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Oh totally agree.

I think that it would be wrong to characterise the West as 'good' and China as 'bad'.

I'm sitting here in the UK. In the 19th Century, we flooded China with opium, causing a huge addiction epidemic.

This was after we forced them - literally forced them - to trade with us.

Plus the other not so great things that we did across the world at that time in pursuit of our empire.

And of course, following from your comments, globalisation was ultimately a scheme to ensure that the US kept its place as the world's economic and financial super power whilst its allies benefited also.

I guess this sort of thing is reflected in Apple too - which is why we are all here, of course.

We can admire lots of good things about Apple - its design, its UX, its innovation, its commitment to privacy.

However, we can also not admire many of the business practices it has - its insistence on still creaming off sales on the App Store and of course and of course, its practices with its manufacturing partners.
Apple cares so much about privacy that they set Google as default search option, sent Siri recordings to 3rd party company and wanted to scan our photos. 😂
 
Apple cares so much about privacy that they set Google as default search option, sent Siri recordings to 3rd party company and wanted to scan our photos. 😂
Oh yeah, you're right 🙄😂

OK more fuel for the negative side to Apple's ledger!
 
Oh totally agree.

I think that it would be wrong to characterise the West as 'good' and China as 'bad'.

I'm sitting here in the UK. In the 19th Century, we flooded China with opium, causing a huge addiction epidemic.

This was after we forced them - literally forced them - to trade with us.

Plus the other not so great things that we did across the world at that time in pursuit of our empire.

And of course, following from your comments, globalisation was ultimately a scheme to ensure that the US kept its place as the world's economic and financial super power whilst its allies benefited also.

I guess this sort of thing is reflected in Apple too - which is why we are all here, of course.

We can admire lots of good things about Apple - its design, its UX, its innovation, its commitment to privacy.

However, we can also not admire many of the business practices it has - its insistence on still creaming off sales on the App Store and of course and of course, its practices with its manufacturing partners.
We're not in the age of empires now, don't conflate the argument.
 
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I wonder if it's the quality of materials, I thought phone case manufacturing is mostly automated.
I'm not an expert by any means, but I suspect that the manufacturing is indeed heavily automated but it is numerous stage process, and the machinery requires fine tuning and calibration in order to achieve the nanometer precision required. A few decades ago China was a symbol of cheap low-quality products but over the years they learned and accumulated tons of expertise particularly in manufacturing of sophisticated low-voltage electronics. This know-how is not something you can simply acquire after 6-months of intensive training at the plant. It will take them years.
 
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Interesting that you've decided to use the verb "to purport" when talking about your sources on Apple engineers training people at Indian factories... Especially because "purport" implies it appears as false. Which means these sources can't be trusted at all?

Also, the reason Chinese factories are able to produce Apple's hardware at "inexplicable speeds" is because : modern slavery. It's not because the Chinese workers in those factories are more skilled than the Indians or whatever, it's because the Chinese workers are under tremendous amounts of pressure to produce by an authoritarian regime that will literally kill them if they don't almost kill themselves working incredible long hours. It's not "inexplicable", it's how 80-90% of the modern supply chain works nowadays. But of course, we don't talk about that. Instead, we talk about how "inexplicable" it is... Come on
That is only partly true. The pressure from their superiors will make the workers work long hours to produce parts at faster speeds, but not necessary have a higher percentage yield if they aren’t skilled. They will still damage parts if they don’t have the proper skills, and attitude to operate machinery and tools properly. A lot of iPhone components have to be assembled by the workers, not by robots. Chinese workers in general are quite known to work hard, mainly because of the money.

If you compare both countries as a whole, China is a technology powerhouse for sure as compared to India. China is way more developed than India as a country and definitely has way more skilled workers.

Certain provinces in China has not caught up yet, but their first tier cities like Beijing and Shanghai are way more advanced in terms of technology than even many of the first world western nations.
 
Like I said, I do get your argument... Capitalism can lift people out of poverty, when it works.

But what do you reckon about the points that I'm going to make below about political / military aspects?

Globalisation was meant to be a great no brainer for us in the West:

We could elevate countries in poverty by getting them to make our stuff there
No need to pay direct aid to developing world countries - aid would be via capitalism, the single best way that anyone had ever found to create wealth and rise people and nations up.

More trade means less - or no - war
Countries who are providing wealth to their people would grow the pie in their countries through better jobs and trade - not by war.

And war is expensive and disruptive, so it just wouldn't be rational to go to war (Russia didn't buy this argument though).

And of course, it's great for businesses in the 1st World
We've all discussed this on this thread:

Companies could close their manufacturing bases in their home markets and shop around 3rd party suppliers (or relocate them to cheaper countries). Why? Reduced labour cost. No likelihood of those pesky workers joining unions etc. etc.

EDIT: Consumers got more for less
And of course, consumers got cheaper goods. They get to feel richer. They buy more stuff. The economy booms. The state gets more sales taxes etc. etc. [end edit]

So far so good.

However, with China, things aren't exactly going to plan.

This story hasn't played out yet, but I'm going to bet that historians will look back on making China as the manufacturing poster child of globalisation as a huge mistake on behalf of policy makers in the 1st world.

Instead of a peaceful country that is gradually drawn into western lead trade, capitalism and democracy, we have a country that has used its position as the workshop of the world - fuelled by an injection of western capital - to greatly expand its own ambitions and agenda and to reclaim its place as the world's leading power.

And lots of western companies - including Apple - are now extremely dependent on China.

This, I suspect is going to soon seem to be as sensible as outsourcing a big chunk of your manufacturing base to behind the Iron Curtain in the 1970s.

We'll see. This has yet to play out. But I'm not hopeful that it's going to end well.
Thank you for the thoughtful follow-up.

China is a complicated topic and frankly I might be too close to have a truly objective view.

I think though I would point to counterfactuals--the US embraced China primarily as a counter to the USSR, and there was great power gamesmanship going on there that I doubt many really understand, myself included.

Russia's war in Ukraine is ugly and seemingly futile, but if this is how the vestiges of the Soviet Union ultimately putters out and Russia becomes something more like a modern state I'll live with it. Certainly the style of fighting so far supports generally the "war is irrational" point you made.

I think both China and Russia are likely to snap back to the global trend quickly as baby boomers die off in both countries and frankly the minds warped by communist, totalitarian regimes die off. I literally don't know a single Chinese person under 40 supportive of Xi's style and changes.

Finally, I'll say that an underrated aspect of China is the very different social structure going back to Confucius and how it's been smathed together with maoist ideals. It's a really different way of understanding intergenerational relationships and really hard for westerners to understand and project the implications of.
 
I wonder though, did he? Or did he have to pay that wage to keep his factory running and then market it as altruism?
Or maybe it's just coincidental and Ford would have been more profitable and maintained its huge operations advantage for longer by paying low wages. So often we are looking for a logic when people so often act illogically.
 
Sometimes you’ll see upper management given bonuses bigger than the “cost savings” from the layoffs they engineered. They had a tough job figuring out how to fire people after all…
Maybe they can tell Howard Stern how bad it felt…
 
At a factory in Hosur run by Apple supplier Tata that manufactures iPhone casings, only one in every two components coming off the production line "is in good enough shape" to be sent forward to assembly at Foxconn. The 50 percent yield is particularly low for almost any production operation and works against Apple's "zero-defect" manufacturing and environmental goals.

It isn't surprising given that the likes of Tata and other chaebols in India have had a captured market for years due to massive amounts of protectionism in the name of making India self sufficient. The end result of that protectionism has been that these chaebols can put in a half baked effort and Indian consumers just have to put up with the inferior product or go without because imported products (after taxes and tariffs) are out of reach. It reminds me of NZ 40 years ago and the old saying, "never get a car assembled on a Monday or a Friday".
 
It takes months in the best of scenarios to get a high volume production line running. Replicating thousands of steps within tolerances required is an extremely complex logistics problem. This is how it is in all types of manufacturing when things are getting set up.

I know nothing about manufacturing but given that there has been plentiful of high quality production units (of everything) since at least the 60s , I must say the manufacturers made it look easy.

If high volume is the problem, I guess they could always split the work and add in more workers. So instead of 1 production line building 1 million phones now its 10 productions lines building 100,000 phones. I guess it would be more manageable that way, but more expensive?
 
I know nothing about manufacturing but given that there has been plentiful of high quality production units (of everything) since at least the 60s , I must say the manufacturers made it look easy.

If high volume is the problem, I guess they could always split the work and add in more workers. So instead of 1 production line building 1 million phones now its 10 productions lines building 100,000 phones. I guess it would be more manageable that way, but more expensive?
Infinitely more complex to churn out the same high precision items in multiple factories. Every manufacturing line, of every product takes time to dial in.

Now when we’re talking about the bleeding edge of mass manufacturing tolerances at scale, things get super tricky.

Then comes QC. Figuring why component X is warped by backtracking to find that screw Y was actually only turned 2 7/8ths turns instead of 3 complete turns during assembly step 40 out of 277. Modern manufacturing is a crazy thing when you get to see the nitty gritty of how it’s done.

Every step of tighter precision and tolerances as we advance becomes harder in many ways.
 
India doesn't have much manufacturing experience why even try making it there? China has established norms of quality and decades of experience. Mr cook please, manufacture where there is no compromise in quality.
 
Oh totally agree.

I think that it would be wrong to characterise the West as 'good' and China as 'bad'.

I'm sitting here in the UK. In the 19th Century, we flooded China with opium, causing a huge addiction epidemic.

This was after we forced them - literally forced them - to trade with us.

Plus the other not so great things that we did across the world at that time in pursuit of our empire.

And of course, following from your comments, globalisation was ultimately a scheme to ensure that the US kept its place as the world's economic and financial super power whilst its allies benefited also.

I guess this sort of thing is reflected in Apple too - which is why we are all here, of course.

We can admire lots of good things about Apple - its design, its UX, its innovation, its commitment to privacy.

However, we can also not admire many of the business practices it has - its insistence on still creaming off sales on the App Store and of course and of course, its practices with its manufacturing partners.

And the US has flooded Asian countries (and too many other countries) with cigarettes and horrific 'American' fast food.
 
True, but US auto and motorcycle manufacturers have relied on tariffs for protection and to raise prices; one famous one is the chicken tax.



Define work. Tariffs would raise the cost of housing and the projects using nails, raising the costs to consumers. The tariff on steel basically drove a US nail manufacturer out of business since imports were now cheaper; while also raising the costs of products that use steel. Ultimately, consumers pay more and buy less; hurting some companies as sales drop. If imposed products are cheaper then consumers will shift to those; in the end while a few businesses may benefit the consumer and others lose. In the end, tariffs are a net loss to an economy; even before the impact of retaliatory tariffs.

As a case in point, look at Harley. When the EU imposed retaliatory tariffs, it moved production out of the US to avoid them and paid higher costs for steel as prices rose, and net income dropped.



Not sure, the popular story is by doing so his employees could afford cars, starting the mechanization of the us population.



That may very well be the case. It takes a while to get things running smoothly, identify and fix problems, etc. before going online for real.

If tariffs are used to increase domestic production, and increase domestic consumption, they can work, but they are totally possible to have the effect of hunting squirrels with a 12-guage. The blowback and obliteration of the target often does cause collateral damage. Some of it really quite dramatic. Some think that tariffs 'fix everything', and that is far too simplistic. Tariffs have to be applied surgically, and monitored for effect. To broadly apply tariffs to 'punish' a country, means, yes, YOUR citizens will be the ones actually paying them as they buy the products they need/want. For a country that has almost no manufacturing base, to tariff incoming goods is a rather bold and illogical move. Rebirthing a domestic manufacturing scheme to compete with the tariffed products would be ideal. IOW: Raising prices on imports only hurts the people buying them when the only source is the tariffed country. Seems almost too simple that appears to evade some 'geniuses'...

The tariff can become a not very well hidden 'consumption tax' on consumers but there are ways that some can avoid them.
 
We're not in the age of empires now, don't conflate the argument.
We're not, it's true.

I was following on from the general point that it's naive to say that West vs China is a binary thing with one side wholly good and the other side wholly bad. There's a lot of nuance there.

I'd see it more in terms of elites vs other elites and competition within elites in each country rather than lumping entire countries as one 'thing' anyway.
 
We're not, it's true.

I was following on from the general point that it's naive to say that West vs China is a binary thing with one side wholly good and the other side wholly bad. There's a lot of nuance there.

I'd see it more in terms of elites vs other elites and competition within elites in each country rather than lumping entire countries as one 'thing' anyway.
Nuanced, yes.

Nevertheless, each of us is responsible for the development of our minds: elites will do what they want, but that doesn't mean that we go along with it.
 
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I'm sorry buddy, but this line almost invalidates your point, which is a good one.

The issue of college cost is real, but by far the bigger issue is policies that the standard college credential has lost value. At this point, we should essentially make masters degrees bachelor degrees, bachelor's degrees associate degrees, and high school grads, drop-outs.

It would be really nice to move away from these old "threshold" ideas of education and focus more on specific knowledge areas, and I think this will happen in the next few decades.
That's true as well. I went back to school decades later to get my associates. Couldn't get my foot in the door without the 4 year no matter what was on my resume. No HR department would even consider it.

I consider it a true "BS degree" compared to what I remember school being years back. Maybe it was my maturity? Experience? I went from being a B-/C+ to a solid A.

What is an unnecessary course? Should a core curriculum include humanities, sports, social sciences and hard sciences?
No, no, you aren't getting me to bite on that one! 😂
 
What's a "good thing"? Fact that we in US don't have enough educated professionals to staff those plants?
Economic Research Institute statistics say that 77% of Chinese factory workers have an education level of "below high school". However, even that education level of people in the US are not going to work for $3.30/hour... (Foxconn salary after the recent 14% increase)
 
I moved out of my parents at 16. I worked for my keep, graduated school, and left for the military and relocated across the country by 21. I never felt the need to jump off the roof, even in the military. Your argument sounds more emotional than factual.
And your argument sounds more anecdotal with a samples size of one, than statistical taking into account a large population with a broad distribution.
 
If tariffs are used to increase domestic production, and increase domestic consumption, they can work,

The problem is rising prices tend to decrease consumption.

but they are totally possible to have the effect of hunting squirrels with a 12-guage. The blowback and obliteration of the target often does cause collateral damage.

Which can negate an positive impact as well.

Some of it really quite dramatic. Some think that tariffs 'fix everything', and that is far too simplistic. Tariffs have to be applied surgically, and monitored for effect.

Tarifffs to coubter dumping or countries subsidizing imports *may* make some economic sense, even if they hurt consumers since dumping would damage otherwise competitive industries.

To broadly apply tariffs to 'punish' a country, means, yes, YOUR citizens will be the ones actually paying them as they buy the products they need/want. For a country that has almost no manufacturing base, to tariff incoming goods is a rather bold and illogical move. Rebirthing a domestic manufacturing scheme to compete with the tariffed products would be ideal. IOW: Raising prices on imports only hurts the people buying them when the only source is the tariffed country.

Even when a country produces the goods tariffs result in rising prices since the only way to be profitable is if prices are higher. They also have the perverse effect of discouraging investments in new plants since teh old ones are competitive and require no capital investment; and there's always teh risk of tariffs going away and changing the price structure to a less viable one.

Seems almost too simple that appears to evade some 'geniuses'...

The tariff can become a not very well hidden 'consumption tax' on consumers but there are ways that some can avoid them.

How? Tariffs raise prices so the are in effect a tax unless domestic manufacturers don't raise prices but they do to be profitable. The problem is they are often politically popular even if they make no economic sense.
 
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What is an unnecessary course? Should a core curriculum include humanities, sports, social sciences and hard sciences?
Back in my college days, we were required to take 2 physical ed courses. I don't see how playing sports is in anyway relevant to my earning a BS in Biology. I took soccer as one of the required PE courses. Hail, the skill difference in the class makes any meaning play impossible. We had kids ranging from former high school standouts to kids who have never worn soccer cleats before. Playing a simple game impossible. The beginners tripped over themselves or collided with each other, going after the ball. The skilled players became ball hogs because their teammates couldn't keep pace.

College courses ain't cheap. The cost of the class could have paid for several years in a sports league where you played with others near your skill level. Total waste of $$$.

I took Karate as the other required PE course. It would have cost me 1/4 the $$$ to learn from the Mr. Miyagi's House of Waxing down the street.
 
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Rebirthing a domestic manufacturing scheme to compete with the tariffed products would be ideal. IOW: Raising prices on imports only hurts the people buying them when the only source is the tariffed country.
When challenged to name one theory in all of the social sciences that is both true and nontrivial, Paul Samuelson responded with David Ricardo's theory of comparative advantage: "That it is logically true need not be argued before a mathematician; that is not trivial is attested by the thousands of important and intelligent men who have never been able to grasp the doctrine for themselves or to believe it after it was explained to them."

Tarifffs to coubter dumping or countries subsidizing imports *may* make some economic sense, even if they hurt consumers since dumping would damage otherwise competitive industries.
Yep, it's that A betrays B betrays A corner of the Prisoner's Dilemma. Worse for everyone than cooperating, but better than being a chump.
 
Infinitely more complex to churn out the same high precision items in multiple factories. Every manufacturing line, of every product takes time to dial in.

Now when we’re talking about the bleeding edge of mass manufacturing tolerances at scale, things get super tricky.

Then comes QC. Figuring why component X is warped by backtracking to find that screw Y was actually only turned 2 7/8ths turns instead of 3 complete turns during assembly step 40 out of 277. Modern manufacturing is a crazy thing when you get to see the nitty gritty of how it’s done.

Every step of tighter precision and tolerances as we advance becomes harder in many ways.

I see. I was under the impression that once its figured how its done they you only have to follow the steps and you will get same result each time.
 
The problem is rising prices tend to decrease consumption.

It does, but tariffs can be, and SHOULD be used to provide a motive to buy domestic rather than from a foreign source. Raising tariffs on imported items/goods that do not have a domestic source just punishes domestic purchasers, unless it's being driven for the public good because it does just artificially raise prices. Tariffs also can create an 'undertow' with the potential for domestic sources, in cases where there are alternatives, raise their prices because 'why not'. So tariffs are more of a blunt force object that requires a lot of thought and management to make sure they do not have a wide spread negative effect. The ham-handed application of tariffs in the past, and in other countries is a perfect example.

Saying the US applied tariffs are 'punishing' China, for example, do nothing TO China, and just jack up prices because there is no other option for that good or product. It ends up hurting yourself, doing nothing to the source. The illogic is stunning. Tariffs are not a cure all in all incidents. Like I said earlier, it's a blunt force object, a 12-gauge shotgun. The risk of collateral damage is very great.

EXAMPLE: China's application of tariffs on American cars DOES work because they have a domestic industry devoted to their production. Tariffs work in that example. I'm sure there are Chinese nationals that do buy American cars, but they can afford the 'tax' the tariffs add.
 
When challenged to name one theory in all of the social sciences that is both true and nontrivial, Paul Samuelson responded with David Ricardo's theory of comparative advantage: "That it is logically true need not be argued before a mathematician; that is not trivial is attested by the thousands of important and intelligent men who have never been able to grasp the doctrine for themselves or to believe it after it was explained to them."


Yep, it's that A betrays B betrays A corner of the Prisoner's Dilemma. Worse for everyone than cooperating, but better than being a chump.

I get it when Ricardo uses the England/Portugal example in wine and cloth. But when you decimate the production of those goods in England, what do you do with the people that used to produce those goods in England? AND what do you do to make sure that Portugal doesn't exploit that advantage to gouge England by raising their prices because they are, in that simplistic example, the 'sole source' of those goods.

American manufacturing being moved to other countries has opened up this country to opportunity of being held for ransom by those producing countries, and also opened up an avenue for deliberate or accidentally tainted goods doing grave damage or death to American citizens.

In an idea world, we would all play fair. We seem to be racing farther and farther from any indications of an 'ideal world' than ever before. I guess America is in a poor position to be throwing around tariffs as we have no other option for so many of the good that we need and moving more production overseas is just making it that much worse. (Like meat processing in China. Why? There is ZERO need to do that, and it opens up the entire industry to possible manipulation and servitude to a/many foreign countries)
 
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