Do you have a link to that? As far as I know, the first to talk about ARM's potential licensing model change was Qualcomm in the trial.
No More External GPU, NPU, or ISP’s Allowed In Arm-Based SOCs
www.semianalysis.com
Decent chance Qualcomm is engaging in exaggeration here (their lawyers can't , well shouldn't if want to keep their bar license, lie to the court) . Since this "amended" claim the following two things have happened.
Samsung extended their GPU contract with AMD.
Companies broaden scope of mobile graphics collaboration to bring leadership AMD Radeon graphics technology to expanded portfolio of Samsung Exynos SoCs
news.samsung.com
MediaTek and Nvidia signed up to work together on GPUs also.
MediaTek could license Nvidia’s GPU architecture.
www.tomshardware.com
There is a chance that Arm is going to come up with a new license path where if 80-95+% of the IP on the die is straight from Arm and that pay at the fab. Cores , interconnect, gpu , memory controller , AI/ML accelerator, image processor all from Arm that the terms are different. Would make even more sense if these were "PC" targeted implementations were the on die and cellular modem was dropped ( so far , far easier to get to the point where might be taking 90+% of whole die almost completely from Arm's IP. )
All the more so if Arm has worked with a fab vendor and design tool vendors already have the bulk of the layout done . Arm does do demo implementations
"... What's happening now is that Arm has spent the past six months or so designing a complete high-end processor to, as the FT put it, “demonstrate the power and capabilities of its designs to the wider market.” ..."
Not for a long while at least, anyway
www.theregister.com
With things like chiplets and UCIe coming it wouldn't be too much of a leap in 2024-2025 where Arm just sold the base chiplet/tile largely unchanged to customers and that any very substantive, but limited, customizations be offloaded to yet another chiplet (e.g., some narrow specialized accelerator ).
Arm taking a fixed percentage of the whole SoC device package would be far more tractable if 90+ % of the SoC package function was theirs anyway. Arm wouldn't pick which specific fab , and packaging, vendor had to use or all of the customizations . Technically not making the die for customers to buy, but doing almost all of the work.
But if Arm was killing off licensing just the CPU cores and was going to force folks to eat their GPUs , AI, image processors no matter what ... why would Samsung and Mediatek be signing up to get alternative GPUs several years out?
The Qualcomm story smells a lot more like what Qualcomm sales critters do . Qualcomm found some rouge salesperson inside of Arm's rogue China subsidiary making a 'hard ball' sales pitch to close a deal ... wouldn't be surprising. But also pretty good chance was way off the script that Arm (the entity being counter sued) laid down.
The supposed 'threat' outlined in Qualcomm's account " ARM has also threatened at least one OEM that, if the OEM does not do so, ARM will go on to license the OEM's larger competitors instead " 'instead?' ... errr , when does Arm not sell to 'everybody'? Qualcomm goes on in the account to say "ARM has done this despite already having approached the OEM's competitors" ... eh duh. Since Arm normally sells to everyone why is that surprising and why would have the OEM even remotely believed the "instead" threat ?
As "3nm" , "2nm" , etc get more expensive Arm doing with 'demo' chip implementations is going to get more and more and more expensive. At some point those demos are going to get so expensive that probably will need to sell a few of them even to get to breakeven; at least for all by the very smallest die sizes. Something that is tipping into the general PC class with high user utility is likely going to push the die into at least the top end of the range for 'small die' (if not into medium size).
"2nm" and lower fab processes ( with non shrinking SRAM) may force more chiplets into the non-embedded controller package solution space. Again at that point Arm staying completely out of the game of die delivery doesn't make much sense. Microsoft juggles selling both Surface and supplying system builders who just take Windows.
But all of Arm's cores and IP going to that kind of set up. That also isn't going to be cretible because lots of markets have limits on package costs ( and chiplets and super bleeding edge fab processes cost more).
Pretty good chance Arm is going to need another licensing track than just classic TLA ( forged into the good old days of only monolithic dies). That new track is getting muddled in a variation of the 'telephone' game into Arm is going to completely ban selecting subsets of IP.