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So far the differences are Air’s better (laminated) screen, more RAM, better speakers and a faster M-series chip. Other than that, yes, very similar.

Having said that, I will only upgrade my Air 5 once they get an OLED screen, so probably Air 7.
Air 7 will not get oled, pro models will get it before the air does, and to get people to jump to pro models oled will be a selling point probably
 
My only question is will it move the FaceTime camera to the landscape orientation like the 10th generation iPad? My guess is no. I suspect that since the Air and Pro share the same design, that change will first happen on the Pro line before it trickles down to the Air. The iPad line as a whole I think will continue to be overly complex and confusing for at least the near future.
The main reason I picked up an iPad 10 is to get the landscape-orientation camera. If the Air had it, I would have bought that. If the next Air does not have it, I’ll have to rule it out. Apple needs to introduce this feature on every new iPad.
 
Significantly better screen (AR coating, P3 color, fully laminated), double the RAM, significantly higher CPU and GPU performance, Pencil 2 support.
And it’ll become more then obvious that the base level iPad was really just meant to be a basic device for content consumption, nothing more.

And the weird gen 1 Apple pencil support for it was a ‘well I guess we should support it 🤷‍♂️’.
 
This Air is just a cheaper striped down 11" Pro...seems to have no reason to exist...what I miss most about Job's Apple is that product lineups were actually full of different products, not just cheaper versions of the top model.

The iPod had the Touch, Classic, Nano and Shuffle - all of which had different feature sets and price points. They played with the Nano almost every year.

Outside of just a mini and then every iPad being the same with just cheaper parts, it would be nice to see iPads of really different sizes, folding, etc...

The Watch should have had just an activity $99 band years ago in addition to the watches. People would eat this up.

The Phone and Mac (although this has it the least at this point) have similar issues.
The Air exist for people on a lower budget who don't need all the bells and whistles and would also possibly appreciate more flashy colors.
 
This Air is just a cheaper striped down 11" Pro...seems to have no reason to exist...what I miss most about Job's Apple is that product lineups were actually full of different products, not just cheaper versions of the top model.

The iPod had the Touch, Classic, Nano and Shuffle - all of which had different feature sets and price points. They played with the Nano almost every year.

Outside of just a mini and then every iPad being the same with just cheaper parts, it would be nice to see iPads of really different sizes, folding, etc...

The Watch should have had just an activity $99 band years ago in addition to the watches. People would eat this up.

The Phone and Mac (although this has it the least at this point) have similar issues.
I understand what you say, however: because Apple is much bigger now, they have to be more conservative. A step in a bad direction could represent billions of losses. The Apple from the 90s was able to afford more risky moves.
 
Well I think you could be right, i think they will move the front camera. The Air actually is more similar to the iPad 10 than the Pro since it‘s 10.9 in and has Touch ID.
Keep in mind that both the Pro and Air support the second generation Apple Pencil, and moving the front camera might interfere with space reserved for the charger. I'm happy to plug in a usb camera but would appreciate other upgrades such as more storage at all price points, making Final Cut Pro for iPad a compelling experience on the Air.
 
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As someone with an M2 iPad Pro, my advice is: if the SoC is the only change on the Air 6, I’d go for a discounted M1 fifth gen iPad Air once the M2 is released.

I bought the M2 iPad Pro, not just for the M2, but for the 5.3 Bluetooth and maybe a bit longer software support, but after having used the M1 and M2 iPad Pro, I can assure you that I notice no difference in performance, and the M2 iPad Pro is not as power efficient as I initially thought. I mean, my 12X iPad Pro was more power efficient and the M1 Pro, which I used for a month, wasn’t too dissimilar. I wouldn’t say he M2 iPad Pro has a terrible battery life because that wouldn’t be correct, but it is not as good as my previous 11” iPad Pro.
 
The Air exist for people on a lower budget who don't need all the bells and whistles and would also possibly appreciate more flashy colors.

This is one way of looking at it. Another is that Airs exist for smarter shoppers, who do not feel like spending extra on features they do not actually need.

For instance, I do not need a camera on my iPad, let alone several with a LIDAR scanner. Same for more advanced speakers - I use AirPods most of the time anyhow. ProMotion - tried it in a shop side by side with Air, not a big deal for my use. A faster chip and more RAM? Handy, but not so much obvious difference. It is not that my M1 Air stutters scrolling a page in Safari or writing in Notes or Pages.

In fact, I cannot currently think of a single Apple Pro product which would be remarkably better vs its regular (non-Pro) version. Even AirPods Pro vs my AP3 - AP3 sound better to me and I actually prefer their open sound-leaking design. When I tried APP, they really lacked treble for my ears. 🤷🏻‍♂️

The notable exception at the time was a MacBook Pro 13” 2015, which I got solely for its Retina display. If I were buying a MacBook today, it would be Air, no questions.

So, different needs for different folks, I guess.
 
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iPad Pro’s should have been updated first. Apple has lost its innovation.
 
This Air is just a cheaper striped down 11" Pro...seems to have no reason to exist...
That’s why I bought one. I have a MacBook Pro but wanted something for portability, media consumption, note taking, and for public speaking events. The Air is perfect for that. I didn’t need everything the Pro offered. Maybe the less expensive iPad would work but the M1 processor and RAM of the Air give it longevity. It also doesn’t hurt that I got my M1 on sale for about $400 (sale plus discounted gift cards).
 
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If the iPad Air gets the M2 chip, then there’s little doubt the Pros will get the M3. Which is fine and expected. Now, what about the base iPad? I mean the 10.9-inch version? I think the base iPad should get the M1. The iPad 10 is currently running an A14 chip and the Mini a crippled A15. If Apple doesn’t want to put the M1 in the iPad 11, then the Mini should get it and the base iPad the A16. Time to move on from the A14 and A15 - and time to retire the 9.8-inch iPad.
 
The new Air sounds like the 5th gen M1 air will be the better choice if you can find a discounted one. (Assuming no screen upgrade or more ram etc)
M2 anything (MBP, Air, mini etc) has been a non event - faster yes, but not noticeable in the slightest for many work loads. M3 will be the same. Especially for a consumption device like the Air.
M1 is still super fast. Even my current gen mini iPad feels fast at everything I use it for and that probably has an ancient A series chip in it.
 
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With the standard iPad moving to iPad Air design (no bezels), what is now the point of iPad Air?
Thank you. The “Air” moniker needs to go.

Back when “Air” debuted, it was with the MacBook Air that Steve pulled out of a manila envelope. Then, “Air” was leveraged to highlight the “light as air” aspect of the impossibility thin laptop. But now… every iPad is thin/light. Not sure the term “Air” carries the same relevance it once did. Sure, thers equity in the iPad Air name. But I think they’ll be fine if we cleaned up the category. Just iPad and iPad Pro. Two tiers. Each with a mini version (there IS a market for an iPad Pro mini). Clean. Simple. Done. Do this across all product lines. Ex: MacBook Air becomes MacBook, joining the MacBook Pro to complete that category.
 
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The new Air sounds like the 5th gen M1 air will be the better choice if you can find a discounted one. (Assuming no screen upgrade or more ram etc)

This was my same reaction to when they released the 5th Gen. Walmart had the base iPad Air 4th Gen (online) for $349 as an early Black Friday Deal!
 
I fact, I cannot currently think of a single Apple Pro product which would be remarkably better vs its regular (non-Pro) version. Even AirPods Pro vs my AP3 - AP3 sound better to me and I actually prefer their open sound-leaking design. When I tried APP, they really lacked treble for my ears. 🤷🏻‍♂️
I have both AirPods 3 and AirPods Pro 2nd gen. I find the EarPods 3 lighter and more comfortable (since they have no rubber tips), but are practically useless in public transport where whatever I am listening to quickly gets drowned out by the background noise.

Apple seems to have settled on the good -> better paradigm. You have the base model with the core features that Apple deems essential to the core product experience, as well as the "pro" model with extra bells and whistles for those willing to pay more. They are not essential, but nice to have.

Iphone 14 -> iPhone 14 pro
iPhone 14 plus -> iPhone 14 pro max
13" MBA -> 14" MBP
15" MBA -> 16" MBP
iPad Air -> 11" iPad Pro (maybe it could be called "iPad", but that would be confusing with the other existing iPad models).
AirPods 3rd gen -> AirPods Pro -> AirPods Max
Apple Watch SE -> apple watch -> Apple Watch Ultra

I think they strike a pretty good balance of hitting as many price points as possible, while keeping the lineup lean (a lot of them use similar parts, which probably helps with managing inventory).

I understand what you say, however: because Apple is much bigger now, they have to be more conservative. A step in a bad direction could represent billions of losses. The Apple from the 90s was able to afford more risky moves.
I can kinda understand where Apple is going with this.

It's like how when I got my first iPad and was experimenting with apps left and right as I tinkered with what worked and what didn't. I would eventually settle on a particular selection of apps that did what I needed them to do, and while I still purchase the occasional app here and there, my workflow hasn't really changed in the last couple of years, so there is no reason for me to change, because it works.

Apple has settled because customers have settled. There doesn't seem to be the next big thing beyond the smartphone, iPad and MacBook form factors that Apple pioneered, barring the Vision Pro. Smart speakers haven't taken off, I doubt folding phones represent the next smartphone paradigm that detractors so desperately wish it to be, maybe we already are looking at the final forms of these product categories.
 
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