I don't understand your post.
That's ok.
All of the points you listed in your original post are either completely made up/hearsay, or have been proven wrong in only a month.
Sorry, but none of my first-post is "completely made-up", unless you haven't been reading the news. Much of it is certainly hearsay, as is most of what passes for journalism these days... and my post is hardly even journalism, its naked conjecture. Also, none of it has been "proven wrong". Simply because something is no longer true, doesn't mean that it was never true. I feel strongly that AT&T and Apple renogotiated much of their original agreement, and that the original agreement had ample room to be renegotiated at certain points.
Many items in my post were backed up by quotes from the two companies. You can keep skipping over that fact if you want, but it would be more honest to simply say that you're drawing a different conclusion from the same facts, or (quite believeably in Apple's case) that the companies are intentionally misleading people as to their intentions.
With Android making a huge push (to AT&T included), I don't think Apple is going to be sticking with AT&T any longer than they have to.
On this point, we agree. I have serious doubts that Apple will be exclusive to AT&T in the U.S. by the end of 2010. As I already wrote though, its far more likely that they'll cut a deal with T-Mobile... or if you went for the longer odds, perhaps even Sprint.
Also, Android is FAR more likely to cut into Nokia, Blackberry, Palm, and WinMo sales than it is to touch iPhone sales. Most reviewers have agreed that as great as the Android is, its still a short distance from the polish of an iPhone. I'm personally interested to see if I could use both at the same time.
Another funny pattern that seems to be developing, is some notion that Apple will somehow "TRADE" or "DROP" AT&T for another provider... which is ridiculous. Apple is likely to EXPAND to ADDITIONAL carriers. They are not, as some keep putting it, "JUMPING" over to [BLANK]. They're ADDING.
POINTS:
1. It's a good thing to have multiple carriers.
2. Apple is unlikely to remain exclusively an AT&T device in the U.S. in 2010.
3. T-Mobile is a very likely candidate for a 2nd carrier for the U.S. iPhone
4. By joining with Sprint, Apple could advertise the most affordable iPhone EVER for the U.S., when looking at the "data" packages too.
5. Apple is unlikely to join with Verizon (or Sprint), as its "second" carrier after AT&T, given their statements on CDMA.
6. The 2007 iPhone launch, and moreover the 2008 release of the iPhone 2.0 represented a paradigm shift, from carrier control to manufacturer control of Apps and software. Carriers are still catching up to the realities and implications of where smartphones are quickly taking us and the HUGE demand of bandwidth that is spiking.
7. Apple's January 2010 partnership announcement with Verizon (on the forthcoming tablet) will help each company decide whether there are more opportunities in working more closely and making some compromises.
Lol the dramaticness of that post made me lol.
Mission accomplished!
Honestly though the speed at which mobile networks are changing is a pain in the ass. I mean it feels like carriers are JUST finally starting ti really expand 3G coverage and now 4G. The world runs on GSM yet there's like 5 different frequencys for it. LTE needs to have a common frequency through out the world if you ask me.
True. I'm more fascinated with the problem with having a "spectrum gap" than we're having with different frequencies.
http://www.businessweek.com/bwdaily/dnflash/content/oct2009/db20091025_223713.htm
Q: How concerned are you about the available spectrum for wireless services?
A: We've been spending time on long-term spectrum policy because the data suggest we face a spectrum gap. The demands that are being created by the [Apple] (APPL) iPhone and other mobile broadband technologies threaten to outstrip the amount of spectrum available for commercial mobile, and it's important for the country that we get long-term planning right because it takes time to identify spectrum and put it on the market. We're looking at potential innovations in spectrum policy, such as secondary licensing for spectrum, and other, more creative ideas for unlicensed spectrum.
~ CB