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Mayo86

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Original poster
Nov 21, 2016
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Right my comment was replying to the idea that the 16in was getting intel processors. It still says its getting the ARM treatment. That was the purpose of my comment.

But they don't need to hold an even to announce macs. For the first apple silicon macs it of course makes sense to get the buzz out. However they easily could do a press release in January, or hold an event in January too if they want. Right now it's basically just releasing a video, so it's not that difficult for them to hold an event.


Maybe this is a bit of semantics here, but he didn't explicitly say they were all going to be released at the event - just that they were going to be the first. I do see how its semi implied that all 3 of them are supposed to be at the event, but he didn't say "13in air, 13in pro, and 16in pro all to be announced at event" he just said they would be first in the timeline.

Even if he did mean it was going to be released at the event, his sources likely just told him the first macs were going to be those 3, and he didn't get the information that the 16in was not as far into production as the others until after he posted the original article.

You do you though.

The original article definitely stated that those 3 were going to be shown at the November 10th event - prior to the edited version.

But you’re right, you do you and I’ll do me. ?
 

Jorbanead

macrumors 65816
Aug 31, 2018
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The original article definitely stated that those 3 were going to be shown at the November 10th event - prior to the edited version.

But you’re right, you do you and I’ll do me. ?

Do you have the exact wording that he used in the original article? I can't seem to find it anywhere.
 
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Mayo86

macrumors regular
Original poster
Nov 21, 2016
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304
Canada
Do you have the exact wording that he used in the original article? I can't seem to find it anywhere.
No, I wish I did but I recall the phrasing was to the point. I don’t believe even the staff at MacRumors or 9to5Mac extrapolated something that wasn’t there. And hey, again, mistakes happen - that’s not the issue - in my books.

Even Prosser, whose track record is a little bit off, owns up to it. At least from what I’ve seen anyway. Quite a few people don’t like him or say he throws a handful of darts at a dart board in hopes something sticks. Maybe that’s true, maybe that’s not. The point is he acknowledges his information was completely or even a little bit off.

I think that if I took my vehicle to a mechanic and it came back with some sort of mechanic error, I’d be more inclined to understand if they owned up to it instead of skirting around it. This is his business.

Example isn’t the best but I hope the general point can be taken.
 

UltimateSyn

macrumors 601
Mar 3, 2008
4,967
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Massachusetts
Do you have the exact wording that he used in the original article? I can't seem to find it anywhere.
I looked for it too. I'm almost certain that it wasn't ambiguous and stated that all three products would be unveiled on the 10th, but I can't find the original text anywhere. Wayback Machine has that URL before the full story was develoepd and after the first edit was made, but not in between.
 

ascender

macrumors 603
Dec 8, 2005
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I don't think its shifty as such, but yeah, I noticed that too - I suspect he got more information from his source after publishing which meant he was able to clarify things.
 
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Jorbanead

macrumors 65816
Aug 31, 2018
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No, I wish I did but I recall the phrasing was to the point. I don’t believe even the staff at MacRumors or 9to5Mac extrapolated something that wasn’t there. And hey, again, mistakes happen - that’s not the issue - in my books.

Even Prosser, whose track record is a little bit off, owns up to it. At least from what I’ve seen anyway. Quite a few people don’t like him or say he throws a handful of darts at a dart board in hopes something sticks. Maybe that’s true, maybe that’s not. The point is he acknowledges his information was completely or even a little bit off.

I think that if I took my vehicle to a mechanic and it came back with some sort of mechanic error, I’d be more inclined to understand if they owned up to it instead of skirting around it. This is his business.

Example isn’t the best but I hope the general point can be taken.
I see what you're saying. He does have a very high track record though coming in at #5 with an 88.4% accuracy rating on Apple Track with 379 rumors reported so far. Thats pretty decent considering the amount of rumors he's reported. He beats out Prosser and Kuo.
 
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Mayo86

macrumors regular
Original poster
Nov 21, 2016
105
304
Canada
I see what you're saying. He does have a very high track record though coming in at #5 with an 88.4% accuracy rating on Apple Track with 379 rumors reported so far. Thats pretty decent considering the amount of rumors he's reported. He beats out Prosser and Kuo.
You’re right in that regard, no arguments from me.
 
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machinesworking

macrumors member
Jan 11, 2015
99
57
I think the best argument for them shifting all three to AS is pretty straightforward.
They have to come out with chips that are faster than the 2.4ghz 8 core in the current 16", otherwise this transition looks like it's all about them and not us.They simply cannot start with the low end performance wise models and beat them soundly leaving the 16" to be only about people who need intel for compatibility etc.

Look at the relative (because we can all argue reasons why Geekbench is not accurate etc. until the cows come home) scores single and multi, between the latest iPad Pro, 13" MBP and 16".

iPad Pro 1585 4647

13" MBP 1240 4522

16" MBP 1096 6870

The 8 core will be soundly beaten by any step up to AS the 13" gets. Intels 8 core chips are already badly underperforming for what they should be capable of, and I can't imagine that Apple isn't capable of adding a modest 25% increase in performance to the 13", which would IMO put it too close to the multi core score of the 16". I think they're going to attempt to make a statement, and that means changing all three laptops to Apple Silicon.
 

UltimateSyn

macrumors 601
Mar 3, 2008
4,967
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Massachusetts
I think the best argument for them shifting all three to AS is pretty straightforward.
They have to come out with chips that are faster than the 2.4ghz 8 core in the current 16", otherwise this transition looks like it's all about them and not us.They simply cannot start with the low end performance wise models and beat them soundly leaving the 16" to be only about people who need intel for compatibility etc.

Look at the relative (because we can all argue reasons why Geekbench is not accurate etc. until the cows come home) scores single and multi, between the latest iPad Pro, 13" MBP and 16".

iPad Pro 1585 4647

13" MBP 1240 4522

16" MBP 1096 6870

The 8 core will be soundly beaten by any step up to AS the 13" gets. Intels 8 core chips are already badly underperforming for what they should be capable of, and I can't imagine that Apple isn't capable of adding a modest 25% increase in performance to the 13", which would IMO put it too close to the multi core score of the 16". I think they're going to attempt to make a statement, and that means changing all three laptops to Apple Silicon.
Nice, thoughtful post. I think (and hope) that they're going to wow us on Tuesday with 13" Airs/Pros that ship this month and 16" Pros that ship next month. "Today we're transitioning our entire lineup of portable Macs to Apple Silicon."
 

machinesworking

macrumors member
Jan 11, 2015
99
57
Nice, thoughtful post. I think (and hope) that they're going to wow us on Tuesday with 13" Airs/Pros that ship this month and 16" Pros that ship next month. "Today we're transitioning our entire lineup of portable Macs to Apple Silicon."
Being a greedy bastard and going for the 16-15", I hope they have them ready to ship on day one. Going by the iPhone 12 max etc. shipping, I would say you're right.
 

UltimateSyn

macrumors 601
Mar 3, 2008
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Being a greedy bastard and going for the 16-15", I hope they have them ready to ship on day one. Going by the iPhone 12 max etc. shipping, I would say you're right.
Yeah, I'm also basing it off of Gurman's claim that the 16" is currently ramping production but not quite as far along as the 13s. I can't see them not announcing if they're already ramping production - what are they going to do, announce them next month? I really want a 16" too, but honestly would probably settle for the 13" if that's all they announced. I'm greedy, but even more than that I'm impatient. :)
 

DHagan4755

macrumors 68020
Jul 18, 2002
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6,146
Massachusetts
Yeah, I'm also basing it off of Gurman's claim that the 16" is currently ramping production but not quite as far along as the 13s. I can't see them not announcing if they're already ramping production - what are they going to do, announce them next month? I really want a 16" too, but honestly would probably settle for the 13" if that's all they announced. I'm greedy, but even more than that I'm impatient. :)
The only thing I can think of is that the 13" models are available immediately but the 16" will be available in late December (or something like that - which basically means December 31st).
 

UltimateSyn

macrumors 601
Mar 3, 2008
4,967
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The only thing I can think of is that the 13" models are available immediately but the 16" will be available in late December (or something like that - which basically means December 31st).
Yup. I’m thinking the 13s are fairy imminent (within the next couple of weeks) but the 16s are probably shipping sometime in December. At least that’s what I’m hoping for. Gosh I hate not knowing.
 
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machinesworking

macrumors member
Jan 11, 2015
99
57
Yup. I’m thinking the 13s are fairy imminent (within the next couple of weeks) but the 16s are probably shipping sometime in December. At least that’s what I’m hoping for. Gosh I hate not knowing.
Well there's the election... could be worse than some GAS right?
I'm certain we will be surprised whatever the outcome, and it's 6 days away now so not so bad.
 

AppleFeller

macrumors 6502
Oct 19, 2020
383
532
Anyone else find the intel refreshes funny though. Apple's chip that goes into the 13" Pro will supersede the 10th gen intel chip in the higher end models and very likely the 16" Pro as well in cpu performance. I think that will look funny seeing a ~$1299 and $1499 13" model outperforming the higher end lineup of MacBooks. For those who wanna say "but" I remind you the A12Z in the iPad Pro currently outperforms every 13" MacBook Pro configuration using a two year old architecture on 7nm process. Suddenly the whole use of "one more thing" in the invitation makes a lot of sense.
 

smoking monkey

macrumors 68020
Mar 5, 2008
2,363
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I HUNGER
It's quite possible the 16 gets a mention and a later release date. But they'll show off the two 13s.
If that's the case then we will get the 13 by the end of November and the 16 by mid January. Hopefully it's this year, but thinking back to the 2012 iMac redesign it was showcased at a late Oct or Nov event and not release until late December/early Jan.
 
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machinesworking

macrumors member
Jan 11, 2015
99
57
It's quite possible the 16 gets a mention and a later release date. But they'll show off the two 13s.
If that's the case then we will get the 13 by the end of November and the 16 by mid January. Hopefully it's this year, but thinking back to the 2012 iMac redesign it was showcased at a late Oct or Nov event and not release until late December/early Jan.
I'm hoping and thinking Apple will want a speedier refresh than that. Definitely think anything they announce will be deliverable by December 25th. So for fun my guess is 13" Air and MBP available almost right away, and 16" early December. Cook is a supply chain guy, he should flex a bit here.
 

thingstoponder

macrumors 6502a
Oct 23, 2014
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The third option is 16" with 10th Gen Intel CPU and possible a GPU bump.
There is no GPU to bump or a meaningful CPU as Tiger Lake isn’t even announced yet and probably months away. AMD announced new GPUs but those are higher end desktop and will have no stock for months. Lower end SKUs and laptops chips are nowhere to be seen yet.

The 16” Apple Silicon is in production according to Gurman. IMO there will never be another Intel MacBook again. Maybe a new Intel iMac Pro or Mac Pro.
 

jdb8167

macrumors 601
Nov 17, 2008
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There is no GPU to bump or a meaningful CPU as Tiger Lake isn’t even announced yet and probably months away. AMD announced new GPUs but those are higher end desktop and will have no stock for months. Lower end SKUs and laptops chips are nowhere to be seen yet.

The 16” Apple Silicon is in production according to Gurman. IMO there will never be another Intel MacBook again. Maybe a new Intel iMac Pro or Mac Pro.
One thing reading people’s comments you quickly realize that most don’t really get the nuance of different CPUs for different machines. The only Tiger Lake chips currently available (since early September) are the low power versions. Tiger Lake H at 45 W TDP appropriate for the 16” MBP aren’t scheduled to be released until quarter 1 next year.

You see the same thing when people complain that Apple doesn’t update a Mac when they see a report that Intel released a new CPU without asking is that CPU appropriate for any Mac that Apple sells. Usually recently because the CPUs don’t have an appropriate integrated GPU.
 

Yebubbleman

macrumors 603
May 20, 2010
6,024
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The 2020 16" MacBook Pro showing up on Boot Camp notes was all I needed to see to realize that Gurman was going to be wrong about an Apple Silicon 16" MacBook Pro being what we see tomorrow.

I would imagine tomorrow will go something like this:

"Introducing the new 16" MacBook Pro, now with 10th Gen i7 and i9 and AMD Radeon Pro 6000M series GPUs"

Followed shortly thereafter by "that was our last Intel Mac. Introducing our first Apple Silicon MacBook Air and 13" MacBook Pro; the latter is just as fast as the 16" MacBook Pro we just announced minutes ago!" and

"Going forward all of our releases will be Apple Silicon", paraphrased, of course.

2-port 13" MacBook Pro discontinued; 2020 Intel Air also discontinued; ambiguous as to whether 13" 4-port is kept in the lineup for a short period as was done at the beginning of the PowerPC-to-Intel transition with those first Macs.
 

markiv810

macrumors 6502
Sep 27, 2002
379
114
India
A new Apple TV is a must needed upgrade, I just checked the Buyer's Guide and it has been like 1152 days since the Apple TV was launched. About time for a major upgrade, wouldn't you say.

Wrong Forum
 
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thingstoponder

macrumors 6502a
Oct 23, 2014
916
1,100
One thing reading people’s comments you quickly realize that most don’t really get the nuance of different CPUs for different machines. The only Tiger Lake chips currently available (since early September) are the low power versions. Tiger Lake H at 45 W TDP appropriate for the 16” MBP aren’t scheduled to be released until quarter 1 next year.

You see the same thing when people complain that Apple doesn’t update a Mac when they see a report that Intel released a new CPU without asking is that CPU appropriate for any Mac that Apple sells. Usually recently because the CPUs don’t have an appropriate integrated GPU.
Agreed. People also pay way too much attention to generation chips instead of what those generations actually mean. If they updated the 9th gen MacBook Pro to 10th gen there would be virtually no difference. They’re both 14nm and Skylake architecture with the same iGPU. They also did a mid-cycle BTO GPU option with a completely new Apple exclusive 5600 SKU. If you want an Intel MacBook Pro 16” then buy one now. It’s only a year old and almost certainly will not get upgraded ever. If you don’t want Intel then wait for Apple Silicon.

The 2020 16" MacBook Pro showing up on Boot Camp notes was all I needed to see to realize that Gurman was going to be wrong about an Apple Silicon 16" MacBook Pro being what we see tomorrow.

I would imagine tomorrow will go something like this:

"Introducing the new 16" MacBook Pro, now with 10th Gen i7 and i9 and AMD Radeon Pro 6000M series GPUs"

Followed shortly thereafter by "that was our last Intel Mac. Introducing our first Apple Silicon MacBook Air and 13" MacBook Pro; the latter is just as fast as the 16" MacBook Pro we just announced minutes ago!" and

"Going forward all of our releases will be Apple Silicon", paraphrased, of course.

2-port 13" MacBook Pro discontinued; 2020 Intel Air also discontinued; ambiguous as to whether 13" 4-port is kept in the lineup for a short period as was done at the beginning of the PowerPC-to-Intel transition with those first Macs.

The reference to the 2020 MacBook Pro was probably an error. I don’t know why you would think that invalidates Gurman’s reporting of an entirely different model.

Again, there are no Radeon 6000 series GPUs. The only SKUs they’ve announced are three desktop models based off of a giant 500mm/2 die that use 300W of power. There are two dies that are going to be smaller and lower end but they haven’t even been announced yet for desktop much less mobile variants. It’s just not happening.

If they did update it with Comet Lake 10th gen it would be a pathetic useless update and they wouldn’t even bother showing it at the event. It would be embarrassing next to the Apple Silicon models.
 
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