I think this is the crucial point in this entire discussion. I agree with
@Yebubbleman's logic that there is little sense to maintain both the MBA and the MBP —
assuming that they will have similar tier of performance. That assumption itself however is a big "if".
Personally, I think that they will use the opportunity to better differentiate between the customer and the pro level of laptops. As I mentioned in my previous posts, they could make the 13" Pro more powerful (in relative scale) than it is now, something they couldn't do before since they were locked into third-party hardware.
In fact, I wouldn't be surprised if the customer Mac laptops will simply use iPad chips. This would still make them more than fast enough for everyday tasks (comparable with 15W intel CPUs) while giving them better graphics, better thermals and very good battery life. The 13" Pro on the other hand could feature a beefier SoC (and to just a marginally overclocked one) with more CPU and GPU cores and faster RAM.
I guess a bigger point is that you have the 16" MacBook Pro, which, whether you go with a base model (give or take a couple tiers of larger storage) or a maxed out higher-end model, can serve pretty much every use case that can be done without needing a 27" iMac/iMac Pro or Mac Pro. The lower-end Hexa-core i7 models can still serve casual use cases just fine. The only reasons to not want a 16" MacBook Pro for one's uses are cost and size. The only reason why the MacBook Air can't currently suffice for those not needing that kind of power for that kind of size trade-off and price is that it is underpowered. However, if you make the MacBook Air more powerful enough and give it the features it currently can't have, then the 13" Pro is redundant. In fact, the best case scenario is that Apple just makes it a smaller version of the 16" MacBook Pro (which it definitely is not today in Intel land), but even then, the only reason why it exists is for people that want it smaller and want it cheaper. Not saying there's anything wrong with that (the iBook G4 models existed in a similar fashion and that made sense). Otherwise, it doesn't serve any additional function in the lineup.
Like, speaking practically, if the MacBook Air had all of the features of the current 4-port 13" MacBook Pro, what would anyone want out of a MacBook Pro that said Air or the 16" MacBook Pro couldn't already do better?
I think that's the main point here.
Yeah, this is likely. I think there's a distinct audience who wants a laptop that doesn't break the budget and is super portable and a different audience that will pay a premium for a "no compromises" notebook that has power and portability.
Even though the screen sizes are similar, making a fanless machine is a drastically different undertaking than making something with active cooling.
Depending on how Apple divides high-end and low-end among their notebooks once in Apple Silicon land (which likely won't be along the same lines as they currently do in Intel land because, on the 13" notebook side of things, they are literally at their thermal limits), active versus passive cooling may not matter so much. Which is to say that they can probably cool the Apple Silicon MacBook Air in exactly the same way as they currently are with the 2020 Intel MacBook Air and still have it handily beat every Intel MacBook Air and every Intel 13" MacBook Pro that have ever existed without having the kinds of thermal issues that said 2020 Intel Air currently has. It's highly likely that they designed the 2020 Intel Air with the Apple Silicon Air in mind (and just figured "this'll do until what we really want with this is ready to launch").
Don't see a fusion myself.
The Pro can potentially still retain many features that are absent on the Air, such as
- a larger chassis, which can accommodate USB-C ports parallel to each other (rather than space for only one), in addition to greater airflow and a fan for a more powerful chip,
- a Face ID camera, which I doubt would be on the consumer variant for costs (and up-purchasing),
- a Touch Bar, which like it or not, Apple still considers a 'pro' feature; either that or they know that mainstream would hate it if it appeared in the Air,
- and a more professionally-orientated display with micro LED.
The case for having an 'ultra light/slim' notebook is still relevant, but there needs to be a boundary between this and greater features. The 12" MacBook was a proof of concept for this, and I believe it's likely that this design could pave the way for the consumer variant. In addition, the more features you offer customers at the lower end of the product line, the less reasons they have to spend more at the top.
Whatever happens, they'll slim the product line down drastically. The 'MacBook' will be just that at around 12", the current 13" Pro will eventually be replaced by a 14" and another Pro at 16". Nice gradual increase in size and performance.
The 12" MacBook was too limiting even aside from performance. People complained about it only having one port and that one port not even being Thunderbolt 3 (which is STILL really obnoxious by today's standards). People on here act like sluggish performance was the only reason why that thing didn't sell well. Plus, it was still way pricier than it had any business being. Unless you can sell me a 12" Apple Silicon MacBook at $700, I'm always going to be better off spending that same money on yesterday's Air or 13" Pro instead and I'm far from alone in that regard (case in point, it doesn't exist anymore). Apple turned that machine into the 2018-2020 MacBook Air which serves those needs better than the 12" ever did despite more or less being the same computer under the hood (albeit with TouchID, an additional port, and a T2 chip).
Also, what you say mention isn't a slimming down of the line (other than nixing the whole 2-port versus 4-port dynamic). A slimming down of the line would be one kind of computer at one size and another kind of computer at another size.
Again, give me a reason for the middle machine to exist. It being a smaller version of the 16" Pro is viable; Apple did that in the PowerPC era and it worked well for them. But we now have the capability to have the lowest-end system cover the needs of those that previously needed that middle system (because the lower-end one was under-performing and the higher-end one was overkill).
i wonder if they’ll bring back a fanless 12” with a 4P+4E SOC similar to the iPad Pro chip. it would be completely doable and would blow away the current Air in performance.
Although i’d personally be more interested in a more powerful 13” MBP (or 14” mini-LED). Hopefully they can get 8P+4E in there which would even outdo the current 16” MBP
Seems like everyone on here wonders that same thing. I don't think there's a place for the 12". At best an Air at 13", and either a 14" "MacBook" with a 16" Pro or a 14" version of the 16" Pro to be sold alongside it. But anything else is functionally redundant once the Air actually gets some of the performance that it couldn't get with Intel but can get with Apple Silicon.