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ctjack

macrumors 68000
Mar 8, 2020
1,553
1,569
is this still a problem ? I'm new to Mac OS , have a m1 pro 14 32 gb 1tb ssd with this data,
Depends on how long you have this laptop? Also how much data you transferred to it via backup?
I mean if you have 1 TB ssd and put your backup from previous laptop equal to 1 TB of your data, then i don't see a problem here.
If your laptop is new and you never installed anything on it, then it might be a problem depending on the number of days used to accrue those 1.62TB.
 

Ensar

macrumors newbie
Apr 11, 2022
9
2
Depends on how long you have this laptop? Also how much data you transferred to it via backup?
I mean if you have 1 TB ssd and put your backup from previous laptop equal to 1 TB of your data, then i don't see a problem here.
If your laptop is new and you never installed anything on it, then it might be a problem depending on the number of days used to accrue those 1.62TB.

And do you recommend buying the air m1 base model for web, office, skype, teams usage?
I've read many pages of this thread but could not come to a conclusion.
(16 gb version is expensive for me. I have two options: air m1 base model or a windows laptop)
 

osplo

macrumors 6502
Nov 1, 2008
351
196
And do you recommend buying the air m1 base model for web, office, skype, teams usage?
I've read many pages of this thread but could not come to a conclusion.
(16 gb version is expensive for me. I have two options: air m1 base model or a windows laptop)

I would go with a base M1 over a Windows any day. The user experience in M1 Macs is just plain marvelous.

I really don't think you will have any problem for at least 10 years unless you use a lot of non-native apps (such as Microsoft Teams, which I think it is not yet migrated and I read a couple of complaints regarding its disk writes here) or if you open hundreds of Safari tabs at once or do really crazy things with your disk (such as using the Mac as a database server for a bank). Still, there are a couple of recommendations somewhere in this thread (try the first post).

But don't go to the extremes. I read that some guys disabled Time machine or other basic Mac functionality just in case. I use my Mac normally and the number of bytes written ensures that the disk will die long after me.

This thread was very busy before the latest Monterey release so I think that the "problem" has been mitigated to a point that only very rare cases are posted lately (out of a population of millions of M1 Macs sold).
 

ctjack

macrumors 68000
Mar 8, 2020
1,553
1,569
And do you recommend buying the air m1 base model for web, office, skype, teams usage?
I've read many pages of this thread but could not come to a conclusion.
(16 gb version is expensive for me. I have two options: air m1 base model or a windows laptop)
I actually moved from a beast (6 core/1600ti/16 GB of RAM) windows to base M1 Air.
Overall i think it is worth to get the M1 Air - battery life, screen, sound quality and equal performance made it for me.
Your 8GB Air will handle your listed tasks with ease. Only MS Teams will put a little strain on your RAM.
On a windows PRO side: 16 GB of RAM is a 16GB at the end of the day. M1 Air current - 8gb of RAM + 4 GB swap at maximum. Windows laptop: 12GB of RAM used out of 16 GB. I do the same things on them just like your list.
I really like my screenshot functions of Mac, and my swish app for window management - also the desktop slides with 4 fingers are hard to beat.
 

qwezxc

macrumors newbie
Apr 10, 2022
20
3
Depends on how long you have this laptop? Also how much data you transferred to it via backup?
I mean if you have 1 TB ssd and put your backup from previous laptop equal to 1 TB of your data, then i don't see a problem here.
If your laptop is new and you never installed anything on it, then it might be a problem depending on the number of days used to accrue those 1.62TB.
i dont use it alot yet.

From the last time I posted here to today , used it like 2 times for web calls :

Critical Warning: 0x00
Temperature: 22 Celsius
Available Spare: 100%
Available Spare Threshold: 99%
Percentage Used: 0%
Data Units Read: 3 681 856 [1,88 TB]
Data Units Written: 3 280 945 [1,67 TB]
Host Read Commands: 57 406 069
Host Write Commands: 60 703 495
Controller Busy Time: 0
Power Cycles: 125
Power On Hours: 40
Unsafe Shutdowns: 5
Media and Data Integrity Errors: 0
Error Information Log Entries: 0
 

dieselm

macrumors regular
Jun 9, 2009
195
125
I am familiar with how virtual memory works. That’s why I write what I did. Inactive tabs consume very little active memory, if at all. I don’t see a reason why high amount if browser tabs should result in excessive swapping on a modern browser.
Each tab locks down a small amount of memory for responsiveness. 20Mbx100 tabs/processes is 2GB.

On an 8GB machine, that could be a signifcant or entirity of your working memory.

16GB may 4x/8x your working memory and with compression and good management, you'll have space left for cached files which will also improve the "smoothness" of your experience. You'll swap (and write) much much less.
 
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topcat001

macrumors 6502
Nov 17, 2019
287
141
MacOS is generally very write happy. My other systems which run Linux and bear the bulk of my workload write maybe a 100 MB per day instead of several GB even on a relatively idle system. However practically it’s not going to make a difference in SSD longevity over the life of the machine, for most users. It does bother me though that it writes so heavily. Linux seems to be way more efficient in this respect.
 

jdb8167

macrumors 601
Nov 17, 2008
4,859
4,599
My M1 MBA apparently managed 28 TB in 31 hours in this post, from Drive DX supported by iStat disk write trace. This is more than 3TB per day, but 'only' lasted 31 hours.

My complete history on this machine shows that this was (so far) a one off event, quite untypical of before or after behaviour:

View attachment 1987255

I just had a similar event. Sometime in the last 48 hours my M1 MacBook Air went from 39.2 TB to 54.2 TB. I wasn't doing anything out of the ordinary in the last couple of days but I did notice that when I woke the computer that it was using a bit more CPU than usual and checking the Memory tab on Activity Monitor showed 2+ GB of swap and yellow memory pressure.

So from November 2020 to April 20 2022 I used 39.2 TBW and then in less than 2 days, it went up by 15 TB. I don't use any Adobe products and in this case it looked like the writes actually all happened while the MBA was idle. This is clearly a bug in macOS Monterey 12.3.1. There is absolutely no reason for 15 TB to be written in this case.

I don't have any timestamps but here is the output of my smartTBW tool:
Screen Shot 2022-04-22 at 11.21.29 AM.png



Edit: This is on a 1 TB/16 GB M1 MacBook Air that was purchased on the first day of availability.
 
Last edited:

Mike Boreham

macrumors 68040
Aug 10, 2006
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UK
I just had a similar event. Sometime in the last 48 hours my M1 MacBook Air went from 39.2 TB to 54.2 TB. I wasn't doing anything out of the ordinary in the last couple of days but I did notice that when I woke the computer that it was using a bit more CPU than usual and checking the Memory tab on Activity Monitor showed 2+ GB of swap and yellow memory pressure.

So from November 2020 to April 20 2022 I used 39.2 TBW and then in less than 2 days, it went up by 15 TB. I don't use any Adobe products and in this case it looked like the writes actually all happened while the MBA was idle. This is clearly a bug in macOS Monterey 12.3.1. There is absolutely no reason for 15 TB to be written in this case.

I don't have any timestamps but here is the output of my smartTBW tool:
View attachment 1994986


Edit: This is on a 1 TB/16 GB M1 MacBook Air that was purchased on the first day of availability.
Thanks James! I confess to some relief at the confirmation that my experience was not unique, and also that your experience about machine at idle etc are similar to mine. But also a bit dismayed that it is evidently not as rare as we might hope, with anybody at risk and no obvious avoiding strategy.
 

Thistle41

macrumors member
Mar 25, 2021
74
39
UK
Thanks James! I confess to some relief at the confirmation that my experience was not unique, and also that your experience about machine at idle etc are similar to mine. But also a bit dismayed that it is evidently not as rare as we might hope, with anybody at risk and no obvious avoiding strategy.
As you say Mike, James and others, we are not unique despite some people suggesting that we are perhaps using some highly disk intensive app. It seems to be totally random and is alleviated to some extent by following the suggestions at the top of this thread and in my case by applying some other dark arts that seem to help.

Just wondering how prevalent this is in the M1 population. Here we have a thread consisting of a self selecting group and a certain number of that group have experienced this issue. How typical is this I wonder of all M1 users? Off hand I can't see any easy way of seeing how many unique contributors there are in this thread, and how many of them are experiencing this problem of excessive SSD writes. From that ratio the actual numbers globally could be estimated. If Apple are made aware of this then perhaps we could get some leverage?

For the record, I have reported this to Apple with of course no response.
 

jdb8167

macrumors 601
Nov 17, 2008
4,859
4,599
As you say Mike, James and others, we are not unique despite some people suggesting that we are perhaps using some highly disk intensive app. It seems to be totally random and is alleviated to some extent by following the suggestions at the top of this thread and in my case by applying some other dark arts that seem to help.

Just wondering how prevalent this is in the M1 population. Here we have a thread consisting of a self selecting group and a certain number of that group have experienced this issue. How typical is this I wonder of all M1 users? Off hand I can't see any easy way of seeing how many unique contributors there are in this thread, and how many of them are experiencing this problem of excessive SSD writes. From that ratio the actual numbers globally could be estimated. If Apple are made aware of this then perhaps we could get some leverage?

For the record, I have reported this to Apple with of course no response.
I’ll just make a comment that up until yesterday I was interested in this issue but hadn’t experienced anything myself that showed the problem. The random 15 TB written was out of the blue and has no obvious cause. I’m now more convinced than ever that this a serious bug.
 

Mike Boreham

macrumors 68040
Aug 10, 2006
3,913
1,896
UK
Just wondering how prevalent this is in the M1 population. Here we have a thread consisting of a self selecting group and a certain number of that group have experienced this issue. How typical is this I wonder of all M1 users? Off hand I can't see any easy way of seeing how many unique contributors there are in this thread, and how many of them are experiencing this problem of excessive SSD writes. From that ratio the actual numbers globally could be estimated. If Apple are made aware of this then perhaps we could get some leverage?

For the record, I have reported this to Apple with of course no response.

When an event is occurring it is not obviously noticeable to an ordinary user so I suspect it is more widespread than this thread implies.

I have also reported it to Apple.
 
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qwezxc

macrumors newbie
Apr 10, 2022
20
3
I quit the beta program and turn off automatically download updates and my disk usage went down.

Also I updated to the latest version 12.3.1 (big update)

Code:
SMART/Health Information (NVMe Log 0x02)
Critical Warning:                   0x00
Temperature:                        20 Celsius
Available Spare:                    100%
Available Spare Threshold:          99%
Percentage Used:                    0%
Data Units Read:                    3 951 026 [2,02 TB]
Data Units Written:                 3 468 406 [1,77 TB]
Host Read Commands:                 65 042 678
Host Write Commands:                66 138 845
Controller Busy Time:               0
Power Cycles:                       125
Power On Hours:                     45
Unsafe Shutdowns:                   5
Media and Data Integrity Errors:    0
Error Information Log Entries:      0
 

inc0gnito

macrumors member
Nov 20, 2020
42
12
Hi guys,

So mine is looking like this....

MBA M1 512gb, 8GB RAM, bought November 2020.

I used to use a lot of Microsoft Teams and Outlook and Safari, Spotify and Whatsap. I was keeping an eye on the use and biggest kerneltask writes were during using MS apps as well as Safari. Also it seems that my mac is writing while sleeping? Almost as it never went to sleep... ?

Anybody managed to fix it by a fresh install?

These days I see use being slightly lower however nevertheless still concerning.

Thanks!!!

Available Spare Threshold: 99% Percentage Used: 12% Data Units Read: 888,568,222 [454 TB] Data Units Written: 774,461,026 [396 TB]
 

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osplo

macrumors 6502
Nov 1, 2008
351
196
Hi guys,

So mine is looking like this....

MBA M1 512gb, 8GB RAM, bought November 2020.

I used to use a lot of Microsoft Teams and Outlook and Safari, Spotify and Whatsap. I was keeping an eye on the use and biggest kerneltask writes were during using MS apps as well as Safari. Also it seems that my mac is writing while sleeping? Almost as it never went to sleep... ?

Anybody managed to fix it by a fresh install?

These days I see use being slightly lower however nevertheless still concerning.

Thanks!!!

Available Spare Threshold: 99% Percentage Used: 12% Data Units Read: 888,568,222 [454 TB] Data Units Written: 774,461,026 [396 TB]

For what I read in this thread, MS Teams is the most likely culprit.

Are you on the latest Monterey release? Things got a lot better with the newest ones.
 

Maximara

macrumors 68000
Jun 16, 2008
1,707
908
Hi guys,

So mine is looking like this....

MBA M1 512gb, 8GB RAM, bought November 2020.

I used to use a lot of Microsoft Teams and Outlook and Safari, Spotify and Whatsap. I was keeping an eye on the use and biggest kerneltask writes were during using MS apps as well as Safari. Also it seems that my mac is writing while sleeping? Almost as it never went to sleep... ?

Anybody managed to fix it by a fresh install?

These days I see use being slightly lower however nevertheless still concerning.

Thanks!!!

Available Spare Threshold: 99% Percentage Used: 12% Data Units Read: 888,568,222 [454 TB] Data Units Written: 774,461,026 [396 TB]
According to previous comments Microsoft Teams is a SSD writer. If you watch a lot of videos I would recommenced going for a low resolution (I go for 240 p)

As an added precaution I would turn off Safari's cache (the Icon to the left of the trashcan):
Cache.jpg
 
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ctjack

macrumors 68000
Mar 8, 2020
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According to previous comments Microsoft Teams is a SSD writer.
But we buy Apple things to have it work without ifs and don'ts right?
If you watch a lot of videos I would recommenced going for a low resolution (I go for 240 p)
Why 240P from 2.4" nokia era should be choice for retina screened Macs?
As an added precaution I would turn off Safari's cache:
This more likely reminds me of a windows that I came from. On mac, I got accustomed to only tinker if I need something additional but not to fix the base functions.
 

MrGunny94

macrumors 65816
Dec 3, 2016
1,148
675
Malaga, Spain
Hi guys,

So mine is looking like this....

MBA M1 512gb, 8GB RAM, bought November 2020.

I used to use a lot of Microsoft Teams and Outlook and Safari, Spotify and Whatsap. I was keeping an eye on the use and biggest kerneltask writes were during using MS apps as well as Safari. Also it seems that my mac is writing while sleeping? Almost as it never went to sleep... ?

Anybody managed to fix it by a fresh install?

These days I see use being slightly lower however nevertheless still concerning.

Thanks!!!

Available Spare Threshold: 99% Percentage Used: 12% Data Units Read: 888,568,222 [454 TB] Data Units Written: 774,461,026 [396 TB]
Teams and What's App eat more than 1.2GB of memory each one of them, especially What's App after a call it can reach 1.8GB from my testing.

On these 8GB models it will cause tons of swapping especially if you use the Intel binaries Teams, I'd recommend to use What's App on the Browser and use the Microsoft Teams ARM64 Beta.
 

Maximara

macrumors 68000
Jun 16, 2008
1,707
908
But we buy Apple things to have it work without ifs and don'ts right?
Newsflash Microsoft is not Apple and back in the day we had this joke:

User: I'm having a problem with my Mac.
IT: Oh what's the problem.
User: Well I am using Microsoft..."
IT: Stop right there; that is your problem. :p

Apple can't really prevent third party software from using its own cache files and based on what has been posted here Microsoft Teams seems to do that in spades.

Why 240P from 2.4" nokia era should be choice for retina screened Macs?
Higher quality video = more written to SSD if it is cached.
This more likely reminds me of a windows that I came from. On mac, I got accustomed to only tinker if I need something additional but not to fix the base functions.
Well I am paranoid and given how some sites like to write cache to the SSD like a drunken sailor forcing them to go to RAM makes sense.
 
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Maximara

macrumors 68000
Jun 16, 2008
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908
I’ll just make a comment that up until yesterday I was interested in this issue but hadn’t experienced anything myself that showed the problem. The random 15 TB written was out of the blue and has no obvious cause. I’m now more convinced than ever that this a serious bug.
If nothing has changed then I agree this is a bug in the OS. But I wonder what is causing it as you said it came out of nowhere. Having done a little programing an intermittent bug can be the worst because it makes finding out just where the error in the code a royal PITA. A bug where if you do X and Y and get result Z every time is a lot easier to find and figure out what is going on than a bug that doesn't seem to have a correlation to anything.
 

Appletoni

Suspended
Mar 26, 2021
443
177
Please read the update at the end of this post.


Hi,

I have Mac mini m1 256/16 for almost 8 days. After those 8 days I can see 0.9 TB written.

From what I found on the web this ssd should last for ~~150 TBW. After 8 days I have 0.9 TBW :)

I checked on my MacBook Pro 13" from 2018, 256/16 as well. I used both machines for the same task (99% of time it's coding, swift, javascript etc).

Macbook 2018 - 47.5 TBW (after over 2years and 3-4 months)
Mac mini m1 - 0.9 TBW (after 8 days).

On both machines I used the DriveDx tool to check it.

To be honest I'm a bit surprised and scared at the same time. With this I should be near the 150TBW limit in next ~~2 years. Normally I would be like "ee ok, I will just replace it" - but here, with Mac mini I can't :)

Any thoughts on this?


My addition:
Mac Pro Big Sur 10 months - ~ 67TB
MacBook Pro M1 5 months - ~ 51.4TB

Something's not right. But last few days the GB/day seem to have dropped on 11.3b7
-HaraldS


How to install smartmontools
Open Terminal. You may do this by searching for terminal with Spotlight, or by navigating to /Applications/Utilities/ and double clicking the Terminal app.

Download Homebrew. See the instructions at https://brew.sh. You may also enter the following command in Terminal:
/bin/bash -c "$(curl -fsSL https://raw.githubusercontent.com/Homebrew/install/HEAD/install.sh)".

Then, run this command:
brew install smartmontools.

You may run the following command after it installs:
smartctl -a disk0.

The appropriate tool for Apple Silicon (M1) is at /opt/homebrew/bin/smartctl, while the Intel analogue will be at /usr/local/bin/smartctl.

If all that is too complicated, you can download and install my simplified version that just displays relevant data from your internal NVMe SSD. It is equivalent to the final pane of smartctl -a disk0.

An installer package is available on GitHub that will install into /usr/local/bin after you supply your admin password. Once installation is complete, you can run the command with:
/usr/local/bin/smartTBW.

See the code.


A list of tweaks/fixes to try to fix excessively high writes on M1
by @TheSynchronizer

These are ordered by most effective in reducing writes, so it's a good order to try them in. For relevant screenshots, go to this thread.
  1. Using a browser with tab discarding - As of Big Sur 11.2.3 this is the most effective step to try to reduce writes. Do note that you're only going to notice improvements if you browse with more than 5 tabs, or if you often close and open new tabs.

    Currently, Safari is unfortunately often a major culprit in writing excessive data to the SSD, especially due to it's excessive website data caching. Safari will often cache any tab you close to 'Safari Web Content (Cached)', which is kept in your memory, and if any other app requires your RAM the cached website data gets written as swap to the SSD. Secondly, Safari has no tab discarding/sleeping features which means that the more tabs you open, the more memory used, which leads to excessive SSD swap writing.

    Solution: Switching to one of the many alternative M1 native browsers available, and installing a tab discarding extension such as Auto Tab Discard. Many viable options exist, but in terms of memory efficiency the best options include Brave, Firefox, and Vivaldi. Alternatively you can also use Chrome, or Microsoft Edge but Edge lacks the cache disabling flags and it requires setting the Edge cache folder to Read Only. All of these browsers support Auto Tab Discard (Firefox has it in it's native extension store), with Brave, and Vivaldi both being Chromium browsers which allows them to access the large Chrome Extension Web Store.

    Once you choose one of these browsers (feel free to try them all), the next step is to download and configure Auto Tab Discard. This extension releases the memory of tabs that do not need to be actively taking it, but your scroll position on the page is preserved so that when you click back on the tab it appears as if nothing happened. Once you've installed ATD to your browser, click on the extension icon and go into options, and here you can configure how you want ATD to behave.

    I recommend discarding inactive tabs after 1 minute, when the number of inactive tabs reaches 2. Set maximum number of tabs to check for discarding per automatic discarding request to 500, and the number of allowed simultaneous discarding jobs to 1000. The rest of the options are up to you.

    The last optimisation step to take is to turn off browser caching.
    For Brave / Vivaldi: open a new tab and type chrome://flags .Once in here, search 'caching' and enable'Turn off caching of streaming media to disk while on battery power' and 'Turn off caching of streaming media to disk', and disable 'Back-forward cache'. Restart the browser and you're done.

    For Firefox: open a new tab and type about:config .Accept the warning message, and search 'cache'. Turn all the browser.cache settings to false by clicking on the 'true' value.

  2. Adjusting pmset settings- pmset on M1 is responsible for how the mac acts during sleep. On the M1 it is very limited compared to Intel macs, and essentially all the options that are available are safe to toggle on and off. If switching from Safari as above is not enough to fix your writes, then this is the next best step to try.

    Open Terminal and type "pmset -g" - this will give you your current pmset settings.

    I've set all of the following options to 0:

    - powernap - SleepServices - womp - networkoversleep - ttyskeepawake - tcpkeepalive

    and have noticed no difference to the function of my M1 mac or any services such as iCloud / Messages syncs etc.

    To set them to 0, simply type "sudo pmset -a powernap 0", then enter your password, and press enter. Replace 'powernap' with each of the other setting names to toggle them all to 0. After you do them all, you can check the settings again using "pmset -g".

    With all of these options set to 0, my mac writes significantly less data during sleep. Note that the only function that is disabled AFAIK is Remote Locking the Mac from Find My when it's sleeping and connected to Wi-Fi, so if you need this function you will be unable to disable some of these. And if you do notice any other functional difference, simply set them back to 1 with "sudo pmset -a powernap 1".

  3. Limit spotlight indexing - Spotlight is a great macOS feature, but chances are you do not need to search for everything that it indexes by default. Spotlight indexing writes to the SSD, so limiting this will reduce writes.

    Go to System Preferences and then to Spotlight. In here, under the 'Search Results' tab look through all the available categories, and untick any categories that you never need to search for. In 'Privacy' you can directly add any folders you never need to search in. Personally, here I've added all the folders in 'Library' (in Finder click 'Go' in the menu bar, hold option and 'Library' will show up) other than Application Support. You can add most of the folders in here to Privacy because they're generally not of interest to searching, and doing so helps limit unnecessary spotlight indexing.

  4. Prevent Time Machine Local Snapshots - Time Machine is a great way to backup your system to an external drive, but local snapshots are likely not useful / unnecessary for most people and just a waste of SSD writes.

    Go to System Preferences and then to Time Machine. Click 'Options' and press the +, and proceed to add Macintosh HD (your whole system drive) to be excluded, then click Save.

    When time comes to make a backup, simply go back into these Options and remove 'Macintosh HD' from the exclusion list to proceed with backing up as normal!

  5. Limit unneeded startup apps / Intel apps - Rosetta 2 is an amazing technological accomplishment allowing the M1 chip to run x86 software, however running apps through Rosetta 2 is known to take a more memory than M1 native options.

    To check which apps are started up with your Mac, go to System Preferences then search Login Items - this shows which apps launch when you boot your Mac. Remove any apps from this list that you do not need / do not use.

    To check how many Intel apps you're running, go to Activity Monitor -> CPU, and click the 'Architecture' tab which sorts the app by Intel apps first. Consider finding M1 Native versions of any Intel apps, or closing them when you don't need to use them.

    Conclusion:

    With all of these steps to try, it's very likely you can reduce your excessive writes to levels that are healthy for the lifetime of the Mac.

    To check how healthy your writes are, go to Activity Monitor, then to Disk, and note down the number of 'Data Written'. Next, go to Terminal and type 'uptime', and note down the result. Days are '24 hours'. Take into account that Data Written will count external disk writes, so if you've written to an external drive since booting this value will be innacurate.

    Simply divide the number of GB written by the amount of hours your mac has been 'uptime' since last boot. If you're getting under 5GB written per hour, you will have no issues with your SSD during the lifetime of your M1 mac (e.g. if you're writing 5GB / hour, that accounts to 14 yearsminimum of SSD life on a 256GB SSD).

    Hope this helps anyone who is experiencing high writes on M1!
I am additionally suggesting an update to 11.3. I have just recently updated to 11.3, currently have 65 Tabs open, and my Swap Used is at 0 for the first time since purchasing this machine. --- leons


Edit: 23/05/2021
The person who first reported the M1 SSD issues says it's been fixed in 11.4. Says it could have been a kernel bug.

Edit: 2/06/2021
We were confirmed it was indeed a XNU/kernel bug. Update to 11.4 to fix the issue.
From what I found on the web this ssd should last for ~~150 TBW. After 8 days I have 0.9 TBW :)

-What’s the problem? You should compare and try: a chess gui with the Stockfish chess engine and all 3 to 7-piece syzygy endgame tablebases!!
 

Mike Boreham

macrumors 68040
Aug 10, 2006
3,913
1,896
UK
If nothing has changed then I agree this is a bug in the OS. But I wonder what is causing it as you said it came out of nowhere. Having done a little programing an intermittent bug can be the worst because it makes finding out just where the error in the code a royal PITA. A bug where if you do X and Y and get result Z every time is a lot easier to find and figure out what is going on than a bug that doesn't seem to have a correlation to anything.
My experience was similar to jdb8167's except mine was a 28TB single event. These events may be happening much more often than we know because they will only be recognised as single events by people who track and plot their usage regularly.

People who look for the first time and report "xx TBW in yy months" have no way of knowing if that has been steady or a single event.

My hunch is that some of the exremely high usages reported in this thread have been caused by one or more events like jdb8167 and I have experienced. I don't think any of them have shown data supporting a steady increase to their very high usage.
 
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