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Apple began mass production of 3nm chips end of December and you think we wont see M3 until end of the year?
It is entirely possible that Apple ordered the M2 manufactured using the 3nm process (M2.5?). That would yield enough performance and efficiency improvements to justify using it in the MacBook Air 15”. This would allow Apple to introduce the M3, with its new architecture, at WWDC and release products using it in Fall 2023.
 
The M1 is based off of the A14’s microarchitecture and the M2 is based off of the A15 (the M3 will likely skip ahead to the A17’s microarchitecture). The M2 brings significant efficiency gains from much faster efficiency cores. While not as big of a boost to top like single core performance there’s enough of an upgrade to warrant a new generation. TSMC’s 3nm process is only 20% faster than 5NP at the same power consumption so let’s not expect Intel -> M1 level performance gains with each generation.
But if M3 has, say, 20% better IPC than M2, then that architectural improvement, plus 20% for 3 nm, could give us 1.2*1.2 ≈ 1.4 x performance boost over M2/N4P. Not saying it will be that high, just that M3/N3E would offer both architectural and process improvments over M2/N4P.
 
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Well I just spent a while looking on eBay and FB marketplace for a second hand Studio with an M1 Max or Ultra. Still great value if you want more than 16 GB RAM and minimum Mini specs at the right second price had c.f. a M2 mini even with a 10% off student discount.
 
But if M3 has, say, 20% better IPC than M2, then that architectural improvement, plus 20% for 3 nm, could give us 1.2*1.2 ≈ 1.4 x performance boost over M2/N4P. Not saying it will be that high, just that M3/N3E would offer both architectural and process improvments over M2/N4P.
it depends on what 3nm architecture Apple goes for the laptops...from what i remember there are 3...boost in performance, boost in efficiency and some performance and something just for desktop POV
So being a laptop i think Apple will go for the middle ground. Again this only applies for the 3nm...M3 can be based on the A16
 
I think your first part makes a lot of sense - while it would be great if they so quickly went to M3, I don't think Apple needs to rush it. The demand of a 15" MBA will be huge already - seems more likely they'll use the M2 chips that they just announced.

Second point, agree with others, I don't think that's necessarily true. The iPad Pro having an M1 or M2 chip already feels overkill for what software can do, I don't think they'd have to change the chip. Eg. a screen upgrade (mini-LED in the 11") or some other hardware change could easily justify a new model.
Yes any M series chip does feel overkill, however, apple use its processor in part of its marketing as though the chip makes a huge difference… them releasing it with M3 when (if M3 comes out this month or next) means that literally 2 months after launch M4 would be out instantly making their new iPad Pro dated.
M2 was a stop gap, it's not selling well on all the devices, so Apple knows they need the M3 to get the market excited, what they need though is to expand their appeal to creators other than photos and videos with trace rays in the gpu's
Let’s be honest the general consumer who are the target market for their standard M series chips really won’t get excited about it having M3, the reason M2 devices aren’t selling well is because most people who wanted a MacBook Air have bought the M1 version, and the Mac mini/MBP m2 variants have literally just been launched less than a month ago.
М3 is already being fabricated.
That really means nothing at the moment with all the supply chain issues.
If I understand correctly, the M2 series was delayed because TSMC 3nm was behind schedule, so Apple had to (at the 11th hour) run M2 on 5nm.

Anyhow, 3nm is here, production began in Dec 2022, and Apple isn't going to benefit by sitting on it all the way to October.
they could easily sit on those chips and are literally producing them now in a bid to avoid issues with production later, shipping delays has seriously hit Apple over the past 12 months.
The iPad Pro in your scenario could just have an M3 and that would be fine. Your scenario seems unlikely, but I guess we’ll see how it all plays out.
Yeah and I fully agree but then if no iPad Air is launching this year either (which is what is rumoured) what will that have next… surely their not going to release an M2 device after already announcing M3… the iPad Air is due a refresh within the next 6-8 months.
 
it depends on what 3nm architecture Apple goes for the laptops...from what i remember there are 3...boost in performance, boost in efficiency and some performance and something just for desktop POV
So being a laptop i think Apple will go for the middle ground. Again this only applies for the 3nm...M3 can be based on the A16
Yes, I'm aware of that. If you take a look at the post to which I was responding, you'll see were discussing performance improvement at the same power consumption.
 
Glad I skipped that M2. Not that it’s a bad machine, but still, to be supplanted so soon….
Too soon. M1 to M2 took 18 months with same 5nm process. M3 is using new 3nm process. No baseline to how fast this switch to will occur, or its yielding enough to launch products. Could also set a precedent of why buy now for Apple. Just wait. ;)
 
So the just launched MacBook Pro and Mac mini are already "old"?

I don't think it will happen. It would be really silly.
It could certainly happen. And “old” is a relative term. As long as it’s still useful then the small performance difference between old and new is largely irrelevant.

People buy “old” second hand cars because they’re perfectly suitable for their needs. People buy second hand electronics because they’re sufficient for their needs. Contemporary new computers still use “old” 10th and 11th generation Intel chips because it’s good enough for the device’s expected usage.

”Old” doesn't automatically mean obsolete. Something is obsolete only when it’s no longer viable for the function it was intended for.

M3 does not automatically make M2 or even M1 obsolete. It simply offers an overall, but not drastic, performance advantage.
 
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Hi, the border of MacBook Air is thick enough to hold a high resolution camera so could u pls remove the notch in next gen products? thanks

+ 1 re removing the ugly notch. At the same time, please bring back the brilliant wedge shape from the M1 MacBook Air, which is ergonomically far superior to the clunky M2 MacBook Air.
 
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