Apple, almost always under promises and over delivers on its shipping estimates. I'd guess you see delivery a week prior than Apple estimated. But then again it depends on how they distributed stock between Apple and Hermes. After pre-order is complete, Hermes tends to get a larger stock of watches from what I've seen.
You were right. This morning I woke up to my shipping notice! It's due to arrive by Oct. 31. Hmmm, maybe if I had written my initial post about the wait a week or so ago, the shipping gods would have responded even sooner.