Thank you for this, and I stand corrected as I must admit I couldn’t find the tweet myself and I was just referring to it from my memory. Clearly that case is completely invalid then, and can be disregarded, as that is not something the system was designed to do at all. So we’re currently at 0? reasonable known SSD M1 failures, which is lovely, and hopefully this stays that way for a very long time.
Don't feel too bad. I was only able to find it because it had been posted in one of these threads and I had replied to it. Without those pointers
I wouldn't have found the thing and my search skills with google are really good.
With the percentage I was just referring to the fact that it is really based on some unknown preset number by the manufacturer, for warranty purposes. For example I have a working SSD pulled from a machine that has 125% wear last time I checked. I’ve only replaced it to not have to worry about the inevitable, but it does indeed still function completely normally in every sense, and shows no errors in SMART or any other sense. It was used 24/7 and constantly had many reads and writes for a very long time. The percentages are nothing other than for warranty purposes.
Exactly my point. If 15.7 TB is only 1% then it logically follows that 100% is 1570 TB. This is what
Is There A Problem? SSDs Affected By Swap Memory on M1 Macs points about Longhorn's post which is what seemed to have triggered off all this.
Truly no one knows when their SSD will fail, however it’s very reasonable to think it will at least last for it’s 100% wear as that is the manufacturers claim.
Exactly and since these third party tools are telling us what amount of the wear number has been used it is middle school math easy to figure out what the "warranted" TBW should be. Problem is when I have done this is have gotten some really insane numbers.
For example Fomalhaut said "My MBP16 (32GB/1TB) has 1550 power-up hours and 170TB written (in about 15 months of work-usage). That works out at 110GB/hour. smartctl reports 2% used. I'm going to start to be more rigorous about closing apps and keeping swap memory usage down."
As I previously pointed out, the TB*100/percentage = TBW crosscheck produces at worst 6827 (170*100/2.49) TBW for the drive. More over If 170TB written is 2% then 170TB x 50 would be 100% which is 8500 TBW,
Ok that is nuts, there is no way there are 6827 TBW, much less 8500 TBW, SSDs that are sanely priced (assuming they exist at all).
Since the formula derived from the one everyone and his brother has been using to predict how long the SSDs last per "Eliminate the impossible and whatever remands no mater how improbable is the truth" smartctl
must be generating untrustful numbers and is therefore useless.
It’s very possible that all of these M1 Macs will last for even 2PB of writes to the SSD as that is completely possible, and then none of this is really an issue at all as even with a TB+ written every week you are looking at many years of use. Maybe the problem lies in the uncertainty of the future?
This is assuming the tool being used actually works correctly which given some of the totally impossible numbers a simple middle school crosscheck produces doesn't seem to be the case. And before someone brings up Activity Monitor
Apple M1 SSD Lifespan Ageing. Do YOU have the problem? shows that Activity Monitor is only useful if you
have no other drives connected either physically or via wifi.
This is because
Activity Monitor shows all data written to all drives. If you have time machine active (which should be to an external drive because IMHO not doing so defeats the whole purpose of the feature) than Activity Monitor will show the writes to the SSD
AND to the external Time Machine drive. I assume the same is true of iCloud and Time Capsule.
This makes Activity Monitor very limited as a check tool and given nobody I know of pointed out this fact before the
Apple M1 SSD Lifespan Ageing. Do YOU have the problem? video came out means people would misread any data Apple gave out and freak out over 10TB even if the 10TB they see is actual 1 TB to the SSD and the rest (9 TB) is to the external Time Machine drive.
For example I did a clean install of my OS followed by file restore and full Time Machine back up. Activity Monitor showed 1.87 TB written which given the drive was 930 GB was made sense as 930x2 is 1.86 which given how much spotlight uses is within reason.
It does NOT mean 1.87 TB written was written to the main HD the system booted from but that disk AND time Machine.