M4 in spring 2024… because by that point we would pretty much be at the end of the M2 cycle and the all new iPad Pro would have quite a dated chipset.
I think your first part makes a lot of sense - while it would be great if they so quickly went to M3, I don't think Apple needs to rush it. The demand of a 15" MBA will be huge already - seems more likely they'll use the M2 chips that they just announced.

Second point, agree with others, I don't think that's necessarily true. The iPad Pro having an M1 or M2 chip already feels overkill for what software can do, I don't think they'd have to change the chip. Eg. a screen upgrade (mini-LED in the 11") or some other hardware change could easily justify a new model.
 
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