Agree again with your U.K. pricing point, plus the prices may go up $100/£100 anyway due to inflation... I do think it would be odd to release an M2 Pro mini alongside the updated M2 Pro/Max MBPs, unless Apple have a crazy supply of chips this year. Otherwise, it may be something for a future press release or March 2023 event.
The Mac Studio has pretty much put paid to an M2 Pro mini in my opinion - forthcoming price rises are going to change the landscape but there's still not going to be a gap in the market there - the only thing I could see happening is an M2 Pro Mac Studio as an entry level SKU for that and even then Apple probably wouldn't use the lower binned M1 Pro and might not even want to use less than the 32Gb spec.
And as you suggested, I think £1299 would have been inflation price point - if they were to release an M2 Pro (double binned) mini in this climate it would probably cost £1399 which would make the current Mac Studio (32/512 M1 Max - £1999) look like even more of a no brainer than it already is.
I'm under no illusions that there's UK price rises coming for the stuff that's not been refreshed yet - 14" and 16" MacBooks and the Mac Studio will be under the spotlight next year.
Which is why I think the Mac Studio is (IMO) under-priced so as to make it more appealing to a larger potential market.
And that under-pricing I believe is making it difficult for Apple to slot an Mx Pro model Mac mini into the line-up at a price low enough that people would not be tempted to pay a (relatively) little more for a far more capable Mac Studio.
I understand this viewpoint, but there is still a decent-sized gap where the Intel Mac mini sits, especially if you specced the i7 and 64GB RAM variant. I think there is sufficient room in the lineup. If... there is an updated Mac Studio (I assume it is a one-off like the iMac Pro) before an M2 Pro comes out, I will just cave in and get the base model. Otherwise I may be stuck buying an M2 mini or laptop, just for the M2 Pro version.
I think
@CWallace explained his point perfectly.
Let's reiterate for a UK price list as it stands, to upgrade a MacBook Pro 14" 8/14 (double binned M1 Pro) to a 10/24 M1 Max (the CPU that's in the base Studio) you have to pay £500.
This would in theory price an M1 Pro based Mac Studio with 32Gb RAM and 512Gb SSD at £1499. If you drop the RAM back to 16Gb you're dropping another £400 which leaves an M1 Pro Mac Studio with 16Gb RAM costing an eye opening £1099. And curiously this is exactly the same as an M1 Mac mini specced up to 16/512 would cost -
there is no space for an M1 Pro model.
In other words, if you need the grunt you should buy a Mac Studio - concerns over fan noise and coil whine aside - and any entry level M1 Pro placeholder designed to push people up to the 'full fat' M1 Max Studio probably would be too successful for its own good and probably steal more sales from the M1 Max entry level Mac Studio than people who would upgrade an M1 Mini.
It certainly makes the £1799 priced refurbs we had on the UK refurb store very much a bargain compared to £929 you want any combination of 32Gb RAM, faster CPU, or more ports.
I'll also point out that there's situations where the double binned M1 Pro (8/14) actually loses out to the M2 (8/10).
The M2 has higher single core, the M1 Pro 8/14 is not much faster in multicore (around 10% on synthetic benchmarks)
The M2 has 100GB/s memory bandwidth whereas the M1 Peo has 200GB/s - does that actually mean much in light use?
The M2 has 8k capable media engine which also does ProRES which might be important for video editors.
The M2 supports 24Gb of RAM whereas the M1 Pro supports 32Gb - could be close enough for some people.
In other words, the M2 is good enough. The active cooling solution and power supply of the existing case ought to easily cater for the new CPU.
This leaves the main issues as:
1. Ongoing Wifi and Bluetooth issues with the chassis
2. Only 2 external monitors supported as per Mx chipset.
4. limited I/O compared with M1 Pro.
Anyone needing more I/O than 2 Thunderbolt ports and 2 USB-A ports, 3 monitors, 32Gb of RAM or more - probably needs to stop being stingy and fork out for a Mac Studio. I don't think there's enough people in that group to worry Apple too much as they have a cost effective solution already on sale.