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cmaier

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Jul 25, 2007
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You're assuming capabilities for hardware that doesn't exist yet or at least is years from release. Prior performance is no quarantee of furture results.

Apple has a very long history of 20%-on-average year-over-year single core performance increases. Why should that stop suddenly?

1637125731563.jpeg


(Update: I don’t have specint2006 scores for A15, but it looks like specint2017 shows a 12.5% improvement over A14).
 
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cmaier

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The claim that Apple has an insurmountable lead for effectively the forseeable future. It reminds me of the claims made in the G4 and G5 era.

Ok. They certainly have an lead for the next several years. Intel is about 3 years behind if you scale by power budget. And nothing from the x86 camp will compete unless Apple stumbles, because Arm is an inherent advantage. It’s possible that some other Arm vendor competes (or some other RISC design), but nobody is in the ballpark right now.
 
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Taz Mangus

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Mar 10, 2011
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The claim that Apple has an insurmountable lead for effectively the forseeable future. It reminds me of the claims made in the G4 and G5 era.
Apple is now in complete control of their CPU and GPUs, just like their mobile A series. Apple no longer has to rely on Intel's release roadmap which has been crap.
 

cmaier

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Claiming that both Intel and AMD will not possibly have anything to compete with something that won't be released for years is a bit much.
So is claiming that they will. They are years behind right now, and nothing they do can overcome the penalty caused by variable length instructions and convoluted addressing modes. The only way an x86-64 design could compete with an Apple design in performance/watt is to be fabbed on a smaller node. (Or for Apple to stumble and release a bad design for some reason)
 

Taz Mangus

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Mar 10, 2011
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Ok. They certainly have an lead for the next several years. Intel is about 3 years behind if you scale by power budget. And nothing from the x86 camp will compete unless Apple stumbles, because Arm is an inherent advantage. It’s possible that some other Arm vendor competes (or some other RISC design), but nobody is in the ballpark right now.
QualComm is going to enter the PC market with their Arm processors. That will be interesting. I think we are starting a transformative period in the PC market.
 

jjcs

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Oct 18, 2021
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Apple is now in complete control of their CPU and GPUs, just like their mobile A series. Apple no longer has to rely on Intel's release roadmap which has been crap.
Our newer systems use Epyc chips for that reason. I'm far more interested in performance than performance/watt.
 

Taz Mangus

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Mar 10, 2011
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Our newer systems use Epyc chips for that reason. I'm far more interested in performance than performance/watt.
For a desktop system that is not in a small package. But who would have imagined putting a high performance CPU and GPU in a laptop that could run solely on battery and not sound like a jet engine.
 

jjcs

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Oct 18, 2021
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For a desktop system that is not in a small package. But who would have imagined putting a high performance CPU and GPU in a laptop that could run solely on battery and not sound like a jet engine.
Zen4 and 5 looks promising, since we're talking about unreleased products like A17.
 

Taz Mangus

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Mar 10, 2011
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Zen4 and 5 looks promising, since we're talking about unreleased products like A17.
I just referenced the A17 because Apple has shown that they can do a yearly cadence. Does AMD do a yearly cadence for their processors?
 

JouniS

macrumors 6502a
Nov 22, 2020
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How many M1 Max SoCs could one buy for the cost of a single A64FX...?
Fewer than 1. The M1 Max is a much larger chip using a newer process.

Of course, the actual price of a chip has little to do with its manufacturing costs.
 

leman

macrumors Core
Oct 14, 2008
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Frankly, even the idea that Apple is somehow alone in the ability to produce very high performance ARM chips is... amusing. Fujitsu has had the A64FX out for a while.

A64FX is hardly a "high performance ARM chip"... we don't have exact benchmarks but M1 Firestorm is probably at least 2.5x faster than A64FX cores, and probably more than that. Fugaku's performance comes from the fact that it has gazzilion of those cores. And of course, A64FX is a highly specialized chip, designed for parallel throughput on certain scientific workloads. Not something you would put in a general-purpose computer at any rate.
 
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MacZoltan

macrumors member
May 18, 2016
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what i am afraid of is the less publicised fact that M1 has a quite big drop of performance (30%) if you use the unified arhitecture under load, I mean memory + GPU + CPU under real load at the same time.


Otherwise i believe it will be like this:

probably, all Apple lineup will get M1 refreshes it just makes sense in business.

MacBook Airs will get some M1 Pros, Mac Minis also but probably not the M1 Max although it can fit in there. early/mid next year. Imac Pros can come back with M1 Pro and M1 Maxes in late 2022.

The new in 2022 Nov, Mac Pro will get the M1 Pro Max chip with 20/40/60/80 core options and memory respectively 128/256/384/512 GPU the same scaling with the cores.

I dont think there will be for example M2 next year (2022), Apple will max out M1 and then in late 2023 M2 maybe.
 

the8thark

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Apr 18, 2011
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Apple has a very long history of 20%-on-average year-over-year single core performance increases. Why should that stop suddenly?
It almost feels like Apple manages this in this way so every year has the 20%. Even to the point of withholding performance gains so the next year is guaranteed the same 20%.
 

leman

macrumors Core
Oct 14, 2008
19,521
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what i am afraid of is the less publicised fact that M1 has a quite big drop of performance (30%) if you use the unified arhitecture under load, I mean memory + GPU + CPU under real load at the same time.

This is hardly surprising. The system has finite amount of resources (thermal, memory bandwidth etc.) so if you push it you will see diminishing returns. It makes little sense to optimize the system for such a case since these kind of workloads simply do not exist in the real world (aside from stress testing). By the way, other systems have the same behavior (almost every high-end laptop will throttle if you push the CPU abs the GPU simultaneously).

That said, I am sure that Apples professional systems will do much better in this kind of stress test, especially M1 Max which has many more resources than the base consumer N1.
 

Boil

macrumors 68040
Oct 23, 2018
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Stargate Command
what i am afraid of is the less publicized fact that M1 has a quite big drop of performance (30%) if you use the unified architecture under load, I mean memory + GPU + CPU under real load at the same time.

I would think the lower memory bandwidth provided by the LPDDR4 was the issue...?
 

pshufd

macrumors G4
Oct 24, 2013
10,150
14,574
New Hampshire
So I have a question regarding the Apple M series chips. It looks like Apple is releasing the M series over a 2 year period. M2 spring, M2 Pro/Max fall. M2 Omega Supreme second year. The M2 will be based off the A15 cores. So by the time Apple has released the complete M2 series, it will have released the A17 which means they will have been 2 years ahead on the A series. Why doesn't Apple keep cadence of the M series with the latest A series?

I think that they wanted to do a one-year cadence but the supply-chain problems pushed out their schedules.
 
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Boil

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Oct 23, 2018
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If the M2-series low-end / entry-level SoCs get LPDDR5, I wonder if the Mn Pro/Max Dual/Quad SoCs (SiPs / MCMs) might move to LPDDR5X...?
 
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