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dawnrazor

macrumors 6502
Jan 16, 2008
424
314
Auckland New Zealand
Interesting take on the question.

The issue you pointed out happened twice in the past for Macs: the transition from 680x0 to PowerPC, then the transition to Intel.
Well yeah, but even in 2006 Apple computers were still pretty niche, not the ubiquitous machines of today, the secondhand market today is massive compared to back then not to mention the early 90s… I can’t be the only person to have upgraded a perfectly good Intel mac just because of AS… Apple haven’t made the Intel macs redundant… people will do that all by themselves…
 

msackey

macrumors 68030
Original poster
Oct 8, 2020
2,873
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Well yeah, but even in 2006 Apple computers were still pretty niche, not the ubiquitous machines of today, the secondhand market today is massive compared to back then not to mention the early 90s… I can’t be the only person to have upgraded a perfectly good Intel mac just because of AS… Apple haven’t made the Intel macs redundant… people will do that all by themselves…
So why are you upgrading so soon? You bought a really expensive Intel Mac pretty recently. 2020 was when the shift to Silicon began, I think. That’s when I figured it was not a good time to buy a machine and let the transition complete before investing. Of course, not everyone could do that.
 

dawnrazor

macrumors 6502
Jan 16, 2008
424
314
Auckland New Zealand
So why are you upgrading so soon? You bought a really expensive Intel Mac pretty recently.
the Intel iMac to M2 Ultra is my work machine… The M2 Ultras MS will mean I don‘t have to cache video for playback and will mean that my exports will be light years faster… this is all time I can save and use for creative work with the client… and less perceived downtime… more bang for the clients buck and thus repeat business… simple as that, the 2020 iMac was struggling to get through some of the higher resolution media I get given to work with (6K and 8K) so I just can’t have a machine like that.. .got to keep up and the M2 Ultra is a game changer… it’ll be main money maker for the ext 3-4 years… I wish I had got longer out of the 2020 iMac, I should have bought it earlier and I would have had it longer, that was my bad and then I had to buy it during lockdown… so it wasn’t a great business decision, but I couldn’t have waited for the M1 MS (not that I knew it was even coming) I briefly considered buying a 16” mac book pro M1 Max, but it made very little sense as I needed a desktop… I was also going that the Mac Pro would have been something bolder than it turned out to be… so the iMac was always a stop gap purchase for me… I just have to wear teh depreciation and move on…

Now my wife on the other hand she upgraded her 2019 13” MBP to a M2 13” MBA… there was real reason other than she really wanted a MBA as she was sick of lugging the MBP around… also its battery had gone bad so didnt hold charge very well… to be honest I can’t blame her the MBA is a lovely machine…. I have a 2019 MBP as well, but I doubt I’ll be changing it anytime soon as it doesn’t get used that much for anything too stressful… but I can see a scenario were the M3 MBA is released and it’s a thing of great desirability and want… and I upgrade for no other reason then I want to... I’m definetly not alone in that thought process surely, and thats want I mean… many people will upgrade to AS earlier then they would have if we were still on Intel… once Apple announces an OS that wont work on Intel macs thats when its the beginning of the end… once they stop supportting the last Intel macOS then thats the last nail in the coffin…
 

msackey

macrumors 68030
Original poster
Oct 8, 2020
2,873
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the Intel iMac to M2 Ultra is my work machine… The M2 Ultras MS will mean I don‘t have to cache video for playback and will mean that my exports will be light years faster… this is all time I can save and use for creative work with the client… and less perceived downtime… more bang for the clients buck and thus repeat business… [...]

Very interesting. Regardless of this transition, it looks like you work in a realm in which turnover of computers could happen quite a bit faster given the speed and processing power you need. Good luck!

I work in an environment that is rather slow-paced in the tech realm so no need to change that rapidly.

Regarding your wife's situation with the portability of her laptop: reminds me of my first brand-new laptop which was a PowerBook G3 (my first actual laptop was a secondhand PowerBook 540c or something like that). Remember those back in the late 90s? Oh boy. Well, for those times, it was a miracle that there could a computer of that size that's powerful enough, but it was not a fun thing to carry around although back then we did not have any thing much better to experience so that heaviness was acceptable. But, I always hated lugging that thing around if I ever had to.

It wasn't until the original MacBook Air that came out (and I bought) that I finally felt it was reasonable (for me) to carry a laptop around to cafes etc and just work on casual things. Before that, I only carried the laptop when something I did required me to have a computer.

As to upgrading laptop out of want and not need: heh, I don't feel that just yet but I am pretty sure I'll feel that in a year or two. But I shall try to resist ;-)
 

anselpela

Suspended
May 17, 2023
250
333
Not until the actual apps stop working on your machine because their version is so old that it can't connect to remote services anymore.

Other than that, nothing stops you from running your machine without updating it indefinitely. My father-in-law's MacBookAir from 2012 only just recently needed to be upgraded because his apps stopped working.
 
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canadianreader

macrumors 65816
Sep 24, 2014
1,204
3,280
Most of Intel macs can be upgraded with an AMD 6 series gpu/egpu which would extend its life span by many years. So hardware isn't really a problem in the short term, the real problem in my opinion is internet related software like browsers when they decide to stop updating their intel apps many sites will stop working, as they require an up-to-date version mainly for security purposes, then many users will make the jump to Apple silicon.
 

jdiamond

macrumors 6502a
Dec 17, 2008
699
535
The title is poorly worded, but essentially I'm wondering how much longer until Intel Mac users will need to upgrade to silicon Macs. Of course there isn't a hard deadline because depending on one's circumstances, the time to migrate is a broad range. But any thoughts on this generally?

I currently run a 13" touchbar MacBook Pro (3.1 GHz Dual-Core Intel Core i5) at home. I know it won't be upgradable to macOS Sonoma :(. I primarily use it for office functions which I imagine won't be affected for a long time. I also use Obsidian, DEVONthink, Scrivener, all of which could be seen in the productivity/office realm, suppose :)
I think that anyone whose Mac makes it to the point where the max MacOS version is no longer supported is doing well. I love my older macs, but typically the motherboards start going, and I start seeing kernel panic reboots at increasing frequency. Note that while I personally have only had my Macs (all laptops) last ~7 years* (and my wife less), my daughter has had exceptional luck - her 2010 MBP is still working fine, although she rarely uses it now due to app compatibility. And her 2016 Macbook is still physically working, although there again, we're having issues, mainly due to it having such a weak processor, even compared to her 2010 MBP.

For me, the biggest reason to get off Intel laptops was the loud fan noise. :) But the jump to M cannot be overstated - I have a silent laptop that's truly as powerful as a high end desktops (an order of magnitude faster than my Intel machines) and honestly lasts all day on just 25% battery charge. I'm a power user - it's the first MBP I've ever owned where I could go more than 2 hours off plug, with 90 minutes being typical. And it's now been long enough that most important software has been ported to Apple Silicon. (Most of my cherished older Apps I lost when I was forced to upgrade past Mojave, since they were all 32-bit apps.). But there's no way to know yet how long the hardware lasts, other than I hope running cool is a big life extender.

* The big exception was my beloved 2010 17" MBP. It was serving me fine after 11 years, working almost as fast as my new MBPs, without fan noise - but then I spilled a drink on it and fried the motherboard. :( I replaced it with a Mac Mini, which shows no signs of deteriorating, so there only software support is an issue.
 
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Longplays

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Most of Intel macs can be upgraded with an AMD 6 series gpu/egpu which would extend its life span by many years. So hardware isn't really a problem in the short term, the real problem in my opinion is internet related software like browsers when they decide to stop updating their intel apps many sites will stop working, as they require an up-to-date version mainly for security purposes, then many users will make the jump to Apple silicon.
Many pointed out that you can stop using Safari and switch to Chrome or Firefox.

Chrome 115 for example will not support 2018 macOS Mojave that received its final update over 22 months ago.

While Firefox 114 still does.

This was how OS 9 & older were able to use the pre-2000 Macs on the modern web until over 2 years ago.

The dev ceased support as about 2,000 users on Earth still use Macs older than quarter century on the Internet.

Why? Because they cannot be forced.
 
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msackey

macrumors 68030
Original poster
Oct 8, 2020
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I think that anyone whose Mac makes it to the point where the max MacOS version is no longer supported is doing well. I love my older macs, but typically the motherboards start going, and I start seeing kernel panic reboots at increasing frequency. Note that while I personally have only had my Macs (all laptops) last ~7 years* (and my wife less), my daughter has had exceptional luck - her 2010 MBP is still working fine, although she rarely uses it now due to app compatibility. And her 2016 Macbook is still physically working, although there again, we're having issues, mainly due to it having such a weak processor, even compared to her 2010 MBP.

For me, the biggest reason to get off Intel laptops was the loud fan noise. :) But the jump to M cannot be overstated - I have a silent laptop that's truly as powerful as a high end desktops (an order of magnitude faster than my Intel machines) and honestly lasts all day on just 25% battery charge. I'm a power user - it's the first MBP I've ever owned where I could go more than 2 hours off plug, with 90 minutes being typical. And it's now been long enough that most important software has been ported to Apple Silicon. (Most of my cherished older Apps I lost when I was forced to upgrade past Mojave, since they were all 32-bit apps.). But there's no way to know yet how long the hardware lasts, other than I hope running cool is a big life extender.

* The big exception was my beloved 2010 17" MBP. It was serving me fine after 11 years, working almost as fast as my new MBPs, without fan noise - but then I spilled a drink on it and fried the motherboard. :( I replaced it with a Mac Mini, which shows no signs of deteriorating, so there only software support is an issue.

Very interesting experiences! Over the years, I've had some kernel panics and never could figure out what's going on. Usually there's some notation about something "MCA detected" blah blah and never understood what it meant and Google wasn't helpful. It occurs every now and then and typically if it does, it does so after the computer has been asleep for a few days without being used. Doesn't bother me too much. I just reboot. But, it does make me wonder if something about the hardware is failing, although this has been going on for 3 or so years and I'm still running this 13" MBP touchbar just fine.

I remember those 17" MBP. I bought one for my father. I never liked how big it was and how HEAVY they were. But, the size did help my father's aging eyes. Even the 15" is too big and heavy for me. The 13" or 14" MBP seems to be just the right size for me. I haven't seen the 15" MBA so don't know if it'll feel too big.
 

Darren.h

macrumors 6502a
Apr 15, 2023
511
859
Next years latest macOS will be Apple Silicon only. I'm pretty sure of it.

Coming out with the Mac Pro Apple silicon recently proves next years macOS is Apple Silicon only.
 
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msackey

macrumors 68030
Original poster
Oct 8, 2020
2,873
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Next years latest macOS will be Apple Silicon only. I'm pretty sure of it.

Coming out with the Mac Pro Apple silicon recently proves next years macOS is Apple Silicon only.
Why does that prove next year’s macOS will be silicon only? Because the lineup for hardware has all transitioned?

EDIT: typo; changed "Breve" to "Because". Also, why does iPhone swipe like to interpret "because" as "breve"? Since when have I ever used the word "breve"? Haven't done music in decades! Can't wait for the more intelligent keyboard in iOS 17!
 
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simmi99

macrumors newbie
Jul 12, 2015
17
10
After WWDC I started to question that myself, when will my 2019 intel MBP become obsolete. I know it's not immediate but I started to look at the value of my machine again. Last year when I checked trade ins were around $375 for a $1799 machine. I looked again this week and saw that Best Buy would give me $745 for a trade in. After reading and watching YouTube videos, some reviewers still like the M1 over the M2. BB has some open box excellent 14.2 MBP at $1314 so I jumped on one. I figure for less than $600, plus I can use machine as a tax deduction, it's not much of a cost to upgrade. Though I agree still a few years away before there will be a need to upgrade.
 
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Matz

macrumors 65816
Apr 25, 2015
1,161
1,690
Rural Southern Virginia
I sold my Mac laptop a couple of years ago, and use my 12.9" iPad Pro for portable computing. It does more than 90% of what I need to do. My desktop is a 2020 (really 2018) intel Mac Mini, with additional RAM and a 1TB SSD. It performs well, but I know that at some point I'll want to move on to Apple Silicon. Prior to WWDC I imagined I'd transition to an M2 Mac of some sort, maybe in a couple of years.

And then Apple announced the Vision Pro. I'm waiting with bated breath to see how it will run the productivity apps I want, such as MS Office plus a few less-than-mainstream apps. If VisionOS does what I think it will, some version of that will be my next desktop computer.
 

msackey

macrumors 68030
Original poster
Oct 8, 2020
2,873
3,298
After WWDC I started to question that myself, when will my 2019 intel MBP become obsolete. I know it's not immediate but I started to look at the value of my machine again. Last year when I checked trade ins were around $375 for a $1799 machine. I looked again this week and saw that Best Buy would give me $745 for a trade in. After reading and watching YouTube videos, some reviewers still like the M1 over the M2. BB has some open box excellent 14.2 MBP at $1314 so I jumped on one. I figure for less than $600, plus I can use machine as a tax deduction, it's not much of a cost to upgrade. Though I agree still a few years away before there will be a need to upgrade.
I have done something similar: wonder and look at what the trade-in value for my laptop would be. With that, I also then kinda balance it with thinking whether it's better to just wait out a bit longer (a few years) and wait for the whole transition to Apple Silicon to really solidify. I'm so far taking the latter route even though trade-in value for my Intel MBP some years later would be very little.
 

msackey

macrumors 68030
Original poster
Oct 8, 2020
2,873
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And then Apple announced the Vision Pro. I'm waiting with bated breath to see how it will run the productivity apps I want, such as MS Office plus a few less-than-mainstream apps. If VisionOS does what I think it will, some version of that will be my next desktop computer.

I'm somewhat skeptical about Vision Pro being used longterm for office productivity work because typing and pointing in midair is tiresome. Even if say bluetooth keyboard were allowed, having something stick on my face throughout the workday isn't something I'd want.

I am, however, not as skeptical about Vision Pro as I am with typical AR/VR sets. I've mentioned it in other threads but it seems to me that what Apple is doing with Vision Pro is fundamentally different than how other manufacturers of AR/VR sets envision their devices. So while I'm not sure where Vision Pro could go and how it might be integrated, I'm curious about it.
 

Longplays

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I'm somewhat skeptical about Vision Pro being used longterm for office productivity work because typing and pointing in midair is tiresome. Even if say bluetooth keyboard were allowed, having something stick on my face throughout the workday isn't something I'd want.

I am, however, not as skeptical about Vision Pro as I am with typical AR/VR sets. I've mentioned it in other threads but it seems to me that what Apple is doing with Vision Pro is fundamentally different than how other manufacturers of AR/VR sets envision their devices. So while I'm not sure where Vision Pro could go and how it might be integrated, I'm curious about it.

2 months from now would be the 25th year release anniversary of the 1st iMac.

Notice anything?

maxresdefault.jpg


Quarter century from now it may become as light and compact at Google Glasses at a better user experience than 2024 Vision Pro.

Googles-Sergey-Brin-weari-010.jpg
 

msackey

macrumors 68030
Original poster
Oct 8, 2020
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2 months from now would be the 25th year release anniversary of the 1st iMac.

Nice anything?

maxresdefault.jpg


Quarter century from now it may become as light and compact at Google Glasses at a better user experience than 2024 Vision Pro.

Googles-Sergey-Brin-weari-010.jpg

It might be as light as the Google Glass etc. But I still don't see yet how it would be integrated into everyday scenarios at the office. I'm not saying it couldn't. I'm saying I don't see it right now. The pandemic has made a lot of office work more remote and while there is great advantage to that, namely the flexibility, we are also seeing certain social struggles working in the remote environment as we are recognizing more and more that work is not just about producing the everyday churn that is the official mission, but it is also about the informal unexpected interactions that can in ways organic create or enhance. In another frame, we might need less individualism (which to me Google Glass and the like seems to be about) and more communitarianism.

The funny thing is things like AR/VR to me are about remotely connecting -- and that's a play on words. It's connecting together but only remotely as in just barely doing it.

On another note, I love the articulated arm of the 2001 iMac and have always admired it. It was a downgrade to go to the type that only tilted up or down. With the newer Apple Displays, Apple has re-introduced an arm that is somewhat like the articulated arm of the 2001 iMac but to me that new arm is: 1) ugly, 2) bulky and therefore not sleeky, and 3) too expensive. Could they re-design the iMac with a better articulated arm? :)
 

theluggage

macrumors G3
Jul 29, 2011
8,015
8,450
You know what pains me most? I, too, work on a 2017 Retina iMac 27" and I just love the screen.
I get that (I have a 2017 iMac gathering dust & bought new, non-Apple displays for my Studio) but on the other hand that's why, going forward, I much prefer the Mac Mini/Studio concept - we can upgrade our displays and computers independently. I wouldn't have bought an all-in-one in 2017 if Apple had offered something like the Studio at the time (the trashcan was already abandonware at that stage). I'm not a huge fan of the Studio Display for various reasons (q.v. ad nauseum elsewhere) but its certainly not rubbish and - unlike the iMac screen - should serve several generations of connected Mac. If you need a new desktop Mac now, I'd suggest looking for cheaper, alternate displays which you wouldn't mind replacing - or delegating to second screen if something more compelling comes out during the lifetime of your current machine.

It does open up new possibilities - I've gone for a pair of 3:2 4k+ 28" Mateviews which may not quite match the iMac/Studio Display in raw quality, but which I'm finding far more suited to my needs than a single 5k.

Why does that prove next year’s macOS will be silicon only? Breve the lineup for hardware has all transitioned?
It doesn't prove anything - Apple will drop Intel support from future OS versions just as soon as they can get away with it publicity wise. Apple never promised anybody support for future, unannounced versions of MacOS! They're obliged, in some jurisdictions, to provide spares and support for sometime between 5-7 years, and now that they have stopped selling the last Intel Mac has that 5-7 year old countdown started - but at most that requires them to have a minimally-supported version of MacOS that will run on those systems.

It was never likely - and would have been rather unpopular - but they could have made Sonoma Apple Silicon only, and extended minimal support for Ventura for a couple of years.

Realistically, all we have to go on is that Mac OS 10.6 (Snow Leopard) was the first to drop PPC support in 2009 - 3 years after the Intel transition completed in 2006.

You can also look at the fact that Sonoma is dropping support for models that were last sold in 2019.

On the other hand, since Ventura, many of the new features have been Apple Silicon only.

If I had to guess, I'd say that today's Apple will be in a hurry to drop Intel support and next year's Mac OS will be the last Intel-supporting one - but that's a pure guess.
 
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Longplays

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It might be as light as the Google Glass etc. But I still don't see yet how it would be integrated into everyday scenarios at the office. I'm not saying it couldn't. I'm saying I don't see it right now. The pandemic has made a lot of office work more remote and while there is great advantage to that, namely the flexibility, we are also seeing certain social struggles working in the remote environment as we are recognizing more and more that work is not just about producing the everyday churn that is the official mission, but it is also about the informal unexpected interactions that can in ways organic create or enhance. In another frame, we might need less individualism (which to me Google Glass and the like seems to be about) and more communitarianism.

The funny thing is things like AR/VR to me are about remotely connecting -- and that's a play on words. It's connecting together but only remotely as in just barely doing it.

On another note, I love the articulated arm of the 2001 iMac and have always admired it. It was a downgrade to go to the type that only tilted up or down. With the newer Apple Displays, Apple has re-introduced an arm that is somewhat like the articulated arm of the 2001 iMac but to me that new arm is: 1) ugly, 2) bulky and therefore not sleeky, and 3) too expensive. Could they re-design the iMac with a better articulated arm? :)
I think the iMac G4's design was updated because the actuating arm/stem wasn't reliable and caused too much RMAs than the "up and down" has done since 2004.

2 decades later and "up and down" is found in the current 2021 iMac.
 

msackey

macrumors 68030
Original poster
Oct 8, 2020
2,873
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I think the iMac G4's design was updated because the actuating arm/stem wasn't reliable and caused too much RMAs than the "up and down" has done since 2004.

2 decades later and "up and down" is found in the current 2021 iMac.
Really? Didn't know that about the reliability of that articulated arm. Perhaps it could be better designed, but the concept and the way it looked was pretty perfect to me.

The "funny" thing about this is that I think the up and down and tilting mechanism of Dell monitors with their L stand look a lot more elegant, even though the overall construction feels cheap. But, the concept looks more elegant than what the new Apple displays have.

The one I have at work looks similar to this: goes up and down and also can tilt
 
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JamesMay82

macrumors 65816
Oct 12, 2009
1,474
1,205
How relevant are the security patches to the average internet shopper and casual user at home? i.e. home wifi and not visiting public wifi etc?
 
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How relevant are the security patches to the average internet shopper and casual user at home? i.e. home wifi and not visiting public wifi etc?
Many people dont update voluntarily. They appear fine.

Same with insurance relating to health, home, etc.

I'd use unpatched devices when they're isolated from the public web.
 
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