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MozMan68

macrumors 603
Jun 29, 2010
6,152
5,261
South Cackalacky
For me I am not focused on the performance boost although I will gladly take it. It’s more about if I buy a MBP now that’s been out for a while and will lose support faster vs a refresh in the fall which will be supported a bit longer.

For the price I am paying that has value to me.
It's been less than a year, right? If they were updating laptops every year (at least significantly), I'd always have an excuse to wait for the "next one."
 
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OasisNYK

macrumors 6502
Nov 29, 2004
464
141
It's been less than a year, right? If they were updating laptops every year (at least significantly), I'd always have an excuse to wait for the "next one."
And there are rumors of an October update. I get your point but when something is potentially imminent it is foolish to rush and spend if you don’t need to. The downside is if they don’t release in October you are in limbo and may keep waiting which then is a waste.
 
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OasisNYK

macrumors 6502
Nov 29, 2004
464
141
Something is always right around the corner though.
This is true. I am not a proponent of waiting when something has just been released (e.g., if M1 Pro just came out this month and M2 Pro rumors started saying 3 nm, 4x performance etc) I wouldn’t be bothered by that. It’s more that we *might* have an upgrade to the MBP in October. If I absolutely needed one I would buy though.
 

Allen_Wentz

macrumors 68040
Dec 3, 2016
3,356
3,806
USA
Any chance the M2 will also come with a new form factor? It’ll probably be another 2-3 years before they make them thinner/lighter, right?
The form factor need not change, except to bring back 4 TB ports. Going from 4 to 3 was a huge loss of value for Apple's top-end laptop.
 

Allen_Wentz

macrumors 68040
Dec 3, 2016
3,356
3,806
USA
October would be great. I would love to buy a MBP 14 but want to get as much life out of it as possible. Given it’s been out for so long and the base M2 just got released I would prefer an M2 Pro. Unfortunately there is no way to know when it’s coming.

I don’t see why apple would wait much longer though if they have the chips.
I don’t see why apple would wait much longer though if they have the chips.

Early runs of chips have terrible yields, so for now Apple is probably losing money on M2s. Older chip runs have good yields so Apple makes good money selling M1 boxes. The longer Apple can still keep folks satisfied despite using last year's M1 chips the more money Apple makes.

That said, IMO now that M2s are on the street and performing really well I think Apple will move the top MBPs to M2 as soon as supply allows.
 
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Allen_Wentz

macrumors 68040
Dec 3, 2016
3,356
3,806
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What sort of updates/improvements do you envision with the M2 Pro?
Swappa is more popular here in the USA but it's individual sellers so you'd just have to see if an individual listing offers international shipping. It's a great site, I've bought and sold there many times, so I can personally vouch for it. But it's primarily used by people in North America. You can comment on posts and ask if they'd ship to you, but your mileage may vary.

Yeah the RAM tax is unfortunately huge. 16 GB is what I've had since like 2014 and it's been doing fine for me. 32 is nice but I definitely am not using the most RAM intensive stuff and will probably be fine for the next 8+ years myself with my M1 Pro + 16gb setup.
Using past RAM usage to forecast future needs is flawed thinking. Since my first (128k) Mac, RAM demands have always always always increased over time. And with Apple's recent increasing of available RAM choices (24 GB in their lowest-end laptop box, 128 GB in the mid-range Studio desktop box) it certainly looks like Apple thinks added RAM will be useful in the future.
 
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Allen_Wentz

macrumors 68040
Dec 3, 2016
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Ugh. Don’t tell me this lol. I don’t want to wait but I would also be upset if I bought now and new ones came in Oct/Nov.
New M2 MBPs should be announced before the winter holiday selling season. Only supply constraints might cause that not to happen.
 

throAU

macrumors G3
Feb 13, 2012
9,240
7,399
Perth, Western Australia
New M2 MBPs should be announced before the winter holiday selling season. Only supply constraints might cause that not to happen.

Supply constraints and perhaps TSMC process maturity.

They're on a different 5nm process tech to the M1-X machines, on a different production line.

Its a newer process, and generally the way process maturity works, they can build smaller processors reliably while it matures and gradually get acceptable yields on larger chips.

So mobile first, then M2, then M2 Pro significantly later (just like they did with A14 -> M1 -> M1 Pro -> M1 Ultra).

The M1 manufacturing plant is a different process and can run concurrently with M2. if they move the Pro machines to that new process it will limit how many they can build.
 

Nik73

macrumors regular
May 26, 2006
206
110
UK
I was going to wait for an M2 MBP, but have a feeling the prices will go up like the M2 MBA, and the prices are great at the minute from Amazon on the M1 MBP, so went with a base 16”.

Funny how I was all set on an M2 MBA earlier this week, then a 14” MBP and finally a 16” MBP!
The classic “well if I spend a bit more I can get this….” and so on, and so on.
 
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flapflapflap

macrumors 6502a
Dec 13, 2013
768
439
I was going to wait for an M2 MBP, but have a feeling the prices will go up like the M2 MBA, and the prices are great at the minute from Amazon on the M1 MBP, so went with a base 16”.

Funny how I was all set on an M2 MBA earlier this week, then a 14” MBP and finally a 16” MBP!
The classic “well if I spend a bit more I can get this….” and so on, and so on.
I have the 16" but will soon swap it for the 14". The 16" is no doubt an incredible device but it's extremely large and heavy for traveling. I've taken it off my desk literally just once since its arrival several months ago. My plan was to just keep it on my desk 95% of the time, the other 5% perhaps on my bed or kitchen island or somewhere else in my house. But due to a flurry of client requests, I will need to travel quite a lot in the coming months. No way I can take the 16" with me.
 

MozMan68

macrumors 603
Jun 29, 2010
6,152
5,261
South Cackalacky
I have the 16" but will soon swap it for the 14". The 16" is no doubt an incredible device but it's extremely large and heavy for traveling. I've taken it off my desk literally just once since its arrival several months ago. My plan was to just keep it on my desk 95% of the time, the other 5% perhaps on my bed or kitchen island or somewhere else in my house. But due to a flurry of client requests, I will need to travel quite a lot in the coming months. No way I can take the 16" with me.
I remember carrying 11 lb. laptops for work, so the 2 lb. difference between the two and the total 4.8 lbs. for the one I'm getting is negligible for me.

I'll take the larger screen and desktop power all day! ;)
 
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darngooddesign

macrumors P6
Jul 4, 2007
18,366
10,128
Atlanta, GA
I think the new MBPs will be released spring of next year.

But here's the thing, if you are able to wait then you didn't need a computer now. Just set a fall deadline, buy then even if the next rumors say. its only a couple of months later.
 
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Allen_Wentz

macrumors 68040
Dec 3, 2016
3,356
3,806
USA
I have the 16" but will soon swap it for the 14". The 16" is no doubt an incredible device but it's extremely large and heavy for traveling. I've taken it off my desk literally just once since its arrival several months ago. My plan was to just keep it on my desk 95% of the time, the other 5% perhaps on my bed or kitchen island or somewhere else in my house. But due to a flurry of client requests, I will need to travel quite a lot in the coming months. No way I can take the 16" with me.
I guess your workflow just does not require screen real estate. I deal with images so mine always has. I schlepped a 17" MBP everywhere and never for moment would trade away screen real estate just to save two pounds. I was pissed when the 17" was discontinued.
 

hajime

macrumors 604
Jul 23, 2007
7,924
1,312
The 16" MBP will be plenty powerful. Depends on what you're going for. An M1 Max 16" MBP will be more powerful than the eventual entry level M2 Pro 16" MBP. You could get that if you're concerned about power in the long run.

I am a bit confused. I think M2, M2 Pro and M2 Max have 2 more CPU cores than their counterparts. So M2 Max should be faster than M1 Max and M1 Pro?
 
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Allen_Wentz

macrumors 68040
Dec 3, 2016
3,356
3,806
USA
I am a bit confused. I think M2, M2 Pro and M2 Max have 2 more CPU cores than their counterparts. So M2 Max should be faster than M1 Max and M1 Pro?
Even before the M-series chips modern CPUs have become so powerful that any new box will be "fast" compared to our past experience (and, running last year's tasks using last year's software!). The fact is that overall performance is constantly improving for all kinds of reasons: modernized chip design, modernized internal architecture, modernized code, modernized memory bandwidth, modernized Wifi/USB/Thunderbolt, etc.

M1 simply is 18 months older than M2, and in 18 months of the tech world a lot of improvement happens. M1 although fast, is now older tech. Few of us running 2021 apps in 2022 will notice the impact of 2 more cores on an already rockin' fast 2021 M1 CPU, but most of us will notice the overall performance difference of M2 over M1 in 2024 when we are running 2023 apps using 2023 mass storage devices and communicating 2024-size-files over 2024 networks.
 
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jdb8167

macrumors 601
Nov 17, 2008
4,859
4,599
with all due respect,

y'all mugs give these "influencers" way too much power over your thoughts and how you live your life. what did we all do before youtube and social media when it came to wondering if we should purchase something...

i just spent 6500 dollars ( mind you im a full on android fanboy with a s22 ultra , fold 3, and 5 pc's) on a maxed out mbp 16 inch 8tb max yada yadda notebook on july 1 (got final cut, logic pro). got it 3 days later. im not waiting for "what if" -- im enjoying the laptop now ( it was an impulse purchase).

that said, you wont see an m2 max pro model until mid next year. ill be sure to come back to this thread and tell ya " i told ya so". 💩🤡
LOL. I'm late to this discussion but...

There used to be a weekly tabloid magazine called MacWEEK that covered all the rumors.
 

Macmamamac

macrumors regular
Mar 21, 2015
220
205
These M series machines are so great I can imagine Apple keeping 3 or 4 in the official lineup until they decide to discontinue.

Yes, wait for M2 MBP but realise it’s going to be more expensive, potentially a lot more, than M1 MBP base models.

Do yourself a favour and pull the trigger and get to work. If anyone is worried about these tiny margins you probably don’t love your job/hobby that much anyway…you just want a sexy machine.
 

Allen_Wentz

macrumors 68040
Dec 3, 2016
3,356
3,806
USA
Do yourself a favour and pull the trigger and get to work. If anyone is worried about these tiny margins you probably don’t love your job/hobby that much anyway…you just want a sexy machine.
Sorry but I consider that advice so trite and so misleading as to be flat wrong. As long as one's current box is still working, it makes total sense to see what an imminently expected generational upgrade (such as M1 Max MBP to M2 Max MBP) turns out be prior to buying a new box.

Although current supply issues may change things, we normally would expect to see an MBP upgrade of some kind ~October. It would be wrong-headed thinking to unnecessarily upgrade in August instead of waiting to see what happens in two months.

There are many reasons to wait:
-a key new architecture may present; WiFi/USB/TB/DDR/whatever
-added ports (like back to 4 or more TB ports) may present
-exceptional M1 deals may present after M2 is out
-we can expect that M2 will be at least ~20% more powerful, and that is not insignificant
-M2 will be at least 18 months more future-proof than M1

Note that one can still choose to buy M1 after the M2 boxes are announced, and likely at improved pricing. There are zero reasons not to wait.

Edit: Obviously if one's current box fails, buying what is immediately available may be one's only choice, and appropriate. E.g. my 2016 MBP struggles a bit but is still adequate. If it failed I would buy an off-the-shelf M1 MBP in a heartbeat and it would work well. But as long as it does not fail I will wait and order a new M1 or M2 MBP (and wait two months for the 64 GB RAM option) after we see what is available circa October.
 
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Macmamamac

macrumors regular
Mar 21, 2015
220
205
Although current supply issues may change things, we normally would expect to see an MBP upgrade of some kind ~October. It would be wrong-headed thinking to unnecessarily upgrade in August instead of waiting to see what happens in two months.

There are many reasons to wait:
-a key new architecture may present; WiFi/USB/TB/DDR/whatever
-added ports (like back to 4 or more TB ports) may present
-exceptional M1 deals may present after M2 is out
-we can expect that M2 will be at least ~20% more powerful, and that is not insignificant
-M2 will be at least 18 months more future-proof than M1

Note that one can still choose to buy M1 after the M2 boxes are announced, and likely at improved pricing. There are zero reasons not to wait.

Edit: Obviously if one's current box fails, buying what is immediately available may be one's only choice, and appropriate. E.g. my 2016 MBP struggles a bit but is still adequate. If it failed I would buy an off-the-shelf M1 MBP in a heartbeat and it would work well. But as long as it does not fail I will wait and order a new M1 or M2 MBP (and wait two months for the 64 GB RAM option) after we see what is available circa October.


I‘ll reiterate what I said. Any upgrade is going to be incremental. What’s going to change apart from the M2 chips?

The High probability is no design changes this time around. It’s already a great looking machine with a mini led screen.

Plus, you have zero evidence new MacBook Pro’s are coming in October anyway. It‘s a low probability bet with minimal returns. You could be sitting on your hands until October - then March, then next June, all the way into late 2023 - if you start playing these pointless guessing games.

If the MBP 14’ and 16’ are upgraded, the base model is going to be, what, 20-25% more expensive than the base models now. In which case, why not just get an M1 max today?

And no, there won’t be any significant reductions from the current sale prices of the 14’ and 16’. There never is.

Things might be different from the jump to M2 to M3 because of the 3mn process. But M1 to M2 isn‘t worth fussing about on the 14 and 16 inches.
 
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Allen_Wentz

macrumors 68040
Dec 3, 2016
3,356
3,806
USA
I‘ll reiterate what I said. Any upgrade is going to be incremental. What’s going to change apart from the M2 chips?

The High probability is no design changes this time around. It’s already a great looking machine with a mini led screen.

Plus, you have zero evidence new MacBook Pro’s are coming in October anyway. It‘s a low probability bet with minimal returns. You could be sitting on your hands until October - then March, then next June, all the way into late 2023 - if you start playing these pointless guessing games.

If the MBP 14’ and 16’ are upgraded, the base model is going to be, what, 20-25% more expensive than the base models now. In which case, why not just get an M1 max today?

And no, there won’t be any significant reductions from the current sale prices of the 14’ and 16’. There never is.

Things might be different from the jump to M2 to M3 because of the 3mn process. But M1 to M2 isn‘t worth fussing about on the 14 and 16 inches.
It is interesting how completely we disagree. ;~)

You say
Any upgrade is going to be incremental.
I say
Even incremental change can comprise substantial improvement. Apple's engineers have not been on holiday since last year; they have upgraded thousands of lines of code.

You say
What’s going to change apart from the M2 chips?
I say
-Architecturally electronics may be upgraded to meet more modern standards, such as WiFi/USB/TB/DDR or whatever.
-Added ports (like back to 4 or more TB ports) may present.

You say
M1 to M2 isn‘t worth fussing about.
I say
M1 to M2 is a generational change, a whole new physically larger chip. Again, Apple's engineers have not been on holiday for the last 18 months. We can unequivocally expect substantial improvements over the first generation. The lowest end laptop (MBA) already showed us ~20% performance gains.

You say
And no, there won’t be any significant reductions from the current sale prices of the 14’ and 16’. There never is.
I say
I saved ~$1k by buying a (heavily loaded top end) 2016 MBP after the 2017 upgrades came out. So yes, there may be significant savings available. [Note that I only look at the high end MBPs, so my observations may not apply to base models.]

You say
You could be sitting on your hands until October - then March, then next June, all the way into late 2023 - if you start playing these pointless guessing games.
I say
What does sitting on your hands mean? The buyers in question (me being one of them) are not sitting on their hands. We are working away on our existing aging setups. There is nothing pointless about waiting to see the M2 generation specifics before making a 5-year $4k purchase decision to upgrade.

You say
Plus, you have zero evidence new MacBook Pro’s are coming in October anyway. It‘s a low probability bet with minimal returns.
I say
Agreed I have zero 2022 evidence new MacBook Pro’s are coming in October; just my observations of past Apple performance. IMO however it is not low probability, it is ~50% probability - - with zero cost to waiting to find out.

Why not wait and see what M2 may bring?
 

kasakka

macrumors 68020
Oct 25, 2008
2,389
1,083
I‘ll reiterate what I said. Any upgrade is going to be incremental. What’s going to change apart from the M2 chips?
While the performance improvements will most likely amount to pretty small vs current M1 Pro/Max, there is a possibility for more "silent" upgrades that may require the M2 chip:
  • Fixing potential issues that exist on the M1 hardware (haven't followed if there are any worth mentioning).
  • Updating HDMI 2.0 port to 2.1 would be a big improvement and would make the machines more future-proof as more HDMI 2.1 displays are coming out now.
  • Any WiFi/BT/USB/TB improvements.
We see it all the time where a 2nd gen version of an Apple product improves things enough to make it worth getting over the 1st gen. We are far from the point where Apple silicon Macs are back at the "yearly speed bump, yawn" curve where iPhones and iPads are atm.
 

Sammy in SoCal

macrumors 6502
Sep 18, 2021
496
1,063
Gurman I would trust because he has a proven track record, MaxTech is a hack so I wouldn't even watch his channel, but either way the answer is yes all signs point to yes.
Funny you said you’d trust Gurman and that MaxTech is a hack and MaxTech had Gurman on their channel for an interview. Apparently Gurman who you trust didn’t feel MaxTech is a hack or else he wouldn’t have interviewed with them.
 
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