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gwhizkids

macrumors G5
Jun 21, 2013
13,352
21,595
Those of you posting issues with iOS 11, let’s do that in the thread for that. This thread is purely for speculation on upcoming betas. It was created so people wouldn’t devote pages in the substantive thread obsessing over when the next beta would come out. Don’t want to mess up all that good speculation with actual substance here!
 

lsutigerfan1976

macrumors 68030
Sep 14, 2012
2,751
1,734
I text Tim asking about beta 3 here’s his reply:

Tim: sup homie! What’s your unfit ass not doing at the gym. Complete those rings bra! Yeh dev beta 3 bout to drop today. Peace out!

Yeah that's not right. Tim doesn't even make any decisions at Apple. How would he know? No one ever tells him what is going on at that company. Source? Me, who talked to him a little while ago.
 

gwhizkids

macrumors G5
Jun 21, 2013
13,352
21,595
I do think there's a possibility of it happening today. Almost certainly not tomorrow, though. Why chance a big glitch that messes everyone's phone up for a weekend?
 
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robert1998

macrumors 6502a
May 10, 2017
531
224
If developer beta is released tomorrow and a glitch will affect the phones of the ones who install it isn't such a big deal because developer beta isn't meant for primary device...
If this happens the public beta 2 may release Tuesday...so it won't be a problem and Apple will have time to make it opperable for public beta
 

Broken Hope

macrumors 68000
Jan 15, 2015
1,827
1,882
I do think there's a possibility of it happening today. Almost certainly not tomorrow, though. Why chance a big glitch that messes everyone's phone up for a weekend?

You do realise the agreement when you install the beta purposely states that you aren’t using it on a primary device for a reason right?

If you can’t handle a release potentially taking your device out of action then you shouldn’t be using a beta on that device.
 

techiejosh

macrumors newbie
Jul 14, 2010
26
21
If developer beta is released tomorrow and a glitch will affect the phones of the ones who install it isn't such a big deal because developer beta isn't meant for primary device...
If this happens the public beta 2 may release Tuesday...so it won't be a problem and Apple will have time to make it opperable for public beta

If there were to be a major bug, Apple still wouldn't want to leave all those developer devices non-functional over the weekend. Friday releases make no sense in this context.
 
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GreyOS

macrumors 68040
Apr 12, 2012
3,358
1,694
If developer beta is released tomorrow and a glitch will affect the phones of the ones who install it isn't such a big deal because developer beta isn't meant for primary device...
If this happens the public beta 2 may release Tuesday...so it won't be a problem and Apple will have time to make it opperable for public beta
It wouldn't be the end of the world but it's simply an empirical fact that Apple has tended to release betas at the start of the week. The historical count of beta releases drops with each day into the week until you get to Friday where you only get a handful in recent history (e.g. last 5 years).

We can speculate that part of the reason may be to avoid leaving issues unfixed over the weekend.

It's a bit outdated now but here are the release day counts for all iOS 8 and 9 betas

Monday = 22 (48%)
Tuesday = 12 (26%) (74% by this day)
Wednesday = 8 (17%) (91% by this day)
Thursday = 4 (9%) (100% by this day)
Friday = 0
Saturday = 0
Sunday = 0
 
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TurboPGT!

Suspended
Sep 25, 2015
1,595
2,620
It's a bit outdated now but here are the release day counts for all iOS 8 and 9 betas

Monday = 22
Tuesday = 12
Wednesday = 8
Thursday = 4
Friday = 0
Saturday = 0
Sunday = 0
so-youre-telling-me-theres-a-chance.jpg
 

sbailey4

macrumors 601
Dec 5, 2011
4,579
3,256
USA
Definitely a chance:

iOS 10.3.3 beta 4 Thurs June 22 2017
iOS 10.3.2 beta 5 Thurs April 27 2017
iOS 10.2.1 beta 4 Thurs Jan 12
iOS 10.1 beta1 Thurs Sept 22 2016
iOS 10.0.2 Fri Sept 23 2016
iOS 10.0.1 GM Thurs Sept 8 2016
iOS 9.3.5 Thurs Aug 25 2016
iOS 9.3.4 Thurs Aug 4 2016
iOS 9.3.1 Thurs March 31 2016
iOS 9.2.1 Thurs Feb 18
iOS 9.0.1 Thurs Sept 24
iOS 8.4.1 Thurs Aug 13
iOS 8.2 Thurs April 23
iOS 8.0.2 Thurs Sept 25 '14

I even remember some as far back as the iOS 5 days (Thursday Nov 10 2011 iOS 5.0.1)
 
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Sound214

macrumors 6502
Jul 24, 2011
315
219
Sweden
Or what about beta 5 for iOS 6.1, which was released on a Saturday? My bet is still on Monday the 10th, though.
 

Mlrollin91

macrumors G5
Nov 20, 2008
14,172
10,187
Definitely a chance:

iOS 10.3.2 beta 5 Thurs April 27 2017
iOS 10.2.1 beta 4 Thurs Jan 12
iOS 10.1 beta1 Thurs Sept 22 2016
iOS 10.0.2 Fri Sept 23 2016
iOS 10.0.1 GM Thurs Sept 8 2016
iOS 9.3.5 Thurs Aug 25 2016
iOS 9.3.4 Thurs Aug 4 2016
iOS 9.3.1 Thurs March 31 2016
iOS 9.2.1 Thurs Feb 18
iOS 9.0.1 Thurs Sept 24
iOS 8.4.1 Thurs Aug 13
iOS 8.2 Thurs April 23
iOS 8.0.2 Thurs Sept 25 '14

I even remember some as far back as the iOS 5 days (Thursday Nov 10 2011 iOS 5.0.1)
Well, in reality, how many of those are X.0 release...? None.
 
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TurboPGT!

Suspended
Sep 25, 2015
1,595
2,620
Considering there is a proven-accurate source that has pegged the 10th, it is factual that we are just being silly.
 

techiejosh

macrumors newbie
Jul 14, 2010
26
21
If the source is correct, the 10th could be the public beta. Dev beta today makes sense. Probably 1PM EST, possibly 4PM EST.
 

sbailey4

macrumors 601
Dec 5, 2011
4,579
3,256
USA
Well, in reality, how many of those are X.0 release...? None.
Actually 10.0.1 was in reality a x.0 if I recall. Never actually released 10.0.0. (again if memory serves, I know there was one of those that happened to). And the point was Thursdays is a common day for iOS releases.
 
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