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GuruZac

macrumors 68040
Sep 9, 2015
3,748
11,733
⛰️🏕️🏔️
The M1, M1 Pro, M1 Max, and M1 Ultra are going to be really fast for years. And the more powerful chip you buy now, the more that is true. They are all incredibly powerful chips and since Apple now controls the hardware (chip) and software with the M1 series, I expect optimization to be far better than years past with Intel and PowerPC Macs.
 

MacCheetah3

macrumors 68020
Nov 14, 2003
2,285
1,226
Central MN
Even if there's no new technology out, companies will revise the exact model of what you own to make cosmetic changes and so on, just so they can turn yours into the "old model" within 6 months.
Yep. For example, the slimmed down versions of Xbox 360 and Xbox One. The Xbox One X is technically a little faster. So, that’s something, but was only a practical upgrade if you were moving from a 360.
 

Boil

macrumors 68040
Oct 23, 2018
3,478
3,173
Stargate Command
Mac Pro-specific SoCs, M2 or M3...?

Mn Max SoC:
  • 8-core CPU (8P/0E)
  • 48-core GPU
  • 16-core Neural Engine
  • 256GB LPDDR5X RAM
  • 500GB/s UMA
UltraFabric 8-way Mega SoC:
  • 64-core CPU (64P/0E)
  • 384-core GPU
  • 128-core Neural Engine
  • 2TB LPDDR5X RAM
  • 4TB/s UMA
:^p
 
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Fomalhaut

macrumors 68000
Oct 6, 2020
1,993
1,724
So many accurate replies here already.... But yeah, just chiming in to point out that ANY computer equipment you purchase is really only cost-justified by what you get out of it while you own and use it.

ALL of it I've ever seen depreciates rapidly. Even if there's no new technology out, companies will revise the exact model of what you own to make cosmetic changes and so on, just so they can turn yours into the "old model" within 6 months.

I bought the M1 Max Macbook Pro 16 and paid all that money for it because I wanted to rid myself of a nearly as expensive high-end configuration of a 2019 model that had the Intel CPU Apple was clearly moving away from supporting. It had too many overheating problems under load that had no solution except throttling the speed, anyway.

This really should be plenty good enough for anything I want to do with it for the next few years. And hopefully, I can say I "got my money's worth" from all the things I did with it until I resell it. That's all that matter with tech purchases.
Good post! Accepting that any computer you buy will almost certainly be "last year's model" next year, and eventually obsolete is just part of life and the impermanence of material possessions.

As you say, what matters is the machine's fitness for purpose and the usage you get out of it.

I try to view technology purchases in terms of cost of ownership. If I buy a $4000 computer that I expect to use for 4 years, then it would be cost me $1000 / year to own, assuming it had zero residual value. However, you can add resale value (or the "value" of gifting it to someone), tax write-offs / discounts for business use etc, and substantially reduce the cost. I estimate that my last BTO MBP16 probably cost me about $700 to own for 2 years. Because I used it for work, I was able to deduct a significant portion of its cost from my income (and getting a tax refund), and I sold it for about 43% of the original cost.

Another consideration is that if you don't need the absolute latest and greatest, and plan on keeping a computer for more than about 3-5 years, then buying a 1-3 year old computer can be a great deal. There is a fairly rapid depreciation after 1-2 years when newer models come out (and the market may be plentiful due to "cutting-edge" users looking to upgrade). For enterprise gear look for 3-5 year-old tech that businesses are replacing - these are often really cheap. I bought a 3-year-old Dell T3600 work-station with 6-core Xeon and Nvidia quadro GPU a few years ago for about a fifth of the original price and upgraded the RAM (and later the GPU), and it's still doing a good job.
 
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kesenwangs

macrumors regular
May 16, 2021
183
315
Vancouver
A keyboard and mouse are “old tech”, that doesn’t render a system obsolete, I prefer to look at the system-wide overview in general then just one part.
 
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rgwebb

macrumors 6502
Nov 27, 2005
483
1,270
The 5nm tech in the M1, M1 Max and M1 Ultra is now old tech. We are on the cusp of 3nm M2's. That is a 40% decrease in size and significant boost to performance and energy savings. The last change was 7nm to 5nm which was less than 30% decrease in fabrication. The iPhone 12 has a 5nm chip and that is almost 2 years old now.

Paying $4000 or $8000 for a 5nm chip computer right now is probably a bad idea. When the 3nm rollout comes later this year, the longevity of those chips will be significantly better. Also, we are running into constraints with Moore's law and will probably not see 1nm chips for several years.
it is never a good time to buy and always a good time to buy
 
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rgwebb

macrumors 6502
Nov 27, 2005
483
1,270
A keyboard and mouse are “old tech”, that doesn’t render a system obsolete, I prefer to look at the system-wide overview in general then just one part.
might as well wait for Apple Glasses at this juncture…that entire human user interface paradigm is defunct.
 

The_Martini_Cat

macrumors 6502
Aug 4, 2015
310
351
OMGolly, so hilarious! I shouldn’t get a computer now because another computer will be faster pretty soon? Welp, too late for that?? meanwhile, pretty much zero operations and the new machine require waiting?? At all??

Also, lovely screen??
 

Luposian

macrumors 6502
Apr 10, 2005
389
258
One upping you, -5000nm tech. LOL.
Actually, that would be 0.5nm... unless I read you wrong. Speaking of which... wasn't there some thing called Moores's Law that was supposed to prevent these radical reductions of fab size or something? I remember reading about it several years ago... how did we get past these theoretical limitation of fab size... was there some limitation (quantum electrical leakage) or something? It's like it was there and then it was forgotten about! How'd that happen? ?
 
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MacCheetah3

macrumors 68020
Nov 14, 2003
2,285
1,226
Central MN
Speaking of which... wasn't there some thing called Moores's Law that was supposed to prevent these radical reductions of fab size or something? I remember reading about it several years ago... how did we get past these theoretical limitation of fab size... was there some limitation (quantum electrical leakage) or something? It's like it was there and then it was forgotten about! How'd that happen? ?
The Verge said:
For years, the computing industry has been governed by Moore’s Law, which states that the the number of transistors in a semiconductor circuit doubles every two years.
[...]
But looking to the future, Moore’s law starts to run into trouble. And by trouble, I mean the laws of physics. You see, while the 7nm node is technically possible to produce with silicon, after that point you reach problems, where silicon transistors smaller than 7nm become so physically close together that electrons experience quantum tunneling. So instead of staying in the intended logic gate, the electrons can continuously flow from one gate to the next, essentially making it impossible for the transistors to have an off state.

And while companies like Intel had originally announced that they would be exploring other materials for producing 7nm semiconductors and beyond, the Berkeley Lab research team has beaten them to the punch, using carbon nanotubes and molybdenum disulfide (MoS2) to create a sub–7nm transistor. The MoS2 functions as the semiconductor, with the hollow carbon nanotube functioning as the gate to control the flow of electrons.

The following is a very recent article, also mentioning MoS2:


In addition to utilizing new/different materials, the overall designs have changed:


Apple has been using SiP/SoC for several years already:




Further/deeper explanation, including multiprocessor CPUs, SiP, and 3D (stacking):


I won’t pretend to understand all of those details/equations/... (e.g., 12.5 Molecular Electronics and about half of 1.3.1 Moore's Law Scaling).
Perhaps someone such as @cmaier can translate into layman’s terms.

Related:

 

MK500

macrumors 6502
Aug 28, 2009
434
550
Important note: The nm numbers are marketing terms and not accurate to actual scaling anymore.

The Apple Studio and MacBook Pros contain the most advanced silicon available in any shipping device right now. There isn't going to be some massive jump that will make this obsolete overnight. That jump already happened.

Tesla (D1 Dojo), Nvidia and AMD have a few things they are working on that are on the same level; but nothing that is shipping currently.
 

Analog Kid

macrumors G3
Mar 4, 2003
9,360
12,603

The following is a very recent article, also mentioning MoS2:


In addition to utilizing new/different materials, the overall designs have changed:


Apple has been using SiP/SoC for several years already:




Further/deeper explanation, including multiprocessor CPUs, SiP, and 3D (stacking):


I won’t pretend to understand all of those details/equations/... (e.g., 12.5 Molecular Electronics and about half of 1.3.1 Moore's Law Scaling).
Perhaps someone such as @cmaier can translate into layman’s terms.

Related:

Every year there's an article about how, this time for sure, we're about to break physics forever... It's usually on the page after how we just did something cool to keep physics working after the previous year's scare.

Argh. I swore to myself I wasn't going to contribute to this silly, silly thread...
 

macacam

macrumors member
Feb 10, 2022
49
108
All my transistors are 1 plank length or less. Everything comes up quantom foam but that's alright; I got a guy to sort it out for me. I'm computing so fast I'm getting answers before I can form the questions. All you plebes with your nanos of meters got nothing on me.
 
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MikeDr206

macrumors 6502a
Oct 9, 2021
513
360
The 5nm tech in the M1, M1 Max and M1 Ultra is now old tech. We are on the cusp of 3nm M2's. That is a 40% decrease in size and significant boost to performance and energy savings. The last change was 7nm to 5nm which was less than 30% decrease in fabrication. The iPhone 12 has a 5nm chip and that is almost 2 years old now.

Paying $4000 or $8000 for a 5nm chip computer right now is probably a bad idea. When the 3nm rollout comes later this year, the longevity of those chips will be significantly better. Also, we are running into constraints with Moore's law and will probably not see 1nm chips for several years.
You’re fun at parties, aren’t you?
 

Warped9

macrumors 68000
Oct 27, 2018
1,723
2,415
Brockville, Ontario.
You can never keep up with the latest. But even the latest doesn’t render slightly older tech obsolete if it suits your needs.

The impression around here is that many posters carp on about anything less than top-of-the-line and the latest being garbage. While some posting here do indeed need the most powerful and fastest I suspect many if not most don’t. The most vocal here do not represent the mainstream of Apple’s customers.

Very few real buyers really need the power you get from a new MacBook 14 or 16in. or new Studio Mac, particularly the maxxed out versions. But being fans they go on about they’re the only worthwhile things to get even as they complain about the price. The vast majority of buyers will be well served for years by MacBook Airs, iMacs and Mac Minis.

You can see the same thing with car enthusiasts. They go on and on about performance specs and power that would be needed only on a race track, even while most vehicles on the market have performance and handling capabilities far, far beyond the driving skill of most drivers. Yeah, it’s fun, but it’s also ridiculous.
 
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